Middle East · resolved market
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a87a0011494682e4d17a9073059cbbd32ebea4bbc7284219afb5e9a6b4ca8f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,159,693
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,168,662
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,159,693 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 553 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d05…6a81backed Yes | 8c | 83,492$6,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,997.28 | 432 | 12.5%54 W · 378 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked No | 13c | 22,348$2,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,510.95 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +77.8wins | +0.25per pick | 24cpaid | +105.8%equal weight | 76+0.24 edge/pick |
| 0x62cf…5826backed No | 79c | 22,195$17,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,642.37 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80a0…5708backed Yes | 29c | 21,326$6,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,081.51 | 81 | 25.9%21 W · 60 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc26…32cabacked Yes | 6c | 20,566$1,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220.56 | 87 | 19.5%17 W · 70 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10e1…aa05backed Yes | 17c | 20,078$3,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,337.31 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x430f…5947backed Yes | 37c | 19,348$7,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,158.85 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35bb…009bbacked No | 68c | 16,535$11,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,369.34 | 165 | 53.9%89 W · 76 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…7cc3backed No | 37c | 16,468$6,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,363.1 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…1766backed Yes | 33c | 15,850$5,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,281.17 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked No | 46c | 14,580$6,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,858.29 | 362 | 27.9%101 W · 261 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf17…97d1backed Yes | 29c | 14,186$4,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,142.42 | 113 | 34.5%39 W · 74 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a98…1b92backed Yes | 10c | 13,540$1,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,333 | 168 | 31%52 W · 116 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 9c | 12,989$1,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,134.7 | 489 | 23.5%115 W · 374 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf20a…642fbacked No | 36c | 11,130$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,129.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc84f…e0c5backed Yes | 63c | 9,337$5,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,900.62 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…3eb5backed Yes | 11c | 8,247$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.63 | 226 | 27.9%63 W · 163 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked Yes | 57c | 7,931$4,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,540.53 | 215 | 31.2%67 W · 148 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed Yes | 9c | 7,344$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.6 | 353 | 55.5%196 W · 157 L | +36.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb22a…a80dbacked Yes | 50c | 6,834$3,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,383.83 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…10c7backed Yes | 38c | 6,691$2,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,540.7 | 356 | 31.7%113 W · 243 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed Yes | 23c | 6,613$1,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,506.42 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde7b…5f4bbacked No | 69c | 6,484$4,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,993.19 | 152 | 30.3%46 W · 106 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed Yes | 16c | 6,456$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.66 | 382 | 37.7%144 W · 238 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc96e…f1f9backed No | 36c | 6,416$2,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,104.49 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed No | 56c | 6,194$3,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,701.29 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +10.5wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +17%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcacc…2eacbacked Yes | 2c | 6,173$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.5 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 10c | 6,163$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.24 | 312 | 41.7%130 W · 182 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…6b0abacked Yes | 11c | 6,134$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.52 | 215 | 25.1%54 W · 161 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 13c | 5,839$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.09 | 473 | 34%161 W · 312 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cb…6dc4backed Yes | 20c | 5,583$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.02 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.29per pick | 43cpaid | +55%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc898…b0f8backed No | 66c | 5,541$3,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,882.76 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x853c…bd03backed Yes | 23c | 5,351$1,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,217.4 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…79d7backed Yes | 66c | 5,339$3,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,528.78 | 225 | 29.8%67 W · 158 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e44…94fabacked No | 62c | 4,839$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,838.71 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0845…6b6fbacked No | 79c | 4,517$3,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.55 | 204 | 38.7%79 W · 125 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4478…02a4backed No | 71c | 4,344$3,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275.78 | 287 | 34.5%99 W · 188 L | +21.3wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x830b…0a93backed Yes | 44c | 4,235$1,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,884.45 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +7.9wins | +0.18per pick | 41cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x641b…5433backed No | 72c | 4,201$3,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,181.87 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +7.9wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +125.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 7c | 4,156$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.73 | 371 | 7%26 W · 345 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4c…8d85backed Yes | 20c | 3,674$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.94 | 202 | 39.1%79 W · 123 L | +20.4wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd324…b23cbacked Yes | 7c | 3,623$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 149 | 44.3%66 W · 83 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf90…41f0backed Yes | 5c | 3,565$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.1 | 157 | 40.1%63 W · 94 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +87.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b44…264ebacked Yes | 2c | 3,560$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.15 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +9.7wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +156.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…bf99backed Yes | 7c | 3,543$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.29 | 45 | 15.6%7 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9561…5497backed Yes | 12c | 3,500$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…b2bebacked Yes | 6c | 3,481$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.14 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +97.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked No | 53c | 3,365$1,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,582.5 | 409 | 39.6%162 W · 247 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked No | 40c | 3,254$1,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,966.4 | 458 | 43.7%200 W · 258 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x030a…acfcbacked Yes | 38c | 3,224$1,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,229.39 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…11acbacked Yes | 8c | 3,146$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.86 | 442 | 24.4%108 W · 334 L | +22.2wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5039…946dbacked Yes | 62c | 3,000$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,859.99 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed Yes | 39c | 3,000$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,169.99 | 264 | 29.2%77 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x233b…1f2cbacked No | 55c | 2,892$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,292.14 | 102 | 40.2%41 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5188…c804backed Yes | 21c | 2,864$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.32 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | +11.3wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fa…aeecbacked Yes | 29c | 2,788$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.69 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked Yes | 62c | 2,606$1,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,609.47 | 296 | 53.7%159 W · 137 L | +20.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +104.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 8c | 2,585$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.92 | 419 | 5.3%22 W · 397 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb15f…59e8backed Yes | 15c | 2,554$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 8c | 2,528$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.73 | 462 | 5%23 W · 439 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 9c | 2,392$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.7 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf01…c782backed Yes | 8c | 2,360$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.88 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 8c | 2,341$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.49 | 359 | 21.4%77 W · 282 L | -23.8wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb59…0a22backed No | 73c | 2,222$1,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.44 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…ec83backed Yes | 36c | 2,208$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.62 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbb…084ebacked No | 33c | 2,150$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,433.32 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20d9…5490backed No | 45c | 2,077$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134.12 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +8.7wins | +0.15per pick | 37cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7a…6875backed Yes | 62c | 2,073$1,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,283.9 | 75 | 20%15 W · 60 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c39…56dcbacked No | 70c | 2,000$1,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592 | 137 | 38%52 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb37a…f1b1backed Yes | 33c | 2,000$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…13b5backed Yes | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 167 | 39.5%66 W · 101 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…1c22backed Yes | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe472…e7ebbacked No | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd6…60c2backed No | 70c | 2,000$1,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…2c91backed Yes | 38c | 2,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x396f…7f78backed No | 24c | 1,994$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,521.13 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed No | 58c | 1,986$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.5 | 90 | 57.8%52 W · 38 L | +11.2wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4f…4594backed Yes | 6c | 1,974$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.01 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5715…1616backed No | 34c | 1,963$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,287.84 | 115 | 27%31 W · 84 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…5523backed Yes | 38c | 1,930$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.29 | 118 | 42.4%50 W · 68 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc961…db04backed No | 63c | 1,909$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecf4…9979backed No | 62c | 1,909$1,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.43 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9797…c193backed Yes | 64c | 1,900$1,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222.96 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d77…cf31backed Yes | 5c | 1,840$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.26 | 114 | 6.1%7 W · 107 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 14c | 1,810$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.21 | 366 | 26.8%98 W · 268 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a60…b0b3backed Yes | 11c | 1,771$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.81 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddef…d52bbacked Yes | 11c | 1,759$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -4.6wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb1…276cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,753$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 132 | 50%66 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes | 9c | 1,714$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.92 | 109 | 13.8%15 W · 94 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceca…3f67backed No | 72c | 1,709$1,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.75 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e9…bdacbacked Yes | 55c | 1,699$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.27 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3c…5eeabacked Yes | 37c | 1,628$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.26 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb57a…b8c3backed Yes | 61c | 1,619$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.59 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 46c | 1,600$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.71 | 423 | 29.1%123 W · 300 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b0…76f4backed No | 23c | 1,600$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.99 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…216bbacked Yes | 39c | 1,574$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.08 | 207 | 49.3%102 W · 105 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 341 | 43.4%148 W · 193 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…fbb0backed Yes | 12c | 1,500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.08 | 142 | 28.2%40 W · 102 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +34%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e4…5bf6backed No | 64c | 1,500$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.99 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1f…c855backed Yes | 30c | 1,456$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.6 | 106 | 39.6%42 W · 64 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?this page
- Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?Yes won
- Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.