Bundesliga · resolved market
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Hamburger SV end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf05db96abba40dd74bed986056da419313bedec8865f2d906bcfeeb454710b28
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $144,169
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $144,169 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 79c | 20,298$16,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,238.15 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 30c | 7,067$2,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,135.51 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 19c | 6,077$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150.04 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 78c | 6,008$4,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,324.83 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 66c | 5,700$3,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,910.46 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 19c | 5,426$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.95 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 20c | 4,482$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.43 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc4…803dbacked Yes | 19c | 3,374$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x702b…dedebacked Yes | 19c | 2,632$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +3.6wins | +0.17per pick | 26cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5dca…87d0backed Yes | 17c | 2,499$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.89 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 36cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 22c | 2,236$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd0…3373backed Yes | 21c | 2,143$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 25c | 2,079$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.48 | 241 | 32%77 W · 164 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 31c | 2,035$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.83 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Yes | 11c | 1,556$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fcc…e083backed Yes | 35c | 1,438$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e0…776ebacked Yes | 33c | 1,357$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.51 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…03e9backed Yes | 30c | 1,267$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.73 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 19c | 1,249$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.39 | 95 | 32.6%31 W · 64 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 70c | 1,183$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.04 | 113 | 56.6%64 W · 49 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…6952backed Yes | 28c | 1,160$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.41 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3520…1fa0backed Yes | 21c | 952.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 15c | 817$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.97 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 80c | 805.05$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.01 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 75c | 773.41$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.97 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe427…c02bbacked Yes | 19c | 749.82$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.47 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfe…294cbacked Yes | 20c | 697.05$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.41 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74bb…1759backed Yes | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 26cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Yes | 20c | 630$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed No | 80c | 604.46$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.52 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 20c | 600$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 55c | 574.27$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.07 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Yes | 31c | 531.65$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.4 | 177 | 49.7%88 W · 89 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 19c | 528.42$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 264 | 33.3%88 W · 176 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b70…3102backed Yes | 19c | 522.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.88 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 14c | 515.6$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.6 | 222 | 45.9%102 W · 120 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce72…cbefbacked Yes | 21c | 515.14$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.18 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x367b…a306backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfece…8b97backed Yes | 17c | 500$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde80…d8b9backed Yes | 21c | 485.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Yes | 21c | 480.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +6.3wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes | 21c | 447.81$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.04 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 15c | 414$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.41 | 238 | 42.9%102 W · 136 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 19c | 414$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.66 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes | 20c | 410$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Yes | 34c | 408.03$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.73 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -5.0wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3696…69cebacked No | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.3 | 57 | 71.9%41 W · 16 L | +7.7wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 69c | 354.87$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.45 | 398 | 57.5%229 W · 169 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc6…df85backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 16c | 315.24$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.76 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 15c | 312.87$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.04 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Yes | 30c | 312.48$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.12 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x784d…9827backed Yes | 23c | 300$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8db…bbddbacked Yes | 30c | 297.64$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ce…ab45backed Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 126 | 35.7%45 W · 81 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe728…9d87backed Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 22cpaid | +323.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 80c | 237.83$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.57 | 226 | 69%156 W · 70 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked Yes | 11c | 222.92$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x422f…da1abacked Yes | 10c | 221.55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 20c | 206.33$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.27 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +5.7wins | +0.14per pick | 27cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1002…1ef5backed Yes | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37dc…85ccbacked Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…99a7backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +99.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Yes | 31c | 199.7$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.91 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x087f…2ebfbacked No | 70c | 193.93$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.75 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaae6…095ebacked Yes | 20c | 187.2$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed No | 42c | 181$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.98 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37a0…8423backed Yes | 24c | 179.17$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e79…2d68backed Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d8…e72dbacked Yes | 22c | 162.41$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.73 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Yes | 13c | 157$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…fcd8backed Yes | 31c | 156.11$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.39 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 19c | 150.29$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 330 | 47.3%156 W · 174 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd983…d92dbacked Yes | 20c | 149.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 11c | 148.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbff4…b609backed Yes | 17c | 140$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Yes | 10c | 137.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +6.5wins | +0.27per pick | 10cpaid | +187.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 74c | 128.95$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.95 | 531 | 40.7%216 W · 315 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Yes | 19c | 125$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…1973backed Yes | 25c | 116$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffff…4413backed Yes | 21c | 111.13$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.81 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 18c | 111$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9805…08f9backed Yes | 18c | 110$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9269…5eb8backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 35cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c29…87dcbacked Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 36cpaid | +147.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 24c | 100.66$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 108 | 65.7%71 W · 37 L | +8.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe592…691abacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.31per pick | 59cpaid | -62%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6daa…2c78backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ee…4824backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8efb…c73ebacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab08…37fabacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b92…b96bbacked Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 37c | 90.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.95 | 160 | 46.9%75 W · 85 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 26c | 90$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Yes | 12c | 88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Hamburger SV end in a draw?this page
- Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-03-21?Yes won
- Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-03-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.