Euroleague · resolved market
Fenerbahce vs. Olimpia Milano
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x695bafa9f3ae9ab71e17a39fa8d17a050056f97fe8eb7490af5c128cec9e56f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fenerbahceof Fenerbahce, Olimpia Milano
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,566
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,740
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,566 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9ab0…ddd0backed Fenerbahce | 57c | 3,491$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,510.34 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Olimpia Milano | 52c | 2,094$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090.05 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Olimpia Milano | 26c | 1,625$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.26 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…c249backed Fenerbahce | 74c | 1,356$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.97 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Olimpia Milano | 33c | 1,293$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.12 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…884ebacked Olimpia Milano | 12c | 1,204$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.98 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1efc…1a6bbacked Fenerbahce | 49c | 1,013$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Olimpia Milano | 50c | 966.36$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.89 | 265 | 44.5%118 W · 147 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Olimpia Milano | 27c | 922.19$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.87 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Olimpia Milano | 49c | 748.13$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.74 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Fenerbahce | 72c | 706.51$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.73 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Fenerbahce | 51c | 630.97$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.97 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Olimpia Milano | 32c | 584.92$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.15 | 269 | 35.3%95 W · 174 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c8…d506backed Olimpia Milano | 28c | 571.43$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Olimpia Milano | 27c | 552.89$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.24 | 120 | 40.8%49 W · 71 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda22…6d2abacked Fenerbahce | 73c | 547.95$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.95 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Olimpia Milano | 42c | 531.07$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.61 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Fenerbahce | 59c | 506.53$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.53 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Fenerbahce | 60c | 503.22$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.22 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd744…ee84backed Fenerbahce | 62c | 483.49$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.49 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd43b…5913backed Fenerbahce | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.19 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Olimpia Milano | 26c | 394.3$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.06 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfde5…676cbacked Fenerbahce | 70c | 314$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.9 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a0…1f3dbacked Fenerbahce | 42c | 295.69$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.07 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Olimpia Milano | 62c | 280.14$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.69 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Olimpia Milano | 58c | 278.7$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.29 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Olimpia Milano | 27c | 270$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.64 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.33per pick | 33cpaid | +99.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Olimpia Milano | 62c | 212.21$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.42 | 114 | 55.3%63 W · 51 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d8…e72dbacked Fenerbahce | 39c | 208.23$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.49 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Olimpia Milano | 41c | 208$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.46 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3492…983fbacked Olimpia Milano | 60c | 208$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 42cpaid | +89.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Fenerbahce | 42c | 181.07$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.02 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Olimpia Milano | 35c | 166$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.54 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b13…e9f7backed Fenerbahce | 51c | 151.65$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.31 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x511a…9745backed Fenerbahce | 74c | 135.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.44 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec7…1e38backed Olimpia Milano | 39c | 135$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.65 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e8…ed04backed Fenerbahce | 75c | 133.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.21 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a18…61a0backed Fenerbahce | 75c | 132$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.03 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Olimpia Milano | 38c | 130$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb32…787dbacked Fenerbahce | 40c | 124.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.39 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Fenerbahce | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6bf…9ac0backed Fenerbahce | 73c | 110.66$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.66 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Olimpia Milano | 12c | 106.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 352 | 34.7%122 W · 230 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x342d…33ccbacked Fenerbahce | 62c | 105.64$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.64 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…fe3bbacked Olimpia Milano | 38c | 105$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +117.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49dd…2a32backed Olimpia Milano | 33c | 99.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.96 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…14eabacked Olimpia Milano | 45c | 97.49$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.87 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed Olimpia Milano | 43c | 97.49$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.92 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Fenerbahce | 43c | 93.74$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.74 | 109 | 26.6%29 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Fenerbahce | 54c | 92.96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.81 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -7.9wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa71c…e905backed Olimpia Milano | 29c | 89.13$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…92febacked Olimpia Milano | 29c | 87.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…e4cabacked Fenerbahce | 56c | 84.09$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x934c…d02bbacked Fenerbahce | 43c | 74$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.18 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Olimpia Milano | 25c | 73.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.64 | 214 | 44.4%95 W · 119 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56cd…2ddcbacked Olimpia Milano | 46c | 72$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.42 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbd…7d99backed Fenerbahce | 75c | 68.28$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed Olimpia Milano | 49c | 66.25$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.46 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce0…2b8abacked Fenerbahce | 73c | 61.64$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Fenerbahce | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x093a…1b3fbacked Fenerbahce | 50c | 54$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6128…b632backed Fenerbahce | 40c | 52.35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +103.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Fenerbahce | 73c | 49$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Fenerbahce | 62c | 48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 181 | 44.2%80 W · 101 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Fenerbahce | 73c | 47.39$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.82 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8687…1db0backed Fenerbahce | 73c | 44.63$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.05 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Olimpia Milano | 27c | 41.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Fenerbahce | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x296f…dd54backed Fenerbahce | 73c | 39.31$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.61 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3634…67c1backed Fenerbahce | 36c | 38.71$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +176.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Olimpia Milano | 45c | 37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc20…0522backed Fenerbahce | 36c | 33.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.02 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69e2…21f4backed Olimpia Milano | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1951…7542backed Fenerbahce | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 72cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed Olimpia Milano | 49c | 28.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c52…6431backed Fenerbahce | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0039…602fbacked Fenerbahce | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabdd…4f81backed Fenerbahce | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Fenerbahce | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Fenerbahce | 73c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.