Us Midterms · resolved market

Will John Fleming be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ebe9ecaaf198820b277ed929a31f57c7993f5855baf54dcd00e4d9fcd89e22e

Rebuilt 5 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 28, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $205,509
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $170,634

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $205,509 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x498a…5e7bbacked Yes	13c	30,001$3,836 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,835.71	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8c67…bb39backed Yes	7c	22,500$1,530 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,530.01	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	+0.8wins	+0.06per pick	27cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes	14c	16,935$2,436 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,436.07	37	8.1%3 W · 34 L	-5.0wins	-0.13per pick	22cpaid	-86.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1f9e…4f1abacked Yes	12c	9,831$1,131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,131.35	228	33.8%77 W · 151 L	+13.7wins	+0.06per pick	28cpaid	+52.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes	9c	7,440$677 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$676.75	196	43.4%85 W · 111 L	+15.5wins	+0.08per pick	35cpaid	+23.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x614e…4f1bbacked Yes	15c	7,252$1,090 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,090.28	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	20cpaid	-69.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0778…73d1backed Yes	19c	4,860$946 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$946.29	30	30%9 W · 21 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93a9…0b88backed Yes	19c	4,075$769 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$769.08	32	43.8%14 W · 18 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	-20%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c14…0869backed Yes	15c	3,882$594 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$593.67	107	40.2%43 W · 64 L	+8.2wins	+0.08per pick	32cpaid	+52.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes	19c	3,541$668 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$667.59	30	20%6 W · 24 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	25cpaid	-41.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes	19c	3,189$621 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$620.74	115	22.6%26 W · 89 L	-2.9wins	-0.03per pick	25cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes	12c	2,071$247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$246.91	136	25.7%35 W · 101 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-30%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Yes	11c	2,009$221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220.89	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-1.9wins	-0.15per pick	22cpaid	-88.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Yes	16c	1,700$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.13per pick	37cpaid	-13%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf27d…e6d3backed Yes	10c	1,558$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.31	63	22.2%14 W · 49 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-38.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes	9c	1,356$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.07	39	28.2%11 W · 28 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-29.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec92…1214backed Yes	17c	1,250$213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212.5	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0446…cc69backed Yes	10c	1,218$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.83	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-1.4wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8828…2954backed Yes	22c	1,165$252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$251.61	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8e8c…bb4abacked Yes	19c	988.28$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.69	34	32.4%11 W · 23 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0952…a44bbacked Yes	19c	971.99$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184.19	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2177…3fb4backed Yes	9c	932.67$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.8	31	54.8%17 W · 14 L	+3.0wins	+0.10per pick	45cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xca52…49e8backed Yes	43c	924.1$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6291…cc47backed Yes	13c	799.98$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.1	244	33.2%81 W · 163 L	+11.3wins	+0.05per pick	29cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No	79c	762.85$606 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$156.71	182	37.4%68 W · 114 L	-3.6wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-30.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaee7…05e9backed Yes	4c	761.33$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.63	20	15%3 W · 17 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	21cpaid	-79.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcdaf…eff6backed Yes	24c	749.98$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180.61	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e32…535bbacked Yes	13c	649.98$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.68	43	30.2%13 W · 30 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-41.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfec…09a7backed Yes	15c	642$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.3	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+1.8wins	+0.20per pick	46cpaid	+58.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2375…691fbacked Yes	13c	640$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.62	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-43.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdbf…1926backed Yes	11c	621.18$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.28	272	22.1%60 W · 212 L	-15.0wins	-0.06per pick	28cpaid	-44.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3dca…3c13backed Yes	14c	558.93$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.08	20	30%6 W · 14 L	-1.8wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Yes	14c	549.24$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.35	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-65.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	19c	545.66$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.78	495	11.5%57 W · 438 L	-17.6wins	-0.04per pick	15cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ae0…4590backed Yes	17c	527$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.59	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.3wins	+0.21per pick	45cpaid	+27.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3ac…f23dbacked Yes	10c	518.82$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.41	87	41.4%36 W · 51 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb11…0d5ebacked Yes	13c	499.99$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.5	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xc24f…220bbacked Yes	11c	468.7$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.47	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ca…4ac0backed No	79c	428.54$339 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.66	15	73.3%11 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	70cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe9e…6944backed Yes	28c	426.89$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.73	45	44.4%20 W · 25 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	-1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9163…82aebacked Yes	20c	400$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81	140	19.3%27 W · 113 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Yes	12c	399.87$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.21	248	31%77 W · 171 L	-8.9wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa056…0f70backed Yes	10c	383$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.69	24	16.7%4 W · 20 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5529…e5b9backed Yes	10c	376.16$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.79	229	48.9%112 W · 117 L	+7.7wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa667…ceb3backed Yes	18c	362.45$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.64	87	57.5%50 W · 37 L	+9.9wins	+0.11per pick	46cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbae5…45e3backed Yes	20c	361.51$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.7	24	50%12 W · 12 L	+3.1wins	+0.13per pick	37cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7086…f376backed Yes	17c	339$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.63	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No	74c	338.39$251 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.41	211	55.9%118 W · 93 L	+6.3wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9752…8087backed No	68c	326$221 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.07per pick	62cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa815…9cbebacked Yes	9c	308.08$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.36	182	3.8%7 W · 175 L	-4.7wins	-0.03per pick	6cpaid	-50%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xce31…19c4backed Yes	10c	305.92$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.63	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-1.2wins	-0.07per pick	26cpaid	-65.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x11f8…1c4ebacked Yes	11c	300$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.3	13	69.2%9 W · 4 L	+3.6wins	+0.28per pick	41cpaid	+47.8%equal weight	61+0.09 edge/pick
0x2f68…21ecbacked Yes	17c	289$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.13	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.5wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x168f…9e00backed No	77c	277$214 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.28	88	31.8%28 W · 60 L	-5.4wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7e4…b332backed Yes	17c	276$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.92	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fcc…701bbacked Yes	20c	275$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	31	45.2%14 W · 17 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefbe…19b2backed Yes	19c	268.05$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.07per pick	55cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8bb…e885backed Yes	17c	265$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.05	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-56.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes	15c	255.81$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.61	183	10.4%19 W · 164 L	-9.7wins	-0.05per pick	16cpaid	-41.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x758b…0a1cbacked Yes	16c	226.28$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.63	70	35.7%25 W · 45 L	-5.5wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-40.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed Yes	19c	218.91$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.65	166	32.5%54 W · 112 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0c0…c4c9backed Yes	17c	217$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.89	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.22per pick	45cpaid	+23.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Yes	15c	214.95$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.84	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	-53.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x1ab0…f8c9backed Yes	12c	214.58$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	27	25.9%7 W · 20 L	+3.5wins	+0.13per pick	13cpaid	+22.8%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8594…7eedbacked Yes	24c	209.66$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	26	61.5%16 W · 10 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	60cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc01f…cd8ebacked Yes	10c	204.08$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	60	30%18 W · 42 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe52…32c5backed Yes	15c	200$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	26	34.6%9 W · 17 L	-2.4wins	-0.09per pick	44cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc624…ee24backed Yes	18c	181.8$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.19	63	55.6%35 W · 28 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes	13c	171.8$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.78	343	33.5%115 W · 228 L	-4.3wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-30%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed45…929dbacked Yes	15c	168$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.2	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	+26.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6cf8…042fbacked Yes	37c	160$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.6	31	38.7%12 W · 19 L	+1.6wins	+0.05per pick	34cpaid	+54%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed Yes	13c	150$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.2	210	33.3%70 W · 140 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x054d…97c5backed Yes	15c	144.98$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.51	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf624…43f9backed Yes	12c	143.75$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+1.8wins	+0.29per pick	54cpaid	+42.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xeedb…0cd1backed Yes	26c	136.07$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.57	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcceb…f030backed Yes	27c	125.48$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.89	205	42%86 W · 119 L	-11.4wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd60f…b6c4backed Yes	8c	123.88$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.04	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	17c	112.23$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.06	341	29.3%100 W · 241 L	-11.3wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8215…1279backed No	71c	111$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.66	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.29per pick	63cpaid	-52.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3373…3716backed Yes	17c	109.09$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.11	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+1.7wins	+0.12per pick	48cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf9b5…1212backed Yes	9c	108.73$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	+2.9wins	+0.14per pick	38cpaid	+34.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xeaf2…ffc2backed Yes	44c	107.88$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-18%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No	80c	107.67$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.56	121	50.4%61 W · 60 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xc243…5e94backed Yes	16c	106$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.28	23	26.1%6 W · 17 L	-1.4wins	-0.06per pick	32cpaid	-7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed No	80c	105.21$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.53	669	14.8%99 W · 570 L	-105.6wins	-0.16per pick	31cpaid	-66%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0x7e4b…ac6bbacked No	65c	102$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.24	5	60%3 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	64cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x230f…6b27backed Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x31c4…622fbacked Yes	11c	97.56$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.13	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.12per pick	32cpaid	-71.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04b3…1b7ebacked Yes	20c	89.48$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.67	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7781…3f50backed No	79c	89.2$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.48	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.21per pick	79cpaid	+26.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd084…27eabacked Yes	14c	80.74$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.98	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+0.8wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbf6…7521backed No	76c	80$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.96	5	100%5 W · 0 L	+1.2wins	+0.24per pick	76cpaid	+31.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1957…5c58backed Yes	32c	63.26$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.09	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+50%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1408…b4f8backed No	76c	61.4$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.01	45	37.8%17 W · 28 L	-1.9wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x530f…424ebacked No	75c	58$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.68	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd15d…7832backed Yes	19c	55$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.62	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+1.1wins	+0.35per pick	32cpaid	+87.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52d7…0ff9backed No	60c	53.94$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.74	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.06per pick	56cpaid	+24.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc992…7994backed Yes	26c	51.91$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.5	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.21per pick	46cpaid	-67.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2afd…deb4backed No	76c	51.38$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.28	31	45.2%14 W · 17 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd098…3307backed Yes	44c	45.55$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.6wins	-0.23per pick	37cpaid	-59.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.

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Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will John Fleming be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?this page
Will Bill Cassidy be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?No won
Will Blake Miguez be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?No won
Will Julia Letlow be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?Yes won
Will Julie Emerson be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?No won
Will Kathy Seiden be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?No won
Will Randall Arrington be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?No won
Will Tracy Dendy be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will John Fleming be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

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