TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-09?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,148,113
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,158,233

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,148,113 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x57cd…a0fbbacked No54c224,249$121,324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102,925.633240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9c4…6f95backed No53c166,141$87,733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78,407.62161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+23%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes45c112,881$51,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51,099.5914740.8%60 W · 87 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3de4…b032backed No55c66,878$36,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,018.56450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Yes47c41,209$19,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,368.461163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+27.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes47c35,417$16,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,495.2491950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes45c31,933$14,458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,458.0184850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Yes47c28,840$13,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,554.81855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe87…6fc0backed No59c26,885$15,859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,025.961145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-28.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No55c24,523$13,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,003.971,03950%520 W · 519 L+26.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed No55c23,935$13,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,653.024544.4%20 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Yes47c20,827$9,789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,788.51963.2%12 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+42.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked No56c17,700$9,912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,787.922825%7 W · 21 L-8.4wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-59.7%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0x5db5…1a50backed Yes37c16,180$6,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,024.933231.3%10 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed No56c13,892$7,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,112.661526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.21per pick48cpaid-49%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Yes48c12,788$6,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,138.321030%3 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-38.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No49c12,691$6,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,475.676941.9%322 W · 447 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Yes45c12,543$5,659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,659.124141.5%17 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed Yes47c12,399$5,828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,827.681050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No57c11,797$6,724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,072.573452.9%18 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x598e…7336backed Yes49c11,049$5,414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,413.9250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed No55c10,966$6,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,927.712572%18 W · 7 L+4.2wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+39.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1350…0841backed No54c10,434$5,634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,799.64616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick49cpaid-69.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Yes47c10,094$4,744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,744.182236.4%8 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-28.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd577…2bb7backed No53c10,044$5,324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,719.71666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+26.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x37e7…1a08backed No55c9,997$5,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,498.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Yes45c9,978$4,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,490.085740.4%23 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes47c9,849$4,629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,628.963839.5%15 W · 23 L-4.4wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-23.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xab10…9905backed Yes45c9,670$4,352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,351.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed Yes49c8,881$4,351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,351.371936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Yes47c8,446$3,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,969.623461.8%21 W · 13 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+22.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed No57c8,350$4,759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,590.421662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+24.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes26c8,149$2,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,146.714141.5%17 W · 24 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc95b…f819backed Yes47c8,034$3,776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,775.981050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Yes47c8,000$3,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,7602050%10 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes47c7,948$3,737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,736.981850%9 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-18.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No60c7,848$4,677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,170.7144952.6%236 W · 213 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee0b…e6d4backed No55c7,523$4,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,385.321546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No52c7,459$3,903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,555.937851.3%40 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ad6…caadbacked Yes44c7,146$3,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,123.261546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No42c6,910$2,874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,036.041,60438.9%624 W · 980 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes73c6,561$4,773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,772.5212868%87 W · 41 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+18.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1058…7314backed Yes42c6,500$2,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,729.9820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked Yes43c5,903$2,538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,538.283360.6%20 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed No58c5,879$3,403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,475.61241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No56c5,506$3,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,401.192,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed No56c5,500$3,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,419.92123.8%5 W · 16 L-5.3wins-0.25per pick49cpaid-55.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked Yes47c5,438$2,556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,556.05875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+41.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Yes47c5,331$2,518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,517.68366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+40.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8101…e7bebacked Yes45c5,324$2,396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,396.0120%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed Yes44c5,253$2,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,320.136154.1%33 W · 28 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed No55c5,000$2,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,249.973151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed No55c5,000$2,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,269.941070%7 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+27.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed No55c4,969$2,733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,236.091533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid+1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a1a…83eabacked Yes43c4,863$2,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,090.8920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8c2…3048backed Yes43c4,829$2,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,076.47333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-42.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No56c4,710$2,631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,079.5510452.9%55 W · 49 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Yes47c4,528$2,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,148.815653.6%30 W · 26 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+24.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1572…7991backed No55c4,500$2,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,009.972860.7%17 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8401…0fa1backed Yes42c4,482$1,883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,882.59333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+203.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked No55c4,300$2,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,934.992540%10 W · 15 L-3.4wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-34.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x50e4…1cedbacked Yes45c4,298$1,934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,93410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1be…d6a2backed Yes46c4,266$1,964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,963.991040%4 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.25per pick65cpaid-41.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Yes46c4,207$1,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,935.21181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.21per pick61cpaid+31.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed Yes47c4,060$1,908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,908.03650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+25.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x768b…bf0fbacked Yes47c4,050$1,903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,903.48742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fcc…e083backed Yes49c3,914$1,937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,937.341353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+46.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes47c3,873$1,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,820.226858.8%40 W · 28 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x051f…88aebacked Yes43c3,767$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,619.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bb0…ca79backed Yes45c3,520$1,584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,583.95366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+21.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4285…cfb5backed Yes44c3,481$1,547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,546.72540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4766…0286backed Yes47c3,152$1,481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,481.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x071c…bab9backed Yes46c3,151$1,449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,449.422835.7%10 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+15.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Yes47c3,090$1,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,452.33360.6%20 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+18.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf6b0…fdbcbacked Yes43c3,020$1,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,307.611136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x40b9…b002backed No55c3,000$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,349.942466.7%16 W · 8 L+4.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+29.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x25fe…fcd4backed Yes45c2,982$1,342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,341.69250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Yes45c2,884$1,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,297.8811443.9%50 W · 64 L-8.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No74c2,883$2,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762.1778344.8%351 W · 432 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Yes45c2,854$1,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,284.2714654.1%79 W · 67 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Yes45c2,854$1,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,284.2714552.4%76 W · 69 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08f0…b809backed No52c2,766$1,439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,327.871283.3%10 W · 2 L+3.8wins+0.32per pick52cpaid+68.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0780…b0e9backed No56c2,589$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,139.04333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes49c2,565$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,260.344949%24 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe99f…0d86backed Yes44c2,558$1,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,125.56966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+48.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x52e8…8096backed Yes73c2,484$1,803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,802.610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9aa8…1f7bbacked Yes35c2,400$832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$831.971136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-32.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No56c2,349$1,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,033.7612057.5%69 W · 51 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes41c2,320$951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$950.726119.7%12 W · 49 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-31.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Yes43c2,246$966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965.81163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+33.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9977…3020backed Yes20c2,236$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd44f…6225backed Yes43c2,225$966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$966.05633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-25.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb272…ee5abacked Yes45c2,220$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.93333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+50.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Yes48c2,215$1,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,063.2630%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9459…d213backed Yes43c2,210$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$950.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2412…b5a1backed Yes44c2,196$966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$966.42227.3%6 W · 16 L-5.7wins-0.26per pick53cpaid-47.7%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes44c2,155$957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$957.033,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7f…657ebacked Yes45c2,149$967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96720%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No54c2,113$1,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$976.2527644.9%124 W · 152 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77d4…3983backed Yes43c2,106$905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905.4320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.