TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe2ee…60b8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
60
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Ukraine, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Ukraine at 59 out of 100; worst Us Politics at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+40.6%+$7.71
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$5.39
Iran closes its airspace by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+62.5%+$21.87
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+31.4%+$17.56
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+67.8%+$8.14
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$6.75
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$20.43
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+172.1%+$67.12
Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$7.21
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+169.2%+$32.14
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 17 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.1wins+0.21per pick53cpaid+52.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$18.33
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+59.2%+$14.2
Will Russia enter Svitle by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.98
Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$26.6
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$27.74
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+133.5%+$37.38
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$48
Will Russia capture Rodynske by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+90.5%+$165.53
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+90.7%+$27.2
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+299.7%+$56.95
Will Russia capture Rodynske by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+31.3%+$6.25
Will Russia enter Lyman by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+57.3%+$6.65
All 15 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$7.06
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+264.7%+$33.09
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12.78
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$8.66
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$4.65
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+32.4%+$10.47
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.69
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+93.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$10.21
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+132.6%+$26.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 11, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+95.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Eagles vs. Packersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+95.5%+$23.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Julia Letlow be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+46.7%+$7
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$4.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$5.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+25%+$6.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Stephen Hawking be named in newly released Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.