NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7581bec7e24a0921b2569479e1e6f3269f893fc9e4d3d1bb20e281e7be5df4b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Magicof Pistons, Magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $137,880
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $134,744
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $137,880 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 170 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Magic | 53c | 16,388$8,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,712.43 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Pistons | 47c | 11,869$5,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,578.58 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Magic | 49c | 11,648$5,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,961.03 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Pistons | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c86…d939backed Pistons | 51c | 7,613$3,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,882.4 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Pistons | 44c | 7,373$3,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,244.17 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Pistons | 47c | 5,809$2,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,730.32 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Magic | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,549.98 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d82…3847backed Pistons | 53c | 4,134$2,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,191.14 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Pistons | 47c | 4,120$1,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,936.4 | 208 | 43.8%91 W · 117 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Magic | 54c | 2,743$1,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,252.62 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbad…9e4bbacked Magic | 47c | 2,350$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,245.48 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Magic | 49c | 2,167$1,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,115.58 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Pistons | 40c | 2,100$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.1 | 205 | 37.1%76 W · 129 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7c…51b6backed Pistons | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3722…1f0abacked Magic | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d61…303dbacked Magic | 50c | 1,940$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Magic | 50c | 1,885$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.15 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50d3…bad4backed Magic | 48c | 1,600$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Magic | 56c | 1,587$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.27 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Pistons | 45c | 1,455$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.78 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e36…8463backed Pistons | 49c | 1,450$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed Pistons | 46c | 1,273$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.58 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Magic | 50c | 1,135$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.66 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Pistons | 49c | 1,123$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.27 | 560 | 43.9%246 W · 314 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e40…cf85backed Magic | 44c | 1,108$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.56 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Magic | 51c | 1,060$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.24 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Pistons | 47c | 1,030$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.1 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Pistons | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc884…c422backed Pistons | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x737d…1f6bbacked Magic | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Magic | 46c | 976.65$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.78 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Magic | 48c | 974.61$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.8 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Magic | 49c | 881.59$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.69 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Pistons | 50c | 868$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.8 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Pistons | 48c | 862.47$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.96 | 592 | 55.4%328 W · 264 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72a6…cfefbacked Magic | 50c | 853.6$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.8 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Pistons | 48c | 829.99$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.4 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea4…ea06backed Magic | 50c | 814.8$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.4 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Pistons | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 625 | 39.4%246 W · 379 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Magic | 51c | 747.59$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.59 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Pistons | 54c | 743.96$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.75 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Pistons | 54c | 731.97$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.26 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Magic | 53c | 731.8$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.95 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Magic | 61c | 647.64$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.54 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Magic | 52c | 623.86$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.45 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Pistons | 51c | 615.16$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.09 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Magic | 52c | 599.33$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.63 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc25…4fa8backed Pistons | 49c | 593.51$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.82 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Pistons | 46c | 589.91$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.36 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Magic | 53c | 588.01$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.37 | 349 | 53%185 W · 164 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Pistons | 53c | 583.08$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.03 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked Magic | 51c | 570.94$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.76 | 127 | 52.8%67 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c7…2e93backed Magic | 51c | 536.63$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.95 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…dda7backed Pistons | 51c | 535.18$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.94 | 242 | 47.1%114 W · 128 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198c…6a94backed Pistons | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2b…5271backed Magic | 53c | 492.99$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.7 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68bf…3e67backed Pistons | 47c | 484.1$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.53 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Pistons | 54c | 450.47$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.08 | 423 | 52.5%222 W · 201 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Magic | 51c | 448.59$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.81 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Magic | 52c | 389.83$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.05 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Magic | 50c | 377.24$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.95 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Pistons | 54c | 360.58$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.71 | 298 | 49.3%147 W · 151 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa09e…9368backed Magic | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bca…0d11backed Pistons | 53c | 293.72$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.67 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked Magic | 53c | 288.15$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.43 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Pistons | 49c | 288.08$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.4 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Pistons | 43c | 288.07$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.87 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd97…7825backed Pistons | 48c | 268.42$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.01 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2e…caf6backed Magic | 47c | 261.95$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.83 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb51…f32cbacked Magic | 52c | 255.92$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.66 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Magic | 48c | 255.87$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.05 | 377 | 55.2%208 W · 169 L | +23.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Pistons | 52c | 249.91$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.95 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ece…068abacked Magic | 53c | 248.76$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.92 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -6.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -34%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Pistons | 44c | 228.41$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc97b…27e5backed Magic | 48c | 222.9$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.21 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 51cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Pistons | 53c | 215.27$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.08 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Pistons | 53c | 213.7$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.37 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Pistons | 50c | 208.15$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.21 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Pistons | 46c | 206$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.76 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Pistons | 47c | 197.59$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.36 | 369 | 49.6%183 W · 186 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1629…8510backed Pistons | 50c | 194$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Pistons | 54c | 180.07$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.24 | 350 | 52.6%184 W · 166 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f06…7485backed Pistons | 48c | 161.47$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1e…7ee3backed Magic | 62c | 147.64$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.37 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Magic | 51c | 141.81$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 173 | 50.3%87 W · 86 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Pistons | 55c | 141.53$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.84 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb408…e303backed Magic | 50c | 135.8$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.9 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce06…c99dbacked Magic | 53c | 132.38$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.22 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Pistons | 45c | 127.17$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.23 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa15f…ad19backed Pistons | 51c | 123.7$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.09 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae46…a663backed Magic | 47c | 120.37$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Pistons | 52c | 120$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Pistons | 46c | 119.3$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.88 | 394 | 48.7%192 W · 202 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Magic | 53c | 117.33$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.15 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b0e…3a70backed Pistons | 48c | 115.05$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.22 | 150 | 53.3%80 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Magic | 66c | 113.14$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…8cb4backed Magic | 46c | 112.52$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.76 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f32…ab75backed Pistons | 55c | 106.15$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.38 | 81 | 56.8%46 W · 35 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Pistons | 47c | 103.97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.87 | 498 | 52.6%262 W · 236 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pistons (-2.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Magic won
- Desmond Bane: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Duncan Robinson: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Franz Wagner: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Franz Wagner: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Franz Wagner: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Jalen Suggs: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Jalen Suggs: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Pistons vs. MagicMagic won
- Pistons vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineMagic won
- Pistons vs. Magic: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Magic: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Magic: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 220.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 221.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 222.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 223.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 224.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 225.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 226.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 231.5Under won
- Spread: Magic (-12.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-6.5)Magic won
- Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Magic won
- Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Magic won
- Tobias Harris: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Tristan da Silva: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.