TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 226.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$40,501
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$36,590

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,501 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd69d…fe68backed Under1c8,010$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.147316.4%12 W · 61 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick17cpaid+1,317.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc38…1e98backed Under54c5,553$2,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,998.375341.5%22 W · 31 L-5.2wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-19.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Over46c5,233$2,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,825.991,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Under3c4,895$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.8514438.9%56 W · 88 L+32.5wins+0.23per pick16cpaid+228.3%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0x6560…e164backed Over48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0401100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under35c1,335$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.891,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over48c1,266$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658.932,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under52c1,258$654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654.236,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29bd…80c9backed Over44c1,240$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.418649.5%92 W · 94 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Over68c1,078$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.7465872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under52c955.12$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.8768838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Over69c543.44$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.4740344.4%179 W · 224 L-23.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under4c500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa427…f87fbacked Under4c499.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2046255.6%257 W · 205 L+22.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x53cd…11b3backed Under39c494.05$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.689139.6%36 W · 55 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Over79c492.03$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.1431345.7%143 W · 170 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under61c453.44$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.62,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over37c405.92$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.732,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Over43c374.98$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.347436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over36c364.06$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2333,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8e91…fffabacked Under43c355.49$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.22862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Over41c346.25$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.1181349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f2c…c700backed Under58c336.14$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.96520%1 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.38per pick58cpaid-68.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under32c320.32$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.51,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Under31c299.98$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.3720741.1%85 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Under62c269.51$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.0990957.6%524 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over53c263.58$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.948,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Over35c250$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.579650.9%405 W · 391 L+63.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over42c206.17$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.589,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over37c192.67$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.815,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Over46c179.97$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.1822453.1%119 W · 105 L+29.4wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+29.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x9d43…86e7backed Over47c157.82$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.645450%27 W · 27 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ee1…377abacked Over40c145.35$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.213342.4%14 W · 19 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over45c143.21$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.12,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0bf8…03b2backed Under60c130.13$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.0827549.5%136 W · 139 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over42c127.19$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.671,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f39…fc7fbacked Under60c116.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.191040%4 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-34.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Under63c111.94$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.971,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over42c106.98$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.051,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under42c104.26$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.632,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x051d…1992backed Under55c99.99$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5514330.8%44 W · 99 L+6.5wins+0.05per pick26cpaid-10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7793…33a6backed Over46c84$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.7629344.4%130 W · 163 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8034…2463backed Over48c80.73$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.986645.5%30 W · 36 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-17.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c18…c208backed Under61c80.05$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.8311253.6%60 W · 52 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over49c77.12$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.281,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9209…b4d5backed Over49c75.8$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.6627646.7%129 W · 147 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Under36c72.04$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.1337753.8%203 W · 174 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under54c71.62$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.674,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under54c63.21$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.132,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9868…907ebacked Under45c60.73$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0410623.6%25 W · 81 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86f3…685cbacked Under57c58.45$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3212558.4%73 W · 52 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over46c56.17$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.332,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over39c56.16$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.244,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Under40c55.76$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.595049.4%469 W · 481 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa34d…b57fbacked Over50c54.81$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.4115662.8%98 W · 58 L+10.4wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+7.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1b2c…5e10backed Under58c50.42$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2425752.5%135 W · 122 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5409…b663backed Under56c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3fa…cdb2backed Under61c48.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.793256.3%18 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc4b…0da9backed Under52c44.66$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.314658.7%27 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+11.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Under51c42.5$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6821149.3%104 W · 107 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4162…0d18backed Under47c42.17$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.956848.5%33 W · 35 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5587…6d07backed Under50c38.95$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.49966.7%66 W · 33 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+14.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x08fb…8b8bbacked Under54c38.9$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216746.3%31 W · 36 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over50c38.35$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.293,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over40c37.71$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.632,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cad…0303backed Over45c33.97$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6911059.1%65 W · 45 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x38bb…2fcfbacked Under59c33.23$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.54946.9%23 W · 26 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick54cpaid+9.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x391c…ea3fbacked Under60c32.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.524645.7%21 W · 25 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-20.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa9a9…73debacked Over44c31.65$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.722857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbbdf…b8a0backed Under59c29.73$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.569854.1%53 W · 45 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a53…074abacked Over65c29.44$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.215448.1%26 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over37c29.33$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.421,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6276…7f2ebacked Over72c27.31$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.6519166.5%127 W · 64 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ece…068abacked Over40c26.99$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.24032.5%13 W · 27 L-6.4wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-34%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0bec…c707backed Over68c26.73$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.5516053.8%86 W · 74 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8584…6b7dbacked Over68c26.73$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.559958.6%58 W · 41 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8b9…46e4backed Over69c26.52$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.345855.2%32 W · 26 L+5.5wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x792a…7364backed Under56c26.08$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.621649.1%106 W · 110 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d96…e396backed Over43c25.11$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.311154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67f4…0cb2backed Over46c24.96$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.542759.3%16 W · 11 L+3.3wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+19%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9ac2…f47cbacked Under61c24.01$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.653145.2%14 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Over52c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5271752%373 W · 344 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Over63c23.51$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.6235052.6%184 W · 166 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over63c23.46$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.5990650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa42c…b22ebacked Over63c23.42$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.5612752.8%67 W · 60 L+0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Over64c23.34$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.4929849.3%147 W · 151 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Under57c23.25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2531953%169 W · 150 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c36…e462backed Under58c19.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.611851.7%61 W · 57 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Over65c19.37$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.8222047.3%104 W · 116 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09b5…b916backed Under58c18.52$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.74250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4676…b720backed Under61c18.02$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9214264.8%92 W · 50 L+9.6wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5a67…ef90backed Under58c17.54$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-52%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Over65c16.08$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.6357051.9%296 W · 274 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.