TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 223.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$57,070
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$59,103

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,070 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over50c19,733$9,841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,892.871,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under50c19,204$9,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,610.039,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12af…ff78backed Over50c11,826$5,913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,913.083447.1%16 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Under50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00049244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x264a…85ecbacked Over50c5,763$2,881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,881.3366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+40.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7312…df72backed Under23c3,378$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$792.3510523.8%25 W · 80 L-8.2wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-38.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under50c2,750$1,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3754,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Under50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00025641.4%106 W · 150 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over72c1,595$1,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.798,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under50c1,373$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686.351,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over50c1,164$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58221247.2%100 W · 112 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under50c1,100$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.011,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under51c1,056$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.5720647.6%98 W · 108 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over48c944.83$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.884443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x09d3…3128backed Under53c887.32$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.682454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under43c801.66$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.362,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under51c796.86$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.437355%205 W · 168 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Under48c600$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28820537.1%76 W · 129 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over46c580.44$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.441,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under51c545.68$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.1481349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under50c472.65$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.333,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under52c440.2$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.91,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under50c410.08$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.574,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb628…fd2bbacked Over76c389.05$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.3711873.7%87 W · 31 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under51c356.27$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.2849249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Under51c334.22$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.4534953%185 W · 164 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over77c319.57$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4571654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Over77c319.57$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4544551.2%228 W · 217 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Under51c282$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.0247436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xddc4…0270backed Over78c253.03$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.6727745.8%127 W · 150 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under23c225.15$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.031,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over54c218.07$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.731,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under51c209.72$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.962,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Under50c199.07$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.3595049.4%469 W · 481 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd208…cbcdbacked Under51c190.31$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.0615252.6%80 W · 72 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under47c178.45$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.751,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d63…0b78backed Under62c163.4$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.6913253.8%71 W · 61 L+0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under52c161.22$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.511,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under48c161.14$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.352,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Under53c146.74$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.7242853%227 W · 201 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x440d…351fbacked Over72c135.87$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.534062.5%25 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Over57c131$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.3320741.1%85 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over76c128.99$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.3851647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under54c125.88$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.4893543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x503a…860abacked Under51c123.7$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.0912048.3%58 W · 62 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Over78c112.46$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.8941449.3%204 W · 210 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under52c106.75$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.511,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Over78c105.17$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.1456447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4fc…e772backed Over77c102.27$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.377051.4%36 W · 34 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5aa…0058backed Over50c97$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.56443.8%28 W · 36 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Under51c95.16$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5366046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Over50c91.02$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.5167248.8%328 W · 344 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf68…ed10backed Under51c87.96$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.865964.4%38 W · 21 L+7.3wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x46d3…2c20backed Over50c87.3$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.6533251.2%170 W · 162 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e3e…a78abacked Over54c85.16$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.4614237.3%53 W · 89 L-11.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-19.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x199f…7e77backed Over78c75.91$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.76861.8%42 W · 26 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a53…074abacked Over75c74.5$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.875448.1%26 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over53c74.41$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.073,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7baa…03b7backed Under50c58.53$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2633159.2%196 W · 135 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b0e…3a70backed Over50c57.98$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8815053.3%80 W · 70 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71a5…b594backed Under52c56.03$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.146237.1%23 W · 39 L-5.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-22%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Under39c53.12$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6737753.8%203 W · 174 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x00b7…5b93backed Under51c49.92$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4625651.6%132 W · 124 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61e4…fb60backed Under51c48.53$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7522044.5%98 W · 122 L-14.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xad93…6bd3backed Over46c41.66$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.3540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8138…1052backed Over50c38.8$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.49454.3%51 W · 43 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa966…208bbacked Over50c38.8$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.417349.1%85 W · 88 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8b9…46e4backed Over76c38.44$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.235855.2%32 W · 26 L+5.5wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe777…c734backed Over77c38.09$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.826639.4%26 W · 40 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked Under31c35.31$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0312227%33 W · 89 L-0.5wins0.00per pick27cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Over75c33.99$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.5327553.5%147 W · 128 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4efc…6391backed Under49c33.33$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.335853.4%31 W · 27 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x82ca…3135backed Over60c32.56$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.0514359.4%85 W · 58 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc44f…af90backed Over50c32.34$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1722454.5%122 W · 102 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbaed…5749backed Under44c32.29$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.217052.9%37 W · 33 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22e8…8435backed Over76c31.54$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.575550.9%28 W · 27 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Under50c30.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.252,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over50c29.59$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7945251.1%231 W · 221 L+1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under47c29.32$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.811,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9209…b4d5backed Over76c28.69$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.8827646.7%129 W · 147 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85e6…454ebacked Under48c28.68$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.771435.7%5 W · 9 L-3.3wins-0.23per pick59cpaid-41.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0bec…c707backed Over76c28.58$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.8616053.8%86 W · 74 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x792a…7364backed Under51c28.55$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5621649.1%106 W · 110 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Over50c28.23$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1138751.2%198 W · 189 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+27%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c8a…02acbacked Over76c26.42$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.3411346%52 W · 61 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Under50c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.520240.1%81 W · 121 L-12.4wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Over50c24.92$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3659255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb1d1…6b2cbacked Over50c23.46$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.737149.3%35 W · 36 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67f4…0cb2backed Over70c22.74$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.762759.3%16 W · 11 L+3.3wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+19%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under52c22.49$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.61,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec46…714cbacked Over78c21.1$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.561442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9985…9b14backed Under51c21.02$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.88743.7%38 W · 49 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa427…f87fbacked Over76c15.56$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.7446255.6%257 W · 205 L+22.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd35e…a1e8backed Over76c14.07$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.3815742.7%67 W · 90 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.