Euroleague · resolved market
FC Bayern Munchen vs. ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x521259212005aed765dae948e039477fadd16a2f16164e5443abceba4e1f03da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FC Bayern Munchenof FC Bayern Munchen, ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,809
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,556
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,809 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x26f8…3452backed FC Bayern Munchen | 63c | 5,455$3,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,018.34 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27b0…fc67backed FC Bayern Munchen | 65c | 3,000$1,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.8 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 35c | 896$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.6 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…b3b6backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 35c | 847.78$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.72 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ba…06b3backed FC Bayern Munchen | 59c | 672.77$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.82 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 42c | 660.5$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 38c | 620.57$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.96 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed FC Bayern Munchen | 72c | 601.78$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.64 | 214 | 44.4%95 W · 119 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 37c | 547.05$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.89 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked FC Bayern Munchen | 74c | 407.72$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.72 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf9…626dbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed FC Bayern Munchen | 61c | 339.31$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.33 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c8…d506backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 28c | 337.64$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.54 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd096…2f6fbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 46c | 328.91$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 28c | 306$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.68 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4245…62ebbacked FC Bayern Munchen | 58c | 300$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked FC Bayern Munchen | 72c | 236.5$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.22 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d3…acf8backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 46c | 221.43$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 31c | 200.96$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.17 | 140 | 37.9%53 W · 87 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…5ec2backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed FC Bayern Munchen | 63c | 191.14$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.35 | 269 | 35.3%95 W · 174 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 32c | 182.72$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.77 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x025d…c171backed FC Bayern Munchen | 60c | 167$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 36c | 134$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.28 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39bb…9e51backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.8 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +120.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed FC Bayern Munchen | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 28c | 88.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed FC Bayern Munchen | 14c | 87$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 19cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 34c | 85.01$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.69 | 255 | 17.6%45 W · 210 L | -29.4wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 16c | 81.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 28c | 73.68$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.63 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 27c | 72.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…899bbacked FC Bayern Munchen | 67c | 57.06$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.99 | 209 | 36.4%76 W · 133 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 36c | 57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4684…3944backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 36c | 56.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed FC Bayern Munchen | 60c | 54.3$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 265 | 44.5%118 W · 147 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 42c | 52$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a18…61a0backed FC Bayern Munchen | 73c | 41.35$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 197 | 48.2%95 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbef…0c11backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 26c | 39.35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 135 | 45.9%62 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d42…0b66backed FC Bayern Munchen | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x342d…33ccbacked FC Bayern Munchen | 61c | 32.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3712…36b2backed FC Bayern Munchen | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +95.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 42c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed FC Bayern Munchen | 60c | 24.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c70…2523backed FC Bayern Munchen | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5004…c07bbacked FC Bayern Munchen | 74c | 16.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.