Ukraine · resolved market
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by June 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6eae16222e7bf630b5932679dd81f78e30511db53eb591fc3ae7fe545e71d3a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,451
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,451 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbd6d…ed0bbacked Yes | 54c | 5,121$2,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,378 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd44e…67e2backed No | 35c | 4,232$1,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,493.39 | 144 | 56.9%82 W · 62 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked No | 9c | 4,232$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.8 | 253 | 11.5%29 W · 224 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x054b…8477backed No | 29c | 3,467$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.08 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9e…518ebacked No | 30c | 1,859$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.82 | 99 | 62.6%62 W · 37 L | +12.9wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8631…9a73backed Yes | 58c | 1,650$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.08 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 23c | 1,612$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.54 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 5c | 1,381$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.9 | 87 | 11.5%10 W · 77 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed No | 4c | 1,200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 43 | 2.3%1 W · 42 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -73%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 2c | 1,200$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 85 | 10.6%9 W · 76 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e3…58edbacked Yes | 75c | 1,121$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.86 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked No | 32c | 1,091$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.06 | 353 | 41.9%148 W · 205 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe443…c065backed No | 46c | 1,090$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.4 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb26c…0eb0backed No | 21c | 1,000$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Yes | 53c | 933.42$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.94 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 1c | 825$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 63 | 1.6%1 W · 62 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 16c | 716.02$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.61 | 172 | 32%55 W · 117 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 22c | 691.21$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.16 | 39 | 12.8%5 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 5c | 684.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.23 | 91 | 15.4%14 W · 77 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked No | 44c | 670.18$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.09 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed No | 26c | 629$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.54 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x748a…3c56backed No | 25c | 600$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90b7…0b0dbacked No | 30c | 599.99$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d62…27e0backed No | 25c | 596.88$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.22 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x935a…6235backed No | 51c | 553.64$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.95 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5709…22c3backed Yes | 64c | 520$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe762…064bbacked No | 39c | 519.39$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.19 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfff0…54e7backed Yes | 52c | 502.2$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.44 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b6…3961backed No | 48c | 434.44$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.72 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed No | 29c | 429.08$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.25 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55e6…dea8backed No | 47c | 407.58$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…34d2backed No | 8c | 400$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58c…0a81backed No | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 50c | 399.99$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -38.4wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xab4f…552fbacked No | 51c | 390.49$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.15 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ac…3c1fbacked No | 49c | 377.41$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.92 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…93f4backed Yes | 66c | 370.98$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.58 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 48c | 360.34$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.16 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked No | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 35c | 290.11$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.17 | 308 | 37.7%116 W · 192 L | -18.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacb0…0f48backed Yes | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 42c | 257$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.14 | 214 | 26.2%56 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca08…1267backed No | 25c | 240$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.6 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02b3…77b6backed No | 14c | 230.76$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.03 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 40cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29a1…5645backed No | 39c | 222.58$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.82 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fd…8bc3backed No | 34c | 222.01$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.14 | 158 | 55.1%87 W · 71 L | +13.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe2da…74e3backed No | 32c | 218.05$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.49 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fa…a1ddbacked Yes | 52c | 211.54$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.54 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +53%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d43…f5a9backed No | 8c | 209.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x743d…f77ebacked No | 48c | 201.58$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.76 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd054…7e38backed No | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x166a…d7edbacked No | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 22c | 190.51$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.55 | 294 | 16%47 W · 247 L | -53.7wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b9…6048backed No | 49c | 180$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.2 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9732…7552backed No | 37c | 169.89$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.49 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31d5…19ccbacked No | 48c | 156.05$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.18 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 14c | 150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 103 | 9.7%10 W · 93 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27e…a9d0backed No | 18c | 150$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc93c…52f1backed Yes | 50c | 149$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.86 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5b…1a6dbacked No | 34c | 146.03$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 75c | 145.83$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.83 | 394 | 29.4%116 W · 278 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5739…5f1abacked Yes | 51c | 141$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.09 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…0a78backed No | 31c | 138.4$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.32 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 59c | 128.61$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.44 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6fe…b5d1backed No | 21c | 125$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4b…b93cbacked No | 26c | 120$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 53 | 18.9%10 W · 43 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcefe…bc0ebacked Yes | 52c | 116.81$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bef…f8c4backed No | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Yes | 54c | 114.58$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.13 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +5.6wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +38%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8718…d65dbacked No | 40c | 111.2$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 77 | 35.1%27 W · 50 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x198a…3ca3backed No | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked No | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 58c | 97$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.74 | 417 | 36.2%151 W · 266 L | -25.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f1…0d7cbacked No | 38c | 81.18$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.58 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c8…7e18backed No | 52c | 76.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc77b…a526backed Yes | 54c | 73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.27 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x509f…c594backed No | 28c | 71.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d2…0bc0backed No | 38c | 68.95$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.16 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ee…60b8backed No | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1c…f13cbacked Yes | 58c | 63.6$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.71 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 21c | 50.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 263 | 18.3%48 W · 215 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…4cebbacked No | 32c | 50.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.25per pick | 43cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8a…f7abbacked No | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7022…f64ebacked Yes | 50c | 49.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.78 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa22…69a6backed No | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x185f…3649backed No | 29c | 44.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0167…e439backed No | 28c | 43.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc01e…777cbacked No | 49c | 43.64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.43 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9573…25cdbacked No | 29c | 41.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -53%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65c7…9109backed Yes | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3946…3ee9backed Yes | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…ceb3backed No | 33c | 38.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b4…1f6ebacked Yes | 52c | 37.29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.9 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.27per pick | 34cpaid | -85.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad3…faa6backed Yes | 71c | 35.97$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…1893backed No | 36c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d33…f00ebacked Yes | 60c | 25.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x615c…c162backed No | 42c | 25.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab4…5c9cbacked Yes | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +113.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2405…57afbacked No | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.