Champions League · resolved market
Will Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61a77b110f816c3464b1f2581c2a6da984b190a83ea0834451852ee7e4ebceff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $617,510
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $617,510 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 498 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 42c | 35,674$14,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,931.56 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked Yes | 16c | 35,099$5,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,547.82 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Yes | 16c | 16,453$2,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,632.47 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked No | 65c | 15,584$10,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,459.06 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 51c | 14,330$7,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,008.85 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x150d…af7abacked Yes | 17c | 13,534$2,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Yes | 16c | 12,988$2,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,063.15 | 247 | 42.5%105 W · 142 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 17c | 10,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 219 | 38.4%84 W · 135 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca40…83f6backed Yes | 20c | 10,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked No | 49c | 8,655$4,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,422.87 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked Yes | 17c | 7,668$1,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,278.68 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 16c | 7,000$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090 | 291 | 36.8%107 W · 184 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…b48fbacked Yes | 18c | 6,530$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,151.52 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed Yes | 16c | 6,000$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.38 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 17c | 5,647$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.62 | 132 | 45.5%60 W · 72 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…cd41backed No | 74c | 5,197$3,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,329.51 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 74cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x702b…dedebacked Yes | 17c | 4,888$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc4…803dbacked Yes | 18c | 4,544$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 22cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 28c | 4,403$1,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,232.6 | 397 | 43.3%172 W · 225 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x203b…acd1backed Yes | 17c | 4,210$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.69 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked Yes | 24c | 4,196$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.41 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 31c | 4,187$1,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,281.11 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 65c | 4,158$2,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,456.67 | 343 | 42.3%145 W · 198 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…6d9ebacked Yes | 17c | 4,135$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 80c | 4,001$3,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.88 | 382 | 53.9%206 W · 176 L | +21.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…db0abacked Yes | 17c | 3,547$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1b…62c9backed Yes | 17c | 3,300$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 50c | 3,273$1,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,624.09 | 440 | 33.9%149 W · 291 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Yes | 68c | 3,221$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | -8.6wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 18c | 3,044$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.15 | 298 | 46.3%138 W · 160 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 15c | 3,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7e…1cc7backed Yes | 16c | 3,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Yes | 17c | 2,941$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a6…bca4backed Yes | 17c | 2,647$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed No | 78c | 2,619$2,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.3 | 66 | 66.7%44 W · 22 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed Yes | 18c | 2,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe427…c02bbacked Yes | 17c | 2,382$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 23cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…f1ccbacked Yes | 54c | 2,374$1,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41e1…f9a8backed Yes | 17c | 2,353$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.97 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a3…e4b7backed Yes | 17c | 2,265$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 73c | 2,036$1,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.62 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 16c | 2,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 20c | 1,935$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.99 | 389 | 35.2%137 W · 252 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 18c | 1,932$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.75 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ccc…f2dabacked Yes | 73c | 1,908$1,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,393.98 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Yes | 31c | 1,848$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.3 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe137…a117backed Yes | 47c | 1,809$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21a5…014bbacked Yes | 17c | 1,786$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b0…fc67backed Yes | 17c | 1,765$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +6.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…942abacked Yes | 17c | 1,765$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 24c | 1,746$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.1 | 272 | 36.4%99 W · 173 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf0…9d7ebacked Yes | 75c | 1,661$1,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,248.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +99.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a8…8194backed Yes | 17c | 1,649$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.59 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 27cpaid | +143.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 79c | 1,596$1,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.02 | 338 | 51.5%174 W · 164 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…9caebacked Yes | 17c | 1,594$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 17cpaid | +79.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Yes | 18c | 1,544$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a0…92dfbacked Yes | 16c | 1,518$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.09 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 30c | 1,501$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.29 | 145 | 32.4%47 W · 98 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 15c | 1,500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 90 | 40%36 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 17c | 1,464$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.84 | 129 | 35.7%46 W · 83 L | -12.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa976…5c43backed Yes | 19c | 1,452$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.5 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked No | 70c | 1,429$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.57 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 39c | 1,425$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.65 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes | 16c | 1,402$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.32 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 23c | 1,400$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…77fdbacked No | 48c | 1,386$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.14 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x246b…fb5bbacked Yes | 77c | 1,295$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 32c | 1,221$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.03 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 34c | 1,200$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.13 | 203 | 43.3%88 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc079…8accbacked Yes | 16c | 1,199$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.84 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae46…7889backed Yes | 17c | 1,182$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaba5…9a02backed Yes | 18c | 1,111$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…af18backed Yes | 8c | 1,111$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.88 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe831…a42abacked No | 70c | 1,070$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.99 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 40c | 1,035$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.62 | 249 | 63.1%157 W · 92 L | +45.5wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d2…090fbacked No | 55c | 1,025$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.3 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0d…ff14backed Yes | 70c | 1,001$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.42 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Yes | 32c | 1,001$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f84…e4b4backed Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Yes | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Yes | 69c | 987.41$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 18c | 983.52$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.69 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a8…4d27backed Yes | 17c | 982.35$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x546e…9f84backed Yes | 20c | 976.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc7…0602backed Yes | 17c | 931.23$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.31 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e3…47acbacked Yes | 17c | 929.41$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 13c | 920.28$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.1 | 85 | 23.5%20 W · 65 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc52c…6732backed Yes | 26c | 917.5$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 20cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 18c | 916.05$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.05 | 150 | 38.7%58 W · 92 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 16c | 887$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.33 | 434 | 27.4%119 W · 315 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…0584backed Yes | 17c | 882.35$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69a6…7a2cbacked Yes | 54c | 864.88$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.37 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…3313backed Yes | 19c | 852.94$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa311…a4ebbacked Yes | 17c | 800$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…fab1backed Yes | 16c | 800$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…cea5backed Yes | 28c | 789.65$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0004…80c7backed Yes | 57c | 761.74$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.19 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed Yes | 16c | 756.25$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5d0…a6e5backed Yes | 48c | 754.2$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?this page
- Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17?No won
- Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.