TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x342d…33cc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
53
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: La Liga, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 56 out of 100; worst Premier League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick34cpaid+17.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.52
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+103.4%+$15.51
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+80.7%+$16.14
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+142.5%+$28.49
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+281.4%+$42.21
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+187.4%+$65.6
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Ukraine vs. Sweden end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 11 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valencia vs. Real Madridbacked Valencia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Fenerbahcebacked Fenerbahce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.52
Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Fenerbahcebacked Fenerbahce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+150.4%+$30.08
Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Fenerbahcebacked Fenerbahce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.76
Fenerbahce vs. Real Madridbacked Fenerbahce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.87
Saski Baskonia vs. Hapoel Tel Avivbacked Saski Baskonia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+197.7%+$22.02
Fenerbahce vs. Zalgiris Kaunasbacked Fenerbahce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
FC Bayern Munchen vs. ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbannebacked FC Bayern Munchen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+64%+$12.8
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. Fenerbahcebacked Fenerbahce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.51
Fenerbahce vs. Olimpia Milanobacked Fenerbahce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+62.5%+$40.64
Fenerbahce vs. Monacobacked Fenerbahce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+31%+$20.12
All 11 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+69.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick35cpaid+106.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick26cpaid+63.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Hamburger SV end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.