Cricket · resolved market
T20 Easter Womens Cup: Uganda vs USA
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x008a1f93a97a617c1dcb5a7c7d73df4c0e721747c0d11c437f413c6c7439919c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ugandaof Uganda, USA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,273
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,665
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,273 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe8b0…7b16backed Uganda | 27c | 3,471$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,545.24 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked USA | 74c | 2,994$2,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,201.44 | 636 | 46.4%295 W · 341 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed USA | 75c | 127.51$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.73 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Uganda | 38c | 99.63$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.77 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Uganda | 26c | 95.4$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.33 | 654 | 51.1%334 W · 320 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…97b8backed USA | 77c | 90.98$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.6wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb97…1d51backed USA | 69c | 85.92$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked USA | 62c | 72.19$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.76 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bb…f8b9backed USA | 70c | 71.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Uganda | 35c | 64.37$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.86 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Uganda | 43c | 51.17$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.19 | 679 | 31.4%213 W · 466 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaeb…a557backed USA | 71c | 41.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 71cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…ccd5backed Uganda | 31c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2045…c77cbacked USA | 76c | 39.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.96 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 67cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…be52backed USA | 70c | 38.72$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4991…481dbacked USA | 46c | 36.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd24b…3cb7backed USA | 74c | 32.96$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bee…e55cbacked USA | 72c | 27.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x902d…e3fabacked USA | 70c | 24.03$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed USA | 62c | 22.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Uganda | 61c | 21.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.27 | 456 | 47.6%217 W · 239 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked USA | 54c | 21.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07e3…37b1backed USA | 64c | 16.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…9111backed USA | 72c | 15.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +270.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…4cbbbacked USA | 78c | 14.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.