TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 225.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$89,476
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$83,302

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,476 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5ae1…9fadbacked Over45c20,276$9,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,172.624957.1%28 W · 21 L+6.4wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+41%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfc38…1e98backed Under57c5,237$3,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,009.515341.5%22 W · 31 L-5.2wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-19.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under46c4,946$2,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,283.922,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under55c3,946$2,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,168.929,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68d8…4cc6backed Under54c3,129$1,702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,702.1314455.6%80 W · 64 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2579…9d48backed Under54c3,122$1,686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,686.1419359.6%115 W · 78 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfbad…9e4bbacked Over46c2,952$1,358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,594.083455.9%19 W · 15 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+26.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6323…9feebacked Under52c2,164$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,125.0914441%59 W · 85 L-12.8wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over52c2,071$1,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$984.452,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa996…8aacbacked Over49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02014243%61 W · 81 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under44c1,948$852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$852.433,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked Under27c1,628$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.6414953%79 W · 70 L+10.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x75e1…3ff3backed Under55c1,627$895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$895.018853.4%47 W · 41 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c3f…5012backed Over48c1,500$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7801100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46fb…2b75backed Over49c1,500$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.998348.2%40 W · 43 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d16…821abacked Under7c1,443$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.3913441%55 W · 79 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b78…9992backed Over46c1,395$642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753.1620051.5%103 W · 97 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under51c1,324$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.382,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea48…c596backed Over45c1,104$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.3718444.6%82 W · 102 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe182…b624backed Over48c1,050$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5461080%8 W · 2 L+3.5wins+0.35per pick45cpaid+120.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over45c1,019$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.248,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under48c1,003$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.2768838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe864…ce58backed Over49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5107647.4%36 W · 40 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over45c999.98$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.991,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over50c972.22$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.116,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under34c920.92$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.352,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over50c868.67$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.961,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under52c804.15$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.844,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under32c693.57$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.11,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Over71c659.87$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.1565872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under52c634.85$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.163,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under51c611.89$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.061,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ff2…2e8abacked Under57c555.15$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.431250%6 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under51c553.28$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.123,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6abc…bd1bbacked Under54c486.2$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.5514549%71 W · 74 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7248…8cb4backed Over48c482.03$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.568948.3%43 W · 46 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under16c479.88$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.781,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8ed…8bb4backed Over41c470.54$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.626046.7%28 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Over45c424.91$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.1447436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0258…06d0backed Under51c410.06$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.1311033.6%37 W · 73 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under55c402.51$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.382,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Over44c376.9$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.8581349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over46c373.34$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.131,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedc8…3296backed Over48c348.18$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.051361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+30.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Under40c312.99$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12595049.4%469 W · 481 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Under50c307$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.515644.9%70 W · 86 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7c8a…02acbacked Under49c296.02$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.1311346%52 W · 61 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2e06…6077backed Under51c289.28$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.531233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-39.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbaed…5749backed Under45c237.88$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.227052.9%37 W · 33 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked Under49c234.71$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.6313052.3%68 W · 62 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under48c227.46$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1102,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under56c227.12$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.81,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Over45c204.56$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.144551.2%228 W · 217 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2e2…13ffbacked Under49c203.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.151127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-42.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2366…580fbacked Under54c199.98$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.9911347.8%54 W · 59 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8ee1…377abacked Over43c198.52$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.833342.4%14 W · 19 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0bec…c707backed Under50c160.67$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.0516053.8%86 W · 74 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Under26c153.59$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8820741.1%85 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over42c152.88$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6771654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x483a…4fd0backed Under57c146.98$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.78933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-38.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Under56c137.6$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.4289048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d7c…51b6backed Over45c134.55$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743040%12 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-17.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under56c112.56$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.321,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over47c108.44$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.4737355%205 W · 168 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under54c106.64$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.8993543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4162…0d18backed Under47c106.42$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.536848.5%33 W · 35 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over49c98.92$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.4518850.5%95 W · 93 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Under57c97.42$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.5331222.1%69 W · 243 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a89…76ecbacked Over50c97$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.51464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+24.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under14c91.63$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9452230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e3e…a78abacked Under54c90.43$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.8314237.3%53 W · 89 L-11.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-19.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2a53…074abacked Over42c81.44$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.475448.1%26 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd208…cbcdbacked Over41c80.77$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.6515252.6%80 W · 72 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22e8…8435backed Over41c78.89$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.545550.9%28 W · 27 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Under52c78.24$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.8934953%185 W · 164 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under46c77.99$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.671,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa76d…6a8ebacked Over47c64.46$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.163956.4%22 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+18%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x00d2…fe64backed Under52c62.16$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.3212250.8%62 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x08fb…8b8bbacked Under58c58.49$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.926746.3%31 W · 36 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb0d6…10d9backed Under53c58.31$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.91428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.4wins-0.24per pick53cpaid-46.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9f2f…01c9backed Under51c57.47$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Over51c57.04$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6952053.3%277 W · 243 L+29.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under54c54.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.521,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf69b…a6ddbacked Over79c52.27$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.859735.1%34 W · 63 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-26.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xce06…c99dbacked Under53c52.22$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.857047.1%33 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Under50c49.73$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6555846.8%261 W · 297 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Over55c48.13$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.661,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over44c46.19$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.871,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe9c…1700backed Over42c44.27$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.6813346.6%62 W · 71 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a8c…880abacked Over44c43.97$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.622454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x12dc…1100backed Over47c43.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.932842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under52c40.93$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2556447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over45c40.65$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.381,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Over65c38.63$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4337753.8%203 W · 174 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Under56c38.43$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3853348.4%258 W · 275 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under56c38.43$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3858953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Under56c38.43$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3829849.3%147 W · 151 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f74…4adabacked Under54c36.01$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4510850.9%55 W · 53 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x117d…6542backed Under55c35.38$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4656454.3%306 W · 258 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over42c35.1$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.3651647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.