Ukraine · resolved market
Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x896165a108f6d61a105bcd0509c5bdf3d6c1ebcd07664e42afb002482c86a25c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $129,056
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $125,520
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,056 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 262 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2758…a3afbacked No | 46c | 6,586$2,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,998.24 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb4f…8385backed Yes | 54c | 4,845$2,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,251.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f90…517dbacked No | 24c | 4,699$1,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,151.33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 64c | 4,439$2,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,613.33 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a3…883abacked Yes | 69c | 3,876$2,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,194.66 | 74 | 62.2%46 W · 28 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 1c | 3,589$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.42 | 63 | 1.6%1 W · 62 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe443…c065backed No | 38c | 3,214$1,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,228.46 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e66…41e7backed No | 0c | 2,949$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7727…15a4backed Yes | 65c | 2,799$1,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.65 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +5.7wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd53f…f3c7backed No | 2c | 2,642$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…4987backed Yes | 52c | 2,611$1,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,247.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f2…1762backed No | 38c | 2,588$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x844b…6143backed No | 2c | 2,107$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 63c | 2,090$1,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.98 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 7c | 1,949$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.64 | 75 | 18.7%14 W · 61 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fd…8bc3backed No | 15c | 1,876$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.61 | 158 | 55.1%87 W · 71 L | +13.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a89…a4d6backed Yes | 51c | 1,763$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.88 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…55dfbacked No | 56c | 1,653$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.93 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 8c | 1,572$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.82 | 102 | 4.9%5 W · 97 L | -12.8wins | -0.13per pick | 17cpaid | -91.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Yes | 59c | 1,571$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.08 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked Yes | 53c | 1,454$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.11 | 353 | 41.9%148 W · 205 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x78e2…da9dbacked No | 47c | 1,437$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd761…1356backed No | 5c | 1,426$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 1c | 1,320$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc93c…52f1backed Yes | 46c | 1,167$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.56 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb57a…b8c3backed Yes | 50c | 1,157$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b65…013ebacked No | 11c | 1,156$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.95 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked No | 30c | 1,086$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.74 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4518…1cacbacked Yes | 69c | 1,075$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.41 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 70c | 1,059$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.44 | 308 | 37.7%116 W · 192 L | -18.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…13b5backed Yes | 53c | 1,023$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.75 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x703d…80f6backed No | 26c | 987.97$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.24 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -5.9wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed No | 8c | 981.97$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.81 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbba…e651backed No | 3c | 919.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef95…88c0backed Yes | 55c | 911.18$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.18 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41d6…608bbacked No | 2c | 864.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d9…d6dbbacked No | 36c | 862.58$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.12 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa834…6ee3backed No | 4c | 792.88$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.41 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe762…064bbacked Yes | 57c | 770.31$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.54 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x645a…fd84backed No | 50c | 766.1$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…780dbacked No | 2c | 735.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63ab…6ccabacked No | 14c | 716.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeffa…94b4backed No | 25c | 713.7$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef3…ac46backed No | 10c | 685.26$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 30cpaid | +253.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4990…d300backed No | 4c | 628.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.33 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 6cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x429a…77fbbacked Yes | 80c | 606.95$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.99 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee25…7cd3backed No | 65c | 602.54$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.12 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8b…a211backed Yes | 55c | 584.55$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.86 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff52…4546backed No | 41c | 567.58$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.79 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd553…6af5backed Yes | 36c | 550$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c97…4569backed No | 58c | 531.24$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.4 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6d…f2b4backed No | 40c | 515.13$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.75 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +8.1wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc90f…a598backed No | 36c | 514$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.74 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Yes | 54c | 504.99$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.3 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3910…7ba2backed Yes | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -37%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…35e6backed Yes | 76c | 485.02$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.02 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc2…597abacked No | 66c | 461.56$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.85 | 132 | 30.3%40 W · 92 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5709…22c3backed Yes | 66c | 448.46$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.74 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94d0…9e65backed Yes | 68c | 443.09$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.09 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3a…0d98backed No | 62c | 438.12$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c1…7324backed Yes | 50c | 424.71$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.7 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb26c…0eb0backed Yes | 42c | 399.99$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.39 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed No | 3c | 398.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -83.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…a6cbbacked No | 7c | 369.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b4e…93a3backed Yes | 42c | 364.4$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.75 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked No | 4c | 352.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc109…450bbacked Yes | 53c | 336.45$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.51 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf25c…732cbacked No | 21c | 334.41$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.23 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b22…3a92backed Yes | 50c | 331.05$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.81 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f08…54d3backed No | 46c | 326.08$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.3 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28ab…2048backed Yes | 63c | 317.45$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a1…5645backed Yes | 59c | 317.24$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.17 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727e…12c5backed No | 6c | 314.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 50c | 293.56$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.31 | 131 | 28.2%37 W · 94 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb081…6f50backed No | 7c | 291.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2946…8eb4backed No | 7c | 287.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 8cpaid | +418.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 26c | 278.04$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.56 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 57c | 274.2$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.63 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 16c | 265.48$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.72 | 532 | 7%37 W · 495 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf54…d6d9backed No | 40c | 250.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x714f…66d5backed No | 34c | 249.98$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.99 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff6…7c7bbacked No | 41c | 243.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2b…1165backed No | 5c | 241.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…cdf4backed Yes | 46c | 239.99$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.39 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 26c | 239.84$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.11 | 51 | 17.6%9 W · 42 L | -7.6wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…679ebacked Yes | 74c | 235.33$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.07 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b9…ded7backed Yes | 66c | 232.99$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.55 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84a4…70e2backed No | 35c | 230$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35dd…75f3backed No | 65c | 229.91$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +117%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x797f…aa36backed No | 35c | 228.76$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed No | 5c | 226.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8e…14a8backed No | 36c | 223.33$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb75…f496backed No | 5c | 216.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 7cpaid | +400%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7028…e0e9backed No | 42c | 208.78$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.73 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac76…9359backed No | 39c | 194.85$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.75 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8030…7b74backed No | 25c | 192.93$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 19c | 190.74$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.98 | 172 | 32%55 W · 117 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc984…37cabacked Yes | 75c | 190$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.6 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8310…62b3backed Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0243…4ce7backed No | 8c | 171.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?this page
- Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by April 30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.