TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Euroleague · resolved market

Saski Baskonia vs. Hapoel Tel Aviv

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Saski Baskoniaof Saski Baskonia, Hapoel Tel Aviv
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$47,690
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$51,883

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,690 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Euroleague
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Saski Baskonia60c7,721$4,646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,075.5854251.5%279 W · 263 L+25.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d9b…bddfbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv60c2,979$1,782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,782.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Saski Baskonia31c2,583$801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,782.212263.6%14 W · 8 L+4.2wins+0.19per pick45cpaid+49.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Saski Baskonia30c2,341$708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,632.731446.2%145 W · 169 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Hapoel Tel Aviv70c2,234$1,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,555.2421444.4%95 W · 119 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Hapoel Tel Aviv71c1,923$1,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3606237.1%23 W · 39 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde80…d8b9backed Hapoel Tel Aviv66c1,523$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003040%12 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Saski Baskonia42c1,519$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$878.162437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Saski Baskonia30c1,500$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,056.4224430.3%74 W · 170 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Saski Baskonia39c1,410$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861.7828943.6%126 W · 163 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf05…9bacbacked Saski Baskonia46c1,362$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741.322100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3179…8c2abacked Hapoel Tel Aviv40c1,005$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid+36.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb442…bed7backed Hapoel Tel Aviv71c784.13$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5553053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Saski Baskonia29c781.74$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.1513147.3%62 W · 69 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5df3…bb17backed Hapoel Tel Aviv71c704.23$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005450%27 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1be…d6a2backed Hapoel Tel Aviv37c669.62$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.37per pick49cpaid+168%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Hapoel Tel Aviv41c620.98$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.6714037.9%53 W · 87 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-21.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Saski Baskonia57c613.96$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.2537052.7%195 W · 175 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6519…76cabacked Hapoel Tel Aviv43c599.99$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2564050%20 W · 20 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Hapoel Tel Aviv70c513.42$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.4727557.5%158 W · 117 L+12.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0e3…c760backed Saski Baskonia30c506.67$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.67666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+28.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fb4…90f3backed Saski Baskonia30c500$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3501668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+46.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe85d…c249backed Hapoel Tel Aviv40c494.99$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001921.1%4 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick36cpaid-55.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7e33…73e7backed Hapoel Tel Aviv45c491.15$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2221735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Saski Baskonia33c488.2$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.891729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-24.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv71c481.69$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3421844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+38.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5919…95acbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv70c473$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.1955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv34c396.5$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.0310050%50 W · 50 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbe8…1141backed Saski Baskonia30c351.32$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.922227.3%6 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-34.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Hapoel Tel Aviv38c345.04$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.6236939.8%147 W · 222 L+1.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3cb…ef82backed Hapoel Tel Aviv42c344.22$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.271526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7c0…dadabacked Saski Baskonia38c338.36$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.461957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+30.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbd65…3e60backed Hapoel Tel Aviv70c300$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2109756.7%55 W · 42 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f2f…552cbacked Saski Baskonia34c300$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.151457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Hapoel Tel Aviv34c295$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010634.9%37 W · 69 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8d8…e72dbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv50c285.05$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.964438.6%17 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a18…61a0backed Hapoel Tel Aviv61c265.21$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.392556%14 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Hapoel Tel Aviv46c260.04$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.2326935.3%95 W · 174 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Saski Baskonia49c256.47$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.6214447.9%69 W · 75 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Hapoel Tel Aviv50c254.93$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.3526544.5%118 W · 147 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4835…8f59backed Hapoel Tel Aviv70c250$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1755240.4%21 W · 31 L-7.9wins-0.15per pick56cpaid-23.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1154…0d31backed Saski Baskonia30c246$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.23450%17 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+19.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7203…22d6backed Saski Baskonia39c240.76$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.923764.9%24 W · 13 L+4.5wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+25.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x61b2…d3c9backed Hapoel Tel Aviv70c220$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.9757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick69cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8544…3d33backed Hapoel Tel Aviv70c214.29$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2a0…1f3dbacked Saski Baskonia29c207.67$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.6710736.4%39 W · 68 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6b7…d2e3backed Hapoel Tel Aviv58c206.9$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+56.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb263…6275backed Hapoel Tel Aviv53c203$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.83850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ff…c9ddbacked Saski Baskonia30c200$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1401631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv68c196.2$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.28247.6%39 W · 43 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca4a…338abacked Saski Baskonia54c185.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.12748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3903…6058backed Hapoel Tel Aviv45c180.22$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.321553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+26.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8ee9…1362backed Hapoel Tel Aviv66c174.77$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.553164.5%20 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9775…ed41backed Hapoel Tel Aviv59c169.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001030%3 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-38.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc1b6…c914backed Saski Baskonia41c169.71$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.81333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Saski Baskonia46c164.79$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.776363.5%40 W · 23 L+7.5wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+10%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Saski Baskonia30c163.03$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.2412042.5%51 W · 69 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9868…907ebacked Hapoel Tel Aviv10c159.51$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.722343.5%10 W · 13 L+4.4wins+0.19per pick25cpaid+57.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd43b…5913backed Hapoel Tel Aviv70c152.91$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.04785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick63cpaid+47.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked Saski Baskonia29c149.85$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.511635.3%41 W · 75 L+9.1wins+0.08per pick27cpaid+21.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa76c…b3c4backed Saski Baskonia33c147.01$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.01666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+55.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3469…3676backed Hapoel Tel Aviv69c144.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+31%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb171…7d2bbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv69c144.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008760.9%53 W · 34 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xacf9…626dbacked Saski Baskonia50c144.9$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.953633.3%12 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71f8…4789backed Hapoel Tel Aviv70c142.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed Hapoel Tel Aviv66c136.23$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e3a…265ebacked Hapoel Tel Aviv71c126.9$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-44.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2696…5652backed Saski Baskonia30c121.92$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Hapoel Tel Aviv68c118$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.843228.1%9 W · 23 L-3.9wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-43.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb64f…17ecbacked Saski Baskonia30c117$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.92100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+154.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Saski Baskonia30c115.99$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.398653.5%46 W · 40 L+10.6wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+26.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8687…1db0backed Hapoel Tel Aviv70c114.29$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Saski Baskonia74c110$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.611455.3%63 W · 51 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-6.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8078…f333backed Saski Baskonia30c108$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84fd…2f81backed Hapoel Tel Aviv60c104.64$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.771225%3 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-31.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Hapoel Tel Aviv63c102.41$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.522729.6%8 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-35.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6508…1077backed Hapoel Tel Aviv23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234841.7%20 W · 28 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b71…4e79backed Hapoel Tel Aviv22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x94a5…4eb8backed Hapoel Tel Aviv70c100$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7013751.1%70 W · 67 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dde…5e80backed Saski Baskonia29c100$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2104…82d7backed Hapoel Tel Aviv58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.61963.2%12 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Saski Baskonia30c99.99$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7027338.1%104 W · 169 L+10.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Hapoel Tel Aviv55c96.1$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.2543543.7%190 W · 245 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Saski Baskonia72c92.8$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.8235234.7%122 W · 230 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f9…6112backed Saski Baskonia48c91.12$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+107.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3398…e348backed Hapoel Tel Aviv58c86.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+29.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ae0…8f73backed Saski Baskonia29c83.21$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.08771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+57.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Saski Baskonia42c80$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1813545.9%62 W · 73 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1608…eeb8backed Hapoel Tel Aviv70c73$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.1450%2 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-35.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x788a…bff2backed Hapoel Tel Aviv72c69.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdae3…cf78backed Saski Baskonia30c67.68$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.681030%3 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7353…a4f0backed Saski Baskonia30c66.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.672352.2%12 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+27.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed Saski Baskonia54c65.99$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.36663.6%42 W · 24 L+5.5wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+13.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Saski Baskonia32c61.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.9119748.2%95 W · 102 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv48c61.64$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.632955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xad34…9f3abacked Saski Baskonia29c60$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.63243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Hapoel Tel Aviv68c59$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.125646.4%26 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4de…e96dbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv70c58$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2df…0ef8backed Hapoel Tel Aviv71c58$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab15…7eacbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv56c56.86$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.84666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+100.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.