NBA · resolved market
Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 221.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa078a8455468b68b144fdab5e85ce07dae3cd302981cef21099d8424206b40a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,081
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,006
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,081 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 52c | 18,073$9,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,674.91 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 6,640$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,119.85 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbad…9e4bbacked Under | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 48c | 1,448$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.86 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 48c | 1,448$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.86 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 48c | 1,448$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.86 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 48c | 1,448$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.86 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Under | 48c | 1,448$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.86 | 298 | 49.3%147 W · 151 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 48c | 1,026$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.46 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 48c | 1,009$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.4 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 48c | 971.4$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.92 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Under | 47c | 533.99$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.21 | 474 | 36.7%174 W · 300 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 55c | 531.08$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.18 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Under | 48c | 504.58$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.2 | 423 | 52.5%222 W · 201 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5e…1a04backed Over | 55c | 442.27$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.02 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 47c | 361.11$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.7 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 44c | 357.56$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.32 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Under | 45c | 326.82$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.07 | 310 | 46.8%145 W · 165 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc97b…27e5backed Under | 48c | 314.32$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.87 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 51cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 58c | 258.26$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.45 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 47c | 252.24$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.55 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 48c | 201.83$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.88 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed Under | 51c | 192.23$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.04 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 47c | 187.32$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.13 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6265…0d9fbacked Over | 53c | 183.36$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.18 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 45c | 179.87$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.94 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 55c | 176.91$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.61 | 293 | 45.7%134 W · 159 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab2a…30edbacked Over | 53c | 165.21$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.65 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -9.5wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f4…5107backed Over | 56c | 164.31$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.3 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x130b…0e07backed Over | 63c | 150$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +36%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee60…6902backed Over | 50c | 146.18$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.09 | 376 | 65.4%246 W · 130 L | +62.0wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6d63…0b78backed Under | 50c | 141.79$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.9 | 132 | 53.8%71 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3e…5bc0backed Over | 55c | 132.68$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.71 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Under | 27c | 123.36$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.41 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…f949backed Over | 55c | 122.4$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.27 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 48c | 100.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.44 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Under | 48c | 100.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.44 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5694…501cbacked Over | 55c | 99.07$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.58 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 48c | 97.53$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.63 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 45c | 96.7$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.47 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Under | 43c | 73.69$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.45 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f76…9798backed Over | 55c | 70.76$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.84 | 135 | 54.8%74 W · 61 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed Under | 25c | 57.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 378 | 48.7%184 W · 194 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdba8…5d91backed Over | 55c | 53.52$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.08 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Under | 48c | 50.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 570 | 51.9%296 W · 274 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8490…3243backed Over | 55c | 42.46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…3678backed Under | 48c | 39.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 238 | 40.8%97 W · 141 L | -16.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Over | 55c | 38.92$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.51 | 205 | 58.5%120 W · 85 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Over | 55c | 35.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 219 | 52.5%115 W · 104 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8190…27b4backed Over | 55c | 35.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Over | 53c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2838…01c1backed Under | 48c | 34.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d1…c15ebacked Over | 55c | 33.31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.99 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Under | 48c | 28.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 319 | 53%169 W · 150 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefb8…c3d1backed Over | 53c | 28.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd210…92dfbacked Over | 54c | 27.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 216 | 46.3%100 W · 116 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 45c | 24.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7deb…7c0abacked Over | 55c | 21.41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.63 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 717 | 52%373 W · 344 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7de…2b59backed Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b9…46e4backed Over | 55c | 19.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.06 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8535…c307backed Over | 55c | 19.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Over | 65c | 19.28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 156 | 63.5%99 W · 57 L | +10.9wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ece…068abacked Over | 57c | 18.51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.96 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -6.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -34%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc67f…16c3backed Over | 70c | 16.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.85 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 221.5this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Magic won
- Desmond Bane: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Duncan Robinson: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Franz Wagner: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Franz Wagner: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Franz Wagner: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Jalen Suggs: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Jalen Suggs: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Pistons vs. MagicMagic won
- Pistons vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineMagic won
- Pistons vs. Magic: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Magic: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Magic: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 220.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 222.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 223.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 224.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 225.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 226.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 231.5Under won
- Spread: Magic (-12.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-6.5)Magic won
- Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Magic won
- Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Magic won
- Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Magic won
- Tobias Harris: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Tristan da Silva: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.