Bundesliga · resolved market
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-03-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd833cc8f594197237c9d0b89f47938edce31905feb92091904bc2dce0ddd754b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $839,569
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $839,569 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 576 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 31c | 40,851$12,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,865.37 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 69c | 26,690$18,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,143.25 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 52c | 26,638$13,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,784.32 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…dc5cbacked No | 32c | 24,199$7,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,693.47 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 41cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 56c | 23,215$12,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,947.79 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 30c | 23,025$6,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,997.59 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 57c | 19,153$10,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,307.62 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +10.5wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 69c | 17,546$12,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,428.91 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed No | 32c | 16,568$5,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,301.76 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 32c | 12,906$4,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,791.18 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No | 31c | 11,085$3,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,436.43 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85e8…474abacked No | 32c | 10,875$3,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,480 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…fd24backed Yes | 69c | 10,063$6,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,119.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43b6…9a9bbacked No | 31c | 10,002$3,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,150.53 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 30c | 9,997$2,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.1 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 40c | 8,815$3,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,525.4 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…6280backed No | 31c | 7,542$2,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,339.04 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 32c | 7,300$2,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,336 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 46c | 6,782$3,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,149.78 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 69c | 6,626$4,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,039.62 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd29…77aebacked Yes | 67c | 6,570$4,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,168.21 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 31c | 5,760$1,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,785.6 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29cc…3c29backed No | 32c | 5,694$1,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,822.08 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf80…4e15backed Yes | 70c | 5,541$3,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,662.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd0…3373backed Yes | 33c | 5,167$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,466.99 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a87…4e00backed No | 32c | 5,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.99 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd09…05b2backed No | 30c | 4,997$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.06 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…b48fbacked Yes | 77c | 4,886$3,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…2f68backed No | 30c | 4,769$1,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,436.4 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7b…ed88backed Yes | 39c | 4,721$1,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,879.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…b5a1backed Yes | 68c | 4,500$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.99 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd1…e532backed Yes | 70c | 4,266$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,266.18 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…5104backed Yes | 25c | 3,996$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,985.7 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +121.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…e1f5backed No | 30c | 3,990$1,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196.97 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -6.0wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf032…ad8cbacked No | 30c | 3,678$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103.26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3e…ca47backed Yes | 63c | 3,626$2,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,336.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…97dfbacked No | 32c | 3,488$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,116.16 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 30c | 3,448$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.14 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5f…ce01backed Yes | 69c | 3,328$2,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3497…812bbacked Yes | 69c | 2,995$2,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f20…96a8backed No | 31c | 2,977$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.87 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…819ebacked Yes | 70c | 2,756$1,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.89 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf887…db68backed Yes | 71c | 2,745$1,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.14 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20c1…df04backed Yes | 42c | 2,734$1,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,598.35 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +4.9wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Yes | 47c | 2,679$1,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,433.09 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a8…06d9backed No | 31c | 2,654$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.66 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.29per pick | 37cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc88b…af8bbacked No | 31c | 2,629$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.22 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…187cbacked Yes | 68c | 2,500$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.99 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Yes | 70c | 2,150$1,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 31c | 2,115$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.87 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 30c | 2,084$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.3 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 13c | 2,000$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes | 16c | 2,000$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…d4bfbacked Yes | 65c | 1,732$1,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.19 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 68cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 50c | 1,702$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.65 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 29c | 1,700$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +95.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 53c | 1,671$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.01 | 238 | 42.9%102 W · 136 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 69c | 1,670$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.57 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e0…776ebacked No | 22c | 1,638$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.78 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Yes | 69c | 1,623$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.52 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 45c | 1,610$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Yes | 68c | 1,600$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.94 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -5.0wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9184…6048backed Yes | 61c | 1,536$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.59 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Yes | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ace…95a9backed Yes | 68c | 1,500$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -17%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Yes | 34c | 1,498$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.39 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 70c | 1,429$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.57 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…d6a2backed Yes | 70c | 1,423$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.54 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 68cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9c…9979backed Yes | 71c | 1,404$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…a834backed Yes | 51c | 1,379$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.46 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.31per pick | 58cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 38c | 1,296$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.5 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7896…c2ffbacked Yes | 40c | 1,252$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b6…fa47backed No | 31c | 1,218$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.58 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 37c | 1,182$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.35 | 306 | 47.1%144 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed Yes | 44c | 1,140$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.4 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1806…5234backed Yes | 67c | 1,101$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.91 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 52cpaid | +119.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad4…e8e8backed Yes | 64c | 1,095$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb442…bed7backed Yes | 70c | 1,029$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.57 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Yes | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf21…be19backed Yes | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4457…f3e2backed Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +6.2wins | +0.41per pick | 32cpaid | +151.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc638…43b4backed Yes | 13c | 999.95$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.87per pick | 13cpaid | +669.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 31c | 993.89$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.06 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 76c | 965.59$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.31 | 446 | 55.4%247 W · 199 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…6952backed Yes | 69c | 963.01$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.53 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Yes | 13c | 953.85$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.85 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 77c | 944.48$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.87 | 222 | 45.9%102 W · 120 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 30c | 924.87$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.72 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26f2…65d8backed No | 30c | 913.98$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…d5e6backed Yes | 25c | 850$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf52…555ebacked Yes | 68c | 827.22$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.22 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Yes | 56c | 824.5$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.47 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 30c | 812$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.6 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 69c | 810$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.83 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes | 13c | 807.69$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.69 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked Yes | 16c | 800$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.26 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 26c | 799.26$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.13 | 177 | 49.7%88 W · 89 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…65a6backed No | 49c | 798.6$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.84 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-03-21?this page
- Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Hamburger SV end in a draw?No won
- Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-03-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.