TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Atalanta BC vs. Udinese Calcio end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$100,909

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,909 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Yes34c12,690$4,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,392.372,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes26c10,000$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,399.9621058.6%123 W · 87 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No74c9,625$7,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,122.358941.6%37 W · 52 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5db5…1a50backed Yes33c7,507$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,007.43815.8%6 W · 32 L-5.8wins-0.15per pick31cpaid-57.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No71c6,833$4,867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,867.3596942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35a6…cb8fbacked No68c6,305$4,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,286.851926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes27c6,000$1,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,359.986442.2%27 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0aa3…64e9backed No74c3,312$2,451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,450.881850%9 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fdd…d385backed No67c3,300$2,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,21110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x702b…dedebacked Yes26c3,282$853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,428.55250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+92.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6580…6fa8backed Yes25c2,581$649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,931.961526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes74c2,479$1,834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.4616045%72 W · 88 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe726…4c87backed Yes26c2,300$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,702.161827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed No26c2,134$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.4716838.1%64 W · 104 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed No75c1,933$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,449.751855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02b6…fbbbbacked No74c1,372$1,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,015933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-46%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e05…1b97backed No75c1,371$1,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,028966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No74c1,350$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.9837250.5%188 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeaed…580bbacked No74c1,346$996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996.23850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed No74c1,126$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8331457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No22c1,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22032843.6%143 W · 185 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No74c961.49$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$711.2140447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No70c860.76$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.471,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked No43c683.48$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.059440.4%38 W · 56 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1333…173bbacked No74c677.19$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.121822.2%4 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.18per pick41cpaid-41.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes25c648.42$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.4168750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No74c624.99$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.3426040%104 W · 156 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes26c599.91$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.9398544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed No16c549.97$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$897226.4%19 W · 53 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick22cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No74c500$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.7840549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9292…7d85backed Yes27c452.04$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.99475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.24per pick52cpaid+71.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes30c443$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.16028.3%17 W · 43 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-27.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No74c436$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.9735646.6%166 W · 190 L-0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ee0…6b74backed Yes27c435.28$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.75560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+48.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7418…251fbacked Yes36c390$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.65076%38 W · 12 L+7.3wins+0.15per pick61cpaid+35.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb927…a469backed Yes27c385.26$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.34250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+85.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4328…11d2backed Yes27c370.37$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.371435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37d5…d528backed Yes27c356.82$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.58450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+49.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes65c355.64$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.6752748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes72c322.63$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.7993252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34a9…d343backed Yes30c316.67$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.672937.9%11 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No74c300$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.526046.9%122 W · 138 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed No30c300$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9015450%77 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce72…cbefbacked Yes34c294.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.121154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+20%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes25c288.13$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.0944753.5%239 W · 208 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed No33c269.99$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.67347.9%35 W · 38 L+7.7wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+27%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe4e5…5227backed Yes15c266.67$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.67366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.35per pick31cpaid+180.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5fb4…90f3backed No75c266.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0391…ef9bbacked Yes27c259.26$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.261631.3%5 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick18cpaid+114.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd983…d92dbacked Yes12c250$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2201735.3%6 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick25cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xba0d…9a6ebacked No75c240$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes26c231.27$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.1421445.8%98 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e28…cf34backed Yes26c227.2$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.131833.3%6 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+28%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No38c221.58$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.3514347.6%68 W · 75 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No21c212.15$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.9549850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Yes27c200$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.28058.8%47 W · 33 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-3.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1f0…6fb4backed No73c199.99$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.996836.8%25 W · 43 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x15d7…a861backed Yes26c192.31$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.314736.2%17 W · 30 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5be…5c26backed No74c188.97$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.84333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-52.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x63a6…338ebacked No74c183.51$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Yes26c180$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.29542.1%40 W · 55 L-6.7wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Yes28c178.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.574434.1%15 W · 29 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick38cpaid+3.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5b4…570cbacked No74c174.15$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.872564%16 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+19.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7baf…99a7backed Yes12c172.38$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.382725.9%7 W · 20 L+3.4wins+0.13per pick13cpaid+92.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No69c169$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.7729862.4%186 W · 112 L+34.5wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes15c166.67$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.678617.4%15 W · 71 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-30.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4e3…7716backed No74c165.32$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.34333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick65cpaid-56.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7bf9…be26backed Yes61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f02…12f5backed Yes33c153.26$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.264047.5%19 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+14.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes20c148.15$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.1511619%22 W · 94 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x447f…4f2abacked Yes14c140$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.171060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+49.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5562…3b41backed Yes27c137$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.019353.8%50 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0bb7…bd5dbacked No74c134.09$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.23250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Yes14c132.91$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.319937.4%37 W · 62 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb3c…de27backed No74c128.98$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.4530%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc880…d360backed No74c126.13$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.34333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-56.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6321…86fcbacked No74c125.64$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.95333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick67cpaid-32%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Yes26c125$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.55236.5%19 W · 33 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-24.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9b74…8b14backed No74c124.89$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.4240%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x26c9…3aedbacked No74c123.18$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.15333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick67cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf836…ab89backed No74c122.26$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.47250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No74c120.9$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.1641854.8%229 W · 189 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes45c120.5$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.824238.4%93 W · 149 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x010b…d744backed Yes27c116$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+271.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9734…8f5ebacked Yes26c115.83$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.832653.8%14 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb91…0cacbacked Yes30c115.03$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.03425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-17.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d52…f748backed Yes27c111.48$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.48742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick30cpaid+61%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8db3…e1b3backed No74c109.67$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.06450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-25.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0db7…5c06backed Yes37c107.92$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.928644.2%38 W · 48 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed No74c100$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$745176.5%39 W · 12 L+5.1wins+0.10per pick66cpaid+9.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x36ea…be40backed Yes12c100$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick26cpaid+316.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No73c99.99$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.9918951.3%97 W · 92 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+21.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Yes26c98$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.593961.5%24 W · 15 L+5.0wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+26.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xeeef…c1a1backed No74c96.76$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.51250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3387…6634backed Yes27c94$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+271.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8544…3d33backed Yes80c92.5$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.51369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick67cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Yes30c86.67$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.6738739.8%154 W · 233 L-1.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes37c84.26$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.1123345.1%105 W · 128 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41ad…8dddbacked No27c84$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.442458.3%14 W · 10 L+5.0wins+0.21per pick38cpaid+52.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Yes24c82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.323268.8%22 W · 10 L+8.6wins+0.27per pick42cpaid+81.2%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.