Middle East · resolved market
Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc7438f5fe116c13ac1586748dafb7e659d26a8726a8004570d7654e86f16c3e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $817,671
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $817,671 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 808 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 24c | 26,070$6,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,254.33 | 428 | 18.7%80 W · 348 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b76…edefbacked No | 67c | 20,034$13,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,706.7 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda73…8e23backed No | 79c | 19,143$15,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,949.97 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e84…ef69backed Yes | 26c | 15,999$4,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,190.2 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed No | 66c | 15,982$10,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,360.32 | 225 | 47.1%106 W · 119 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeec5…b6febacked No | 70c | 15,331$10,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,624.38 | 123 | 62.6%77 W · 46 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5b…7796backed Yes | 30c | 15,254$4,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,516.5 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d05…6a81backed Yes | 4c | 15,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 432 | 12.5%54 W · 378 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Yes | 22c | 14,646$3,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,235.26 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33db…417abacked No | 71c | 11,342$8,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,294.9 | 113 | 57.5%65 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecef…558abacked No | 67c | 10,874$7,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,603.01 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 15c | 9,838$1,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,442.04 | 490 | 23.5%115 W · 375 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 5c | 9,709$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.03 | 177 | 37.3%66 W · 111 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 29c | 9,035$2,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,592.36 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x907d…20c4backed Yes | 0c | 8,781$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4975…e61dbacked Yes | 23c | 8,478$1,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,965.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed No | 70c | 8,407$5,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,529.17 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -10.5wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c1…0f60backed Yes | 8c | 8,323$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.96 | 43 | 4.7%2 W · 41 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae2…1032backed Yes | 36c | 8,152$2,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,923.75 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…89bbbacked Yes | 32c | 7,861$2,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,483.3 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc326…1db1backed No | 79c | 7,653$6,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,607.59 | 105 | 58.1%61 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf75…3880backed Yes | 18c | 7,360$1,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,329.01 | 133 | 21.8%29 W · 104 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd576…d5e3backed Yes | 29c | 6,447$1,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,867.96 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3db…0f98backed No | 63c | 6,301$3,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,329.65 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +11.2wins | +0.16per pick | 35cpaid | +94.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4135…e462backed Yes | 26c | 6,139$1,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,625.82 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed No | 58c | 5,840$3,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,429.98 | 382 | 37.7%144 W · 238 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4e…edb0backed Yes | 30c | 5,600$1,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,675.42 | 87 | 25.3%22 W · 65 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 19cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa263…5dbabacked Yes | 28c | 5,123$1,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410.95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d82…7d33backed No | 53c | 5,031$2,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,382.97 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd64e…5516backed No | 73c | 5,017$3,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,354.93 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffe…e125backed No | 69c | 4,970$3,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,528.29 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f3…d930backed Yes | 36c | 4,949$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +135.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7acd…1086backed Yes | 9c | 4,711$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.53 | 148 | 8.1%12 W · 136 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +238.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 74c | 4,400$3,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125.98 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 4c | 3,951$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.73 | 713 | 5.6%40 W · 673 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…610cbacked Yes | 36c | 3,935$1,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,431 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6f…67e3backed Yes | 21c | 3,800$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.99 | 73 | 17.8%13 W · 60 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac6a…2ed3backed No | 70c | 3,787$2,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.71 | 90 | 68.9%62 W · 28 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa58b…e1b6backed Yes | 36c | 3,707$1,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,352.83 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5059…720cbacked No | 70c | 3,506$2,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.92 | 60 | 68.3%41 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44a…8da6backed Yes | 33c | 3,506$1,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,153.53 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21d3…df85backed Yes | 34c | 3,310$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,116.03 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf34f…4d6ebacked Yes | 28c | 3,223$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.45 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb1…3c7abacked Yes | 42c | 3,222$1,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,367.83 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8933…a8e1backed No | 71c | 3,210$2,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.42 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf75…29c6backed No | 66c | 3,167$2,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.46 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…f8f3backed No | 62c | 3,153$1,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,183.15 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | +16.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x770e…7640backed Yes | 17c | 3,068$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.56 | 206 | 17%35 W · 171 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47a5…6834backed Yes | 20c | 2,882$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.07 | 80 | 33.8%27 W · 53 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +57%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x465f…9f4dbacked Yes | 23c | 2,879$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a3…c2f9backed Yes | 32c | 2,867$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.57 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 37cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d4…8e51backed Yes | 24c | 2,844$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.06 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 2,831$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked No | 70c | 2,817$1,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.71 | 367 | 50.4%185 W · 182 L | +39.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked No | 63c | 2,785$1,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.99 | 362 | 27.9%101 W · 261 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 75c | 2,749$2,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.43 | 678 | 41.6%282 W · 396 L | -20.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7264…8583backed Yes | 13c | 2,705$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.9 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 11cpaid | +115%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a8…5c27backed Yes | 16c | 2,687$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.07 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…0fe5backed No | 58c | 2,668$1,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.82 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c27…d050backed Yes | 34c | 2,652$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed No | 77c | 2,645$2,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.42 | 353 | 55.5%196 W · 157 L | +36.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe9bf…fdedbacked Yes | 34c | 2,628$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…39dbbacked Yes | 38c | 2,616$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77b0…ba0bbacked No | 61c | 2,605$1,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.39 | 177 | 55.4%98 W · 79 L | +17.5wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xffb0…fa37backed No | 71c | 2,604$1,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.36 | 160 | 61.9%99 W · 61 L | +9.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafa8…05f1backed Yes | 35c | 2,513$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked No | 79c | 2,484$1,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.56 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | -14.5wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb85d…4ac4backed No | 76c | 2,424$1,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.89 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x055b…5c5fbacked Yes | 37c | 2,412$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x872e…e58fbacked Yes | 21c | 2,407$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec2…532abacked Yes | 13c | 2,400$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.61 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0f…e8dfbacked Yes | 63c | 2,391$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37b9…09aabacked Yes | 24c | 2,377$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.58 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe131…7594backed No | 76c | 2,374$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -67%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 26c | 2,251$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.24 | 70 | 12.9%9 W · 61 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c0…a68dbacked No | 79c | 2,224$1,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.59 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x830a…7751backed Yes | 40c | 2,152$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.65 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c3…68d9backed Yes | 7c | 2,125$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9561…5497backed Yes | 28c | 2,083$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.23 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16a8…7d0cbacked Yes | 25c | 2,070$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b0…a5fbbacked No | 74c | 2,051$1,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.15 | 166 | 48.2%80 W · 86 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff91…a1edbacked Yes | 25c | 2,038$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +51%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34bb…3f87backed Yes | 35c | 2,014$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +99.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked No | 71c | 2,000$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd67b…5780backed No | 67c | 1,995$1,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.26 | 382 | 47.6%182 W · 200 L | +37.1wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x46e2…f8bbbacked No | 68c | 1,966$1,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.9 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 1,936$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.53 | 507 | 1.4%7 W · 500 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25b7…cc0ebacked Yes | 3c | 1,906$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.17 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0faf…d0d9backed No | 76c | 1,900$1,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.61 | 173 | 47.4%82 W · 91 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b5…4c72backed Yes | 32c | 1,877$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.71 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | +10.9wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x18ed…d299backed Yes | 18c | 1,875$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x76d9…e3c1backed Yes | 27c | 1,875$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01b8…d845backed Yes | 23c | 1,853$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.88 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 73c | 1,787$1,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.39 | 207 | 49.3%102 W · 105 L | -23.0wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8896…6481backed Yes | 57c | 1,766$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc3…b89ebacked Yes | 34c | 1,765$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf91d…7be5backed Yes | 36c | 1,749$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.49 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96b4…85b5backed Yes | 43c | 1,723$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.89 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb48b…04ebbacked No | 63c | 1,700$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.99 | 83 | 57.8%48 W · 35 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ca…60aebacked No | 73c | 1,680$1,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.66 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?this page
- Houthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026?Yes won
- Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?No won
- Houthi strike on Israel by March 6, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.