Ukraine · resolved market
Will Russia enter Lyman by November 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab50f81fc9f77e7c0a08165664f564fa6a34076dfdadc4ab4e8bc1904774a6db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $151,905
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $152,794
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $151,905 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 211 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc93c…52f1backed No | 32c | 9,288$3,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,275.02 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab4f…552fbacked No | 46c | 6,708$3,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,601.68 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02a1…dd72backed Yes | 73c | 5,757$4,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,181.73 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +14.4wins | +0.20per pick | 36cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd44e…67e2backed No | 15c | 5,341$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,516.18 | 144 | 56.9%82 W · 62 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc2…597abacked Yes | 32c | 4,369$1,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,396.84 | 132 | 30.3%40 W · 92 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…cbdcbacked Yes | 1c | 4,158$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.59 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 19c | 2,906$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,341.56 | 234 | 35.5%83 W · 151 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Yes | 33c | 2,867$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c7e…3e52backed No | 76c | 2,503$1,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd547…f7a8backed Yes | 66c | 2,500$1,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,654 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +107.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed No | 60c | 2,431$1,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.8 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 75c | 2,374$1,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,769 | 255 | 28.2%72 W · 183 L | -17.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfad4…a210backed Yes | 33c | 2,200$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.3 | 134 | 29.9%40 W · 94 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd17d…d0eebacked No | 74c | 1,900$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.63 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c97…4569backed Yes | 25c | 1,665$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.7 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…05e7backed No | 10c | 1,628$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,461.83 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f98…d72fbacked Yes | 39c | 1,540$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.38 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee4…fa88backed No | 64c | 1,497$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.26 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa11b…f663backed No | 67c | 1,459$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.67 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 28c | 1,453$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.36 | 172 | 32%55 W · 117 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed No | 68c | 1,381$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.99 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc0…4cadbacked No | 23c | 1,372$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,052.85 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +5.7wins | +0.27per pick | 49cpaid | +82.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 26c | 1,348$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.48 | 253 | 11.5%29 W · 224 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5cc…dea4backed No | 7c | 1,339$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,245.17 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43cc…9211backed No | 59c | 1,257$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.08 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62e8…c7f6backed No | 42c | 1,184$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.03 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…693fbacked Yes | 41c | 1,156$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.37 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca41…3af9backed Yes | 52c | 1,010$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.3 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed Yes | 30c | 1,000$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 106 | 25.5%27 W · 79 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5b…a70abacked Yes | 58c | 999.98$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x950a…b380backed Yes | 9c | 957.44$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.45 | 48 | 10.4%5 W · 43 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked Yes | 44c | 897.27$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.77 | 353 | 41.9%148 W · 205 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…ad78backed Yes | 49c | 892.95$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.07 | 136 | 22.8%31 W · 105 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf477…1c28backed Yes | 34c | 863$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.85 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…fdb5backed Yes | 60c | 794.26$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.99 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc135…21b0backed No | 67c | 762.57$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…13b5backed No | 54c | 758.41$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.85 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce17…0131backed Yes | 78c | 750$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed No | 55c | 739.41$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.45 | 262 | 38.5%101 W · 161 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…4402backed No | 16c | 721.87$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.58 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +110.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1312…cf45backed Yes | 37c | 653.76$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.93 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 53c | 651.82$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.46 | 308 | 37.7%116 W · 192 L | -18.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 4c | 628$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.2 | 149 | 20.8%31 W · 118 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 17cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c08…eba9backed No | 14c | 572.72$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.72 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…8547backed Yes | 33c | 571.77$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.41 | 94 | 13.8%13 W · 81 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30d1…4525backed Yes | 64c | 562.47$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.21 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe764…9ababacked Yes | 48c | 557.82$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ebc…8bdcbacked Yes | 58c | 521.87$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.32 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7be3…afa3backed Yes | 38c | 520.77$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.41 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2bc1backed Yes | 18c | 500$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.5 | 86 | 15.1%13 W · 73 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe95c…01efbacked No | 78c | 500$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5a…747abacked Yes | 42c | 481.52$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f2…d8efbacked No | 67c | 463.35$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.62 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf3…57f7backed Yes | 30c | 454.81$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.91 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 57c | 437.57$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.57 | 394 | 29.4%116 W · 278 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Yes | 76c | 436.1$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.06 | 150 | 29.3%44 W · 106 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd2…c21bbacked Yes | 38c | 425.81$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.95 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6d…f2b4backed No | 16c | 412.69$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.92 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +8.1wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xebd7…d40bbacked No | 67c | 405.42$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.69 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked No | 57c | 400$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.2 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28b2…eb4fbacked No | 69c | 359.99$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.55 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0149…fa64backed No | 13c | 350$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +150.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…f9d4backed Yes | 3c | 339$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f3…28d1backed No | 31c | 338.68$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.32 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde89…e378backed No | 20c | 334.01$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.93 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +154.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe43b…3497backed Yes | 11c | 334$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.41 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9198…6b22backed Yes | 37c | 327.43$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22d7…84e0backed No | 12c | 325.19$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.19 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 16cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b6…5561backed Yes | 60c | 314.84$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.34 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507c…4166backed No | 12c | 307$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.16 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5d…1614backed No | 72c | 290.83$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.83 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed No | 13c | 289.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.19 | 58 | 10.3%6 W · 52 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22e2…42d6backed Yes | 34c | 286.19$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.27 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed Yes | 36c | 279.1$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.98 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f53…f7ecbacked Yes | 59c | 252.58$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…b13abacked Yes | 40c | 251.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc9…b8a8backed No | 10c | 250$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +5.1wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…e8b1backed Yes | 55c | 248.03$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.63 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8624…b484backed No | 75c | 235$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.22 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…a1aebacked Yes | 35c | 229.85$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dd…f76dbacked Yes | 65c | 227.3$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.75 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c2…1bbebacked No | 15c | 206.65$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.65 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd719…d8e5backed Yes | 27c | 203$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.68 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90e1…13ebbacked No | 27c | 198.45$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.04 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +119.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4e2…1546backed No | 46c | 197.21$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.21 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…f04ebacked Yes | 9c | 195.51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -84.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 27c | 180.57$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.61 | 294 | 16%47 W · 247 L | -53.7wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 30c | 179.2$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.01 | 532 | 7%37 W · 495 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…e1bbbacked Yes | 45c | 178.84$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.73 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ae…73ddbacked Yes | 12c | 176.41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.87 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked Yes | 17c | 165.84$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.46 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 14c | 164.43$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.6 | 142 | 39.4%56 W · 86 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…a152backed Yes | 23c | 164$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf55…7d8abacked No | 77c | 164$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.23 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd937…cb9abacked No | 78c | 159.64$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.96 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95da…60b4backed Yes | 36c | 155.29$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.26 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecf…afe2backed No | 42c | 142.86$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.86 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -67%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82b9…c6cebacked No | 70c | 142.65$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 32c | 142.02$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.05 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf15…bdaebacked No | 71c | 140.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.2 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.