TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pistons vs. Magic: 1H Moneyline

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Magicof Pistons, Magic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$10,332
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$10,217

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,332 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x92b5…fec6backed Pistons55c7,017$3,883 inLost-$3,883.0810747.7%51 W · 56 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Magic47c5,564$2,620 inWon+$2,944.585,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Magic45c1,083$485 inWon+$597.922,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Magic44c1,018$448 inWon+$5702,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78bc…5616backed Pistons58c794.19$461 inLost-$461.314745.6%67 W · 80 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Magic41c381.2$155 inWon+$226.2279650.9%405 W · 391 L+63.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7861…3d27backed Pistons23c249.49$57 inLost-$57.237930.4%24 W · 55 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-26.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Pistons54c214.68$117 inLost-$116.7136248.1%174 W · 188 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32e5…be5bbacked Pistons57c205.09$117 inLost-$116.97157.7%41 W · 30 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Magic45c200$90 inWon+$1101,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Magic70c169.52$118 inWon+$51.071,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Magic46c169.03$78 inWon+$91.2822453.1%119 W · 105 L+29.4wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+29.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Magic72c103$74 inWon+$29.2131345.7%143 W · 170 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Magic49c96.94$48 inWon+$49.4442744.5%190 W · 237 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1599…5432backed Pistons34c96.04$33 inLost-$32.651145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Pistons27c82.25$22 inLost-$22.4552230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b4a…d477backed Pistons37c73.78$27 inLost-$26.9910560%63 W · 42 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5f5…95e9backed Pistons33c72.71$24 inLost-$243026.7%8 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x89ac…5dcabacked Pistons31c70.04$22 inLost-$21.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Magic74c70$52 inWon+$17.9476653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Pistons18c55.56$10 inLost-$101,28323.4%300 W · 983 L-178.2wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-40.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Magic73c46.12$34 inWon+$12.5237753.8%203 W · 174 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Magic67c43.45$29 inWon+$14.3432654.6%178 W · 148 L+22.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Pistons56c37.81$21 inLost-$21.1717553.7%94 W · 81 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d42…0b66backed Magic78c31.72$25 inWon+$7.035056%28 W · 22 L-5.3wins-0.11per pick67cpaid-17.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbbcf…20aebacked Pistons54c30$16 inLost-$16.228943.3%125 W · 164 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.