Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12587fe0cd6aa29260510a658db7d3e03de052bbc9d77ec29fbc4579a0999db1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,784,410
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,444,222
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,784,410 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 603 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda6b…a403backed Yes | 3c | 340,267$9,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,066.26 | 62 | 0%0 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9e…27b9backed Yes | 0c | 232,927$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.58 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bb…240bbacked Yes | 2c | 110,540$1,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,778.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 3c | 105,262$3,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,066.7 | 133 | 3.8%5 W · 128 L | -10.2wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x716d…4206backed Yes | 4c | 104,016$3,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,808.74 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 8c | 100,118$8,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,019.02 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd2…31f4backed Yes | 28c | 90,805$25,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,434.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe190…0a5dbacked Yes | 2c | 90,589$1,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,594.69 | 103 | 1.9%2 W · 101 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed Yes | 4c | 63,156$2,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,243.65 | 101 | 5.9%6 W · 95 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +121.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5360…1f6fbacked Yes | 3c | 62,777$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,760.12 | 146 | 6.2%9 W · 137 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes | 4c | 49,729$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,759.78 | 40 | 2.5%1 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -94.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e39…8cbfbacked Yes | 0c | 47,798$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.16 | 74 | 0%0 W · 74 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc84…81edbacked Yes | 4c | 46,284$1,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,852.5 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9859…1650backed Yes | 2c | 37,502$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.8 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2de7…89a4backed Yes | 0c | 30,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa40a…fa62backed Yes | 29c | 25,000$7,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,149.99 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f7…e19fbacked Yes | 1c | 20,807$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.46 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 20c | 20,041$3,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,962.41 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb47a…6d60backed No | 75c | 20,000$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b73…66f2backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 3c | 19,864$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.86 | 131 | 17.6%23 W · 108 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf34…dc6ebacked Yes | 10c | 18,687$1,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,849.22 | 33 | 9.1%3 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | +122.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8a…7699backed No | 74c | 18,059$13,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,645.11 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d2…fb68backed Yes | 0c | 17,000$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84a1…2842backed Yes | 2c | 16,874$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.76 | 148 | 3.4%5 W · 143 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed No | 79c | 16,759$13,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,546.79 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39a0…c658backed Yes | 1c | 15,345$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4615…5ccbbacked No | 76c | 14,425$11,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,424.55 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.24per pick | 53cpaid | +78%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6b…9a8abacked Yes | 1c | 12,465$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.75 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…9c10backed Yes | 20c | 12,278$2,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,413.29 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e07…efe0backed Yes | 2c | 12,250$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.03 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd83c…19dcbacked No | 79c | 12,016$9,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,498.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 73cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…251ebacked Yes | 6c | 11,734$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.42 | 117 | 20.5%24 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 1c | 11,100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…1caabacked Yes | 1c | 10,804$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.14 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed Yes | 1c | 10,470$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.9 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef9…ca99backed Yes | 3c | 10,409$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7102…19aebacked Yes | 2c | 10,258$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.14 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x075e…1840backed Yes | 11c | 10,099$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.22 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -81%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbac9…ca59backed Yes | 3c | 9,857$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.49 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 13cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6402…2fa1backed Yes | 8c | 9,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.99 | 64 | 3.1%2 W · 62 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a39…345fbacked Yes | 1c | 9,496$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb42c…c27bbacked Yes | 2c | 9,349$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.55 | 99 | 4%4 W · 95 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…0ff2backed Yes | 2c | 9,003$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.47 | 104 | 3.8%4 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf77…202bbacked Yes | 1c | 8,810$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.1 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09e2…4346backed Yes | 10c | 8,621$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x659f…64e5backed Yes | 0c | 8,511$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.04 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe4…01b7backed Yes | 12c | 8,413$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.69 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…4594backed Yes | 23c | 8,040$1,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,810.77 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 0c | 8,025$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.86 | 149 | 0.7%1 W · 148 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9b7bbacked No | 74c | 7,293$5,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,867.14 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0bf…2032backed Yes | 1c | 7,286$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.16 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8c…9e5dbacked Yes | 1c | 7,252$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.47 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37f4…49afbacked Yes | 22c | 7,000$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,539.98 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +97.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc01f…cd8ebacked Yes | 16c | 6,987$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf4d…78f5backed Yes | 3c | 6,666$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.57 | 65 | 18.5%12 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e60…ae42backed Yes | 15c | 6,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4d…f703backed No | 75c | 5,600$4,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,386.96 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1da5…90c9backed Yes | 22c | 5,571$1,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,205 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 22cpaid | -85%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf597…2370backed Yes | 20c | 5,313$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,081.99 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 27cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Yes | 18c | 5,184$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.27 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…e03cbacked No | 77c | 5,006$3,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed Yes | 18c | 5,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -41%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x518c…8d39backed Yes | 18c | 5,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf2…17f2backed Yes | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc8…91a1backed Yes | 1c | 4,806$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.44 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…5181backed Yes | 2c | 4,713$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9877…13a8backed Yes | 1c | 4,631$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdac5…ae24backed Yes | 22c | 4,427$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b6b…52b0backed Yes | 22c | 4,366$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.49 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc59…5402backed Yes | 1c | 4,180$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e7e…5ba1backed Yes | 24c | 4,093$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.34 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83f0…6ff5backed Yes | 25c | 4,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6e…e39dbacked No | 77c | 3,967$3,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.36 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab7…d144backed Yes | 22c | 3,922$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.61 | 47 | 8.5%4 W · 43 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd988…fd9dbacked Yes | 2c | 3,880$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77eb…9d5cbacked No | 75c | 3,864$2,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.94 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33fb…897cbacked Yes | 3c | 3,575$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.2 | 56 | 14.3%8 W · 48 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e64…fc32backed Yes | 14c | 3,456$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10e8…c707backed Yes | 12c | 3,332$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.79 | 40 | 15%6 W · 34 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -74%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf245…e78abacked Yes | 12c | 3,283$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…62a4backed Yes | 13c | 3,270$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.99 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes | 12c | 3,173$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.38 | 40 | 10%4 W · 36 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5342…d243backed Yes | 18c | 3,143$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.96 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95a2…791cbacked Yes | 15c | 3,129$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.68 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x040d…1a5ebacked Yes | 12c | 3,108$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.17 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -52%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b3…e903backed Yes | 2c | 3,104$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d17…9054backed Yes | 1c | 3,000$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.59 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bbe…b9dcbacked No | 79c | 3,000$2,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb39e…9fc6backed Yes | 1c | 2,991$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…6a3dbacked Yes | 3c | 2,978$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4a…dd04backed Yes | 18c | 2,778$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf7…aeb3backed Yes | 4c | 2,778$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x615e…5295backed Yes | 1c | 2,657$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 227 | 0.9%2 W · 225 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e66…668fbacked No | 76c | 2,632$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.58 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe004…cce7backed Yes | 1c | 2,500$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 51 | 0%0 W · 51 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…feb0backed No | 79c | 2,500$1,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.19per pick | 18cpaid | +83%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x19de…713ebacked Yes | 4c | 2,500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e31…4716backed Yes | 23c | 2,354$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.12 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed Yes | 15c | 2,350$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.98 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in May?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in May?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.