Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Julia Letlow be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c4c7199fbf5ff25547c254ed3dddb63e93840f566c2bf5bc1680cc4dfa41b6b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $127,962
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $140,856
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $127,962 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x614e…4f1bbacked No | 15c | 12,913$1,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,984.05 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…bdf9backed No | 12c | 7,649$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.9 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b36…a393backed No | 10c | 4,751$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 13c | 3,433$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.5 | 147 | 29.9%44 W · 103 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb950…4dd4backed No | 20c | 2,700$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.82 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0224…292abacked Yes | 68c | 2,198$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.92 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6967…84bfbacked Yes | 62c | 2,100$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0952…a44bbacked No | 19c | 1,870$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 17c | 1,674$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.16 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c14…0869backed No | 19c | 1,443$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.93 | 107 | 40.2%43 W · 64 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 59c | 1,391$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.1 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed No | 12c | 1,282$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.89 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 22cpaid | -88.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed No | 9c | 1,250$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.84 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked No | 9c | 1,025$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.21 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 11c | 1,002$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.6 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 68c | 953.47$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.5 | 343 | 33.5%115 W · 228 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 24c | 944.19$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.64 | 115 | 22.6%26 W · 89 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 7c | 883.36$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.37 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…05e9backed No | 4c | 802.2$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.68 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 21c | 765.41$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.91 | 182 | 37.4%68 W · 114 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa056…0f70backed No | 10c | 699.01$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.9 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8575…87febacked No | 15c | 695.04$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.02 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f4e…f455backed Yes | 66c | 677.3$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.18 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 17c | 590$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.75 | 171 | 40.4%69 W · 102 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked No | 31c | 574.94$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.23 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9e…4f1abacked No | 20c | 549.35$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.81 | 228 | 33.8%77 W · 151 L | +13.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dca…3c13backed No | 42c | 517.18$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 20c | 501.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.76 | 135 | 46.7%63 W · 72 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 210 | 33.3%70 W · 140 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed No | 12c | 500$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 244 | 33.2%81 W · 163 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7131…b3a6backed Yes | 68c | 442.1$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.68 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 11c | 427.77$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.76 | 131 | 43.5%57 W · 74 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4590…c7e4backed Yes | 70c | 426.06$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.06 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.36per pick | 51cpaid | +108.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4262…abaabacked No | 15c | 400$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.1 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 12c | 398.35$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.42 | 136 | 25.7%35 W · 101 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 65c | 396.05$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.31 | 166 | 32.5%54 W · 112 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda66…3f38backed Yes | 64c | 387.5$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.5 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 68cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 50c | 373.81$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.91 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 30c | 368.79$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.45 | 494 | 11.5%57 W · 437 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8e…1445backed Yes | 79c | 365.22$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed No | 37c | 350$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.5 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 76c | 339.2$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.68 | 332 | 38.6%128 W · 204 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef86…5afcbacked No | 32c | 310$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 33c | 306$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.27 | 154 | 31.2%48 W · 106 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcc…701bbacked No | 20c | 275.26$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x705b…7483backed Yes | 76c | 261.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.54 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 75cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Yes | 63c | 260$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.2 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 31c | 255.49$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.47 | 211 | 55.9%118 W · 93 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0778…73d1backed No | 13c | 220$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 34c | 218.81$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.33 | 341 | 29.3%100 W · 241 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafb1…0329backed No | 76c | 200$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 33c | 193.54$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 334 | 21.9%73 W · 261 L | -23.8wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed No | 32c | 188$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.16 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa253…101dbacked No | 10c | 187$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5e…5c24backed No | 15c | 180$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…1b7ebacked No | 11c | 176.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf27d…e6d3backed No | 25c | 157.18$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.21 | 63 | 22.2%14 W · 49 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe418…28b5backed No | 18c | 155$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…fa0bbacked Yes | 69c | 154$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.74 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd4…ea0ebacked No | 39c | 150.94$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.08 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f08…54d3backed No | 27c | 147.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.83 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa50e…583ebacked Yes | 79c | 140.48$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 27c | 140.05$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.49 | 183 | 10.4%19 W · 164 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 68c | 140$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.79 | 248 | 61.7%153 W · 95 L | +24.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5529…e5b9backed Yes | 65c | 139.26$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.42 | 228 | 48.7%111 W · 117 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked Yes | 69c | 135$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.85 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +144%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f6…0e74backed No | 13c | 134.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…588cbacked No | 33c | 133$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.89 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed No | 17c | 131.64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.38 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 10c | 124$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb732…6900backed No | 32c | 108.64$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.44 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 12c | 103.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 13c | 102.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 109 | 46.8%51 W · 58 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3fb…b340backed Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…6e5ebacked Yes | 63c | 95.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.43 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 66cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed No | 32c | 94.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.88 | 73 | 24.7%18 W · 55 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf129…1edcbacked No | 21c | 93.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea28…3a0bbacked Yes | 70c | 92.16$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.65 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -44%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed No | 15c | 91.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3373…3716backed No | 17c | 90.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04b7…dbaabacked Yes | 68c | 88.02$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.02 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7b…2d1abacked No | 30c | 86.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc4…a38dbacked Yes | 68c | 86$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.66 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +6.6wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 32c | 83.6$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.42 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5838…367cbacked Yes | 78c | 75.7$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.53 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8215…1279backed No | 52c | 75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb03b…6ca1backed Yes | 76c | 74.49$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 78c | 70$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 37c | 69.15$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 205 | 42%86 W · 119 L | -11.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a6…f4acbacked No | 50c | 67.31$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes | 64c | 65$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.63 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5d…adc4backed Yes | 65c | 61.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.07 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bd17backed Yes | 77c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 23c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66f9…adb9backed Yes | 68c | 57.45$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.38 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +4.1wins | +0.18per pick | 30cpaid | +194.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2f61…a33bbacked Yes | 62c | 51.39$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…12dabacked No | 32c | 51.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 28c | 50.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Julia Letlow be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?this page
- Will Bill Cassidy be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?No won
- Will Blake Miguez be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?No won
- Will John Fleming be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?No won
- Will Julie Emerson be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?No won
- Will Kathy Seiden be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?No won
- Will Randall Arrington be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?No won
- Will Tracy Dendy be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.