NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe43e11058aa0a5c5322551369c7225229d8611d872b0979d776a1fe280b7a51b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Magicof Pistons, Magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $238,655
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $236,491
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $238,655 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 214 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Pistons | 43c | 20,735$8,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,960.06 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c86…d939backed Pistons | 47c | 14,420$6,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,777.4 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x162b…3d49backed Magic | 50c | 11,024$5,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,512.09 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…c96ebacked Pistons | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Pistons | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Pistons | 50c | 9,985$4,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,992.43 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pistons | 47c | 8,642$4,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,094.39 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Magic | 53c | 8,547$4,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,027.5 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Pistons | 46c | 8,112$3,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,720.55 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Magic | 52c | 7,076$3,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,386.23 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6f…2653backed Magic | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 162 | 49.4%80 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x144e…eca0backed Magic | 50c | 5,656$2,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,828 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6323…9feebacked Magic | 50c | 5,586$2,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,793.17 | 144 | 41%59 W · 85 L | -12.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Magic | 55c | 5,133$2,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,297.17 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe458…7abebacked Pistons | 48c | 4,720$2,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,265.74 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa996…8aacbacked Pistons | 50c | 4,528$2,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,263.83 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Pistons | 35c | 4,120$1,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,438.95 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Pistons | 43c | 4,000$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,719.99 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Magic | 56c | 3,827$2,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,684.05 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Magic | 56c | 3,714$2,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,641.94 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Magic | 55c | 3,597$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,617.22 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Magic | 51c | 3,058$1,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,498.31 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Magic | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pistons | 8c | 2,901$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.64 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Pistons | 46c | 2,884$1,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,331.77 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Pistons | 39c | 2,298$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.31 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Magic | 50c | 2,221$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.62 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Magic | 65c | 2,081$1,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.07 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Pistons | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Pistons | 8c | 1,950$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.12 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Magic | 50c | 1,940$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970 | 310 | 46.8%145 W · 165 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd705…fb7cbacked Pistons | 35c | 1,912$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.02 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Pistons | 3c | 1,809$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.32 | 192 | 46.4%89 W · 103 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Magic | 55c | 1,647$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.73 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pistons | 26c | 1,581$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.25 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Magic | 50c | 1,426$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.93 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Pistons | 29c | 1,286$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.78 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e40…cf85backed Pistons | 44c | 1,250$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Pistons | 51c | 1,179$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.43 | 333 | 60.4%201 W · 132 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed Pistons | 49c | 1,090$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.51 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Magic | 49c | 1,015$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.65 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Pistons | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.72 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x002d…2561backed Pistons | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e43…5a67backed Pistons | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06cd…2a26backed Pistons | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…1953backed Pistons | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -36%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20d…f054backed Pistons | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…7b24backed Pistons | 51c | 970.6$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.01 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Magic | 52c | 929.05$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.4 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked Magic | 54c | 900.37$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.17 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Pistons | 43c | 859$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.37 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bca…0d11backed Magic | 51c | 830.25$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.67 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec4…b8e5backed Pistons | 49c | 800.07$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.03 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01f…8404backed Pistons | 49c | 793$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.57 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Pistons | 49c | 779.14$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.88 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…8cb4backed Pistons | 50c | 777.1$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.55 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Pistons | 46c | 642$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.16 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61e0…4b62backed Pistons | 51c | 570.94$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.18 | 527 | 60%316 W · 211 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked Magic | 53c | 551.46$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.9 | 127 | 52.8%67 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0258…06d0backed Pistons | 32c | 539.25$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.56 | 110 | 33.6%37 W · 73 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe156…134bbacked Magic | 54c | 535.79$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.46 | 112 | 35.7%40 W · 72 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Pistons | 46c | 493.94$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.24 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Pistons | 50c | 492.91$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.56 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Magic | 54c | 479$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.34 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Magic | 51c | 476.03$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.38 | 423 | 52.5%222 W · 201 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…93cebacked Magic | 49c | 439.73$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.26 | 249 | 49%122 W · 127 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Magic | 57c | 427.28$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.73 | 395 | 52.2%206 W · 189 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Magic | 57c | 421.94$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.74 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Magic | 51c | 421.31$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.47 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18ff…1721backed Magic | 51c | 414.45$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.08 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a3…1259backed Pistons | 50c | 414.19$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.1 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd7…eac9backed Pistons | 47c | 387.28$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.02 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Magic | 50c | 384.36$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.29 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0c…0f28backed Pistons | 50c | 355.02$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.51 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x580f…c80cbacked Magic | 51c | 350.39$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.69 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5c…0fc2backed Magic | 59c | 341.39$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.97 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07d0…1310backed Magic | 50c | 330.93$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1968…8c66backed Magic | 50c | 324.89$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.25 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x91ff…edfdbacked Pistons | 45c | 320.31$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.09 | 169 | 48.5%82 W · 87 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pistons | 50c | 315.93$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.87 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked Magic | 59c | 308.06$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.2 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Pistons | 48c | 302.88$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.72 | 498 | 52.6%262 W · 236 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c4…c44ebacked Pistons | 47c | 289.23$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.94 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac8…9e67backed Magic | 50c | 281.3$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.65 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Magic | 50c | 271.6$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.8 | 248 | 49.6%123 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Magic | 54c | 237.68$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.71 | 349 | 53%185 W · 164 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pistons | 47c | 209.09$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42f2…fdb4backed Pistons | 48c | 201.83$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.88 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Pistons | 47c | 199.04$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.11 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c67…a0e0backed Magic | 50c | 194$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 296 | 46.6%138 W · 158 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Magic | 51c | 190.81$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.58 | 298 | 49.3%147 W · 151 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c773backed Pistons | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.06 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Magic | 50c | 189.69$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.85 | 350 | 52.6%184 W · 166 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Magic | 50c | 188.61$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.45 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa59f…2e59backed Pistons | 10c | 187.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -4.4wins | -0.24per pick | 36cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Magic | 50c | 186.04$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.02 | 417 | 53.2%222 W · 195 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce06…c99dbacked Pistons | 51c | 184.49$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.09 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Pistons | 40c | 173.77$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.51 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Magic | 54c | 172.38$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.03 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Magic | 57c | 170.95$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.54 | 611 | 51.4%314 W · 297 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pistons (-3.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Magic won
- Desmond Bane: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Duncan Robinson: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Franz Wagner: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Franz Wagner: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Franz Wagner: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Jalen Suggs: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Jalen Suggs: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Pistons vs. MagicMagic won
- Pistons vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineMagic won
- Pistons vs. Magic: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Magic: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Magic: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 220.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 221.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 222.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 223.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 224.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 225.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 226.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 231.5Under won
- Spread: Magic (-12.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-6.5)Magic won
- Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Magic won
- Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Magic won
- Tobias Harris: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Tristan da Silva: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.