Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. Samsunspor end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf68081e966e5be03914612a7b63861592ae7ade7135945904c818b76cfe7553
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,448
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,448 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 25c | 3,748$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.43 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 70c | 3,429$2,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.76 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 78c | 2,884$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.47 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 75c | 1,628$1,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.48 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 75c | 1,068$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.49 | 387 | 47.5%184 W · 203 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dca…87d0backed Yes | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3520…1fa0backed Yes | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6297…1302backed Yes | 23c | 803.74$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.86 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 20c | 743.69$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.67 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…8ddbbacked Yes | 30c | 676.26$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 50c | 673.08$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.5 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11a7…2c03backed Yes | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 32c | 625.31$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 63c | 521.19$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.34 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa99a…388ebacked No | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 25 | 80%20 W · 5 L | +9.5wins | +0.38per pick | 42cpaid | +271.1%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…30fcbacked Yes | 28c | 439.29$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…97ebbacked Yes | 20c | 415$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 20c | 385.51$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.93 | 94 | 38.3%36 W · 58 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 15c | 334$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 191 | 65.4%125 W · 66 L | +18.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +29%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x788a…bff2backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Yes | 31c | 326.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 182 | 41.8%76 W · 106 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 78c | 303.26$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.46 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked No | 70c | 210$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.74 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 33c | 195.48$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.2 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7146…cc73backed Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca66…2305backed Yes | 29c | 131.55$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.15 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 28c | 130$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 9c | 122.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 437 | 21.7%95 W · 342 L | -49.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xef88…29a3backed Yes | 66c | 111.1$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.82 | 23 | 87%20 W · 3 L | +5.6wins | +0.24per pick | 63cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7b67…e889backed Yes | 62c | 103.75$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.44 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 26c | 101.73$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 94 | 37.2%35 W · 59 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec6d…ecb6backed Yes | 28c | 93.7$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 74c | 92.74$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.11 | 206 | 32%66 W · 140 L | -17.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 80c | 90.97$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd8…9372backed Yes | 21c | 86.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 50c | 85.91$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.95 | 153 | 61.4%94 W · 59 L | +10.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c33…ff7cbacked Yes | 13c | 84.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 50c | 81.27$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92c9…de3bbacked Yes | 28c | 78.11$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68e4…7f22backed Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b1…4f69backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…1973backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked Yes | 65c | 69.88$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.42 | 62 | 82.3%51 W · 11 L | +11.4wins | +0.18per pick | 64cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x92d7…c07bbacked Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Yes | 28c | 61.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Yes | 29c | 60.12$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.33 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 19c | 57.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4921…8cc3backed Yes | 48c | 57.48$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…0a8cbacked Yes | 26c | 56.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 45c | 56.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.19 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 20c | 55.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 283 | 49.1%139 W · 144 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x342d…33ccbacked Yes | 27c | 54.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9d…8ce0backed Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 20c | 50.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…251fbacked Yes | 22c | 50.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 62 | 72.6%45 W · 17 L | +7.6wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe43…c5b1backed Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c41…117bbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb53b…73f5backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 26c | 48.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c89…526abacked Yes | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked No | 40c | 44.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.99 | 60 | 25%15 W · 45 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3b…6583backed Yes | 32c | 43.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…16d6backed Yes | 32c | 43.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed No | 33c | 41.11$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.34 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 107 | 34.6%37 W · 70 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df0…b669backed Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed Yes | 32c | 34.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 34c | 34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Yes | 41c | 29.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed No | 79c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.57 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. Samsunspor end in a draw?this page
- Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-03-08?Yes won
- Will Samsunspor win on 2026-03-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.