TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Euroleague · resolved market

Fenerbahce vs. Real Madrid

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Real Madridof Fenerbahce, Real Madrid
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$118,431
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$140,472

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,431 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 192 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Euroleague
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3eb9…01bfbacked Real Madrid53c9,984$5,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,692.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd27c…c081backed Fenerbahce66c6,642$4,384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,383.822055%11 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick68cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa2f1…2d22backed Fenerbahce52c4,023$2,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,092333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Fenerbahce47c3,779$1,776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,776.343543.7%190 W · 245 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea03…a5a3backed Fenerbahce38c3,763$1,443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,442.610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Fenerbahce19c3,729$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$694.6335234.7%122 W · 230 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Real Madrid39c2,815$1,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,711.8137052.7%195 W · 175 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd65…3e60backed Real Madrid46c2,166$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,169.389756.7%55 W · 42 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Fenerbahce54c2,050$1,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Fenerbahce55c1,911$1,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,047.96744.8%30 W · 37 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-30.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Fenerbahce53c1,727$918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$918.14475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+44.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d1c…f13cbacked Real Madrid46c1,500$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.991163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick58cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Real Madrid43c1,367$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$777.548936%32 W · 57 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Real Madrid37c1,302$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$820.762437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Real Madrid47c1,063$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.3616235.2%57 W · 105 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa20…fd0dbacked Fenerbahce53c1,001$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.76666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba0d…dd6bbacked Fenerbahce53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Real Madrid46c992.03$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.5712040.8%49 W · 71 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Fenerbahce47c960.49$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.044953.1%26 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9e5…6199backed Fenerbahce39c887.21$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.621844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a81…7debbacked Real Madrid64c736.16$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.36683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick73cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Real Madrid55c677.33$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.7926544.5%118 W · 147 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b39…7fbcbacked Fenerbahce46c627.61$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.33933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-31.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Fenerbahce71c626.73$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.846844.1%30 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44dc…2ddbbacked Real Madrid47c616.55$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.022100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+91.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3cb…ef82backed Fenerbahce37c568.66$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.151526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Real Madrid51c513.79$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.2128943.6%126 W · 163 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1994…d63cbacked Fenerbahce52c499.99$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd71a…67f5backed Fenerbahce43c494.72$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.371050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Fenerbahce54c464.12$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.268845.5%40 W · 48 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Fenerbahce53c449.92$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.1954251.5%279 W · 263 L+25.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Real Madrid52c440.34$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.896237.1%23 W · 39 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed Real Madrid48c414.29$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.272850%14 W · 14 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-6.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x05c5…8181backed Real Madrid48c403.67$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.91560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+18.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb15…0f02backed Fenerbahce53c394.22$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Fenerbahce4c381.79$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1112454%67 W · 57 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf68…ed10backed Fenerbahce52c373.54$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaac7…64babacked Fenerbahce54c360.15$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Fenerbahce18c339.48$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.1910926.6%29 W · 80 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde80…d8b9backed Real Madrid47c309.27$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.913040%12 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07e3…37b1backed Fenerbahce54c301.44$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.785545.5%25 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6f0…ba8fbacked Fenerbahce74c282.5$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8cb…3431backed Fenerbahce52c280.15$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Real Madrid72c253.81$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.12922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-68.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5bca…0d11backed Fenerbahce53c252.48$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.82333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e33…73e7backed Fenerbahce35c246.06$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.51735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Fenerbahce60c238.06$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.313745.9%17 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid-21.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d3b…e3eabacked Fenerbahce16c232.46$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.140%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Fenerbahce53c210.4$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.516142.6%26 W · 35 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Fenerbahce53c210.4$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.512045%9 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-29.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa42c…b22ebacked Fenerbahce53c210.4$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.51742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-22.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1968…8c66backed Fenerbahce53c210.4$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.51333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Fenerbahce53c210.4$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.511752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dfd…aadebacked Fenerbahce53c210.4$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.51333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-38.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Fenerbahce53c210.4$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.511050%5 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8c2…080bbacked Fenerbahce53c210.4$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.5120%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d8…9b09backed Fenerbahce66c209.14$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed Fenerbahce54c206.64$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ece…8786backed Real Madrid47c206$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.183250%16 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Real Madrid47c206$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.1810663.2%67 W · 39 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Real Madrid48c201.83$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.953148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Real Madrid48c201.83$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.951650%8 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcdd…6d55backed Real Madrid48c201.83$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.95366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+31.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4245…62ebbacked Fenerbahce34c200$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-34.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1154…0d31backed Fenerbahce52c199.99$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.993450%17 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+19.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Fenerbahce48c199.25$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.5926935.3%95 W · 174 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd816…a60ebacked Fenerbahce52c186.77$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.12250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x659f…04e4backed Fenerbahce53c183.36$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.18450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-21.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b8f…f31bbacked Fenerbahce53c183.36$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.18742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Fenerbahce53c183.36$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.18633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-55.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Fenerbahce53c183.36$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.182250%11 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Fenerbahce45c182.76$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.92837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-39.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Fenerbahce38c180.51$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.34634.8%16 W · 30 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbac4…86dbbacked Fenerbahce54c180.07$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.24250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea8d…89b1backed Fenerbahce54c180.07$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.24450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-32.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ea7…06fcbacked Real Madrid47c177.16$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Real Madrid66c176.3$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.239551.6%49 W · 46 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Real Madrid47c154.5$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.898247.6%39 W · 43 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Fenerbahce49c153.84$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.9914447.9%69 W · 75 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7820…5b79backed Real Madrid26c151.59$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.48714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick22cpaid-44.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccc1…889dbacked Fenerbahce53c148.94$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x441d…7a4ebacked Real Madrid48c135.55$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.653636.1%13 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Real Madrid47c135$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.55450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7541…7d75backed Real Madrid53c133.92$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Real Madrid48c132.24$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.761050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bec…c707backed Fenerbahce52c130.28$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.92540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa24d…38b2backed Fenerbahce38c120.9$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.671822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.7wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-42.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1a67…52edbacked Fenerbahce36c120.45$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.543053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x342d…33ccbacked Fenerbahce22c109.22$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.871145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f5…8314backed Fenerbahce52c109.09$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.75425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-67.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8526…72aabacked Fenerbahce12c105.22$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.631421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick32cpaid-24.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Real Madrid47c104.78$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.627741.6%32 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Real Madrid47c103$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.591266.7%8 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+103.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8088…24dabacked Real Madrid47c103$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.592646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Real Madrid48c100.92$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.481361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Real Madrid48c100.92$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.481553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+27.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59a1…8263backed Real Madrid55c99.57$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.953351.5%17 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4835…8f59backed Real Madrid48c99.29$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.835240.4%21 W · 31 L-7.9wins-0.15per pick56cpaid-23.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Fenerbahce47c93.74$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.042445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xee1d…ccc9backed Fenerbahce53c92.52$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.