World Politics · resolved market
Starmer out by March 31, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb87df3ecfdb937e0d5bd495d7cc7e88062097616e0c59ce478e101eff5020eb7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $878,483
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $874,871
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $878,483 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 334 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9648…6825backed Yes | 7c | 161,910$12,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,016.45 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b22…c824backed Yes | 15c | 41,719$6,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,274.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb1…85f7backed Yes | 3c | 17,016$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 14c | 14,306$2,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,030.12 | 139 | 18%25 W · 114 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 12c | 12,464$1,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,433.9 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca76…28b3backed Yes | 17c | 12,000$2,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,043.34 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf32a…06fdbacked Yes | 12c | 10,374$1,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,238.24 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc2…597abacked Yes | 4c | 8,393$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.54 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97d3…b7babacked Yes | 16c | 8,346$1,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,333 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22bd…ad18backed Yes | 13c | 7,483$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed Yes | 8c | 7,250$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.53 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7905…a886backed Yes | 16c | 7,002$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,134.43 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 17cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37b4…d5e5backed Yes | 13c | 6,124$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.21 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +6.2wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ed…9a97backed Yes | 10c | 6,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 14cpaid | +55%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf3…286bbacked Yes | 14c | 5,842$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f3…2822backed Yes | 4c | 5,406$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 15c | 4,839$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.91 | 152 | 30.3%46 W · 106 L | -18.7wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 7c | 4,422$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.91 | 220 | 29.5%65 W · 155 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 4c | 4,357$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.75 | 234 | 4.3%10 W · 224 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes | 4c | 4,349$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.21 | 53 | 13.2%7 W · 46 L | -8.5wins | -0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x81f0…71edbacked Yes | 14c | 4,175$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 2c | 4,045$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.98 | 94 | 18.1%17 W · 77 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Yes | 16c | 4,041$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…3036backed Yes | 12c | 3,800$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3332…cf9dbacked Yes | 5c | 3,500$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 10c | 3,447$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.11 | 79 | 19%15 W · 64 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70f1…b2ecbacked Yes | 21c | 3,333$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeae5…0720backed Yes | 13c | 3,313$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.43 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +5.4wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +22%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe2f5…5e0ebacked Yes | 16c | 3,240$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a3…e60abacked Yes | 10c | 3,228$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.42 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 17c | 2,940$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.83 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +30%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…e231backed Yes | 11c | 2,916$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.56 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 2c | 2,877$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.3 | 61 | 4.9%3 W · 58 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x335c…6e62backed Yes | 10c | 2,699$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8af8…e723backed Yes | 19c | 2,572$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Yes | 16c | 2,500$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58b3…fe06backed Yes | 13c | 2,442$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.34 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe46…cb39backed Yes | 4c | 2,421$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.39 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f62…e744backed Yes | 33c | 2,336$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.72 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed1…53febacked Yes | 4c | 2,307$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 18cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8797…bbbebacked Yes | 10c | 2,197$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.17 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x843e…d2f3backed Yes | 21c | 2,131$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e49…f1afbacked No | 78c | 2,039$1,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -40%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b4…1e3ebacked Yes | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 41cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed Yes | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.9wins | +0.30per pick | 55cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf566…1386backed No | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…34d0backed Yes | 5c | 2,000$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b2…2171backed Yes | 17c | 2,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 3c | 1,864$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.76 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x275c…6090backed No | 79c | 1,835$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.35 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,814$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.76 | 179 | 21.2%38 W · 141 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 4c | 1,795$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.27 | 476 | 6.5%31 W · 445 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 11c | 1,700$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 186 | 28.5%53 W · 133 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x668d…97d2backed No | 79c | 1,662$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.38 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5801…1e52backed Yes | 13c | 1,590$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3581…7427backed Yes | 15c | 1,500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe389…8a2cbacked Yes | 28c | 1,500$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 8c | 1,447$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.09 | 192 | 37.5%72 W · 120 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf8…042fbacked Yes | 14c | 1,400$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x363f…ee04backed Yes | 9c | 1,373$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Yes | 13c | 1,344$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.27 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc56…d195backed Yes | 4c | 1,300$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7540…9827backed Yes | 14c | 1,285$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2f…1002backed Yes | 31c | 1,271$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb886…81b3backed Yes | 14c | 1,256$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.85 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 166 | 16.9%28 W · 138 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | +111.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfce…80c7backed Yes | 20c | 1,200$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 29cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d62…27e0backed Yes | 15c | 1,200$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 20c | 1,116$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.2 | 284 | 34.2%97 W · 187 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d60…03d8backed Yes | 20c | 1,093$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.52 | 101 | 22.8%23 W · 78 L | -9.5wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf806…eebdbacked Yes | 4c | 1,053$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65a8…d661backed Yes | 23c | 1,030$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3008…5cb6backed Yes | 15c | 1,027$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc636…5ef9backed Yes | 5c | 1,020$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06d6…d87fbacked Yes | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 148 | 34.5%51 W · 97 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Yes | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb11…e93fbacked Yes | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76e3…4bb2backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 14c | 975.21$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.78 | 371 | 17.8%66 W · 305 L | -18.9wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc77b…a526backed Yes | 18c | 966$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.09 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17ed…c087backed Yes | 4c | 925.26$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.81 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -23%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…de80backed Yes | 35c | 903.04$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.91 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…d00bbacked Yes | 5c | 900$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 56 | 14.3%8 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44fc…9728backed No | 75c | 860$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x769d…05bfbacked Yes | 15c | 853$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.22 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x433e…67f4backed Yes | 6c | 849.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86c4…7904backed Yes | 6c | 833$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc682…17bbbacked No | 73c | 822.48$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.07 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e66…41e7backed Yes | 1c | 806.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 35 | 0%0 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c8…0e01backed Yes | 20c | 802.5$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.5 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf87b…76bbbacked Yes | 13c | 770.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234e…240bbacked No | 67c | 748.22$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9b…b6ecbacked Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b71…0a0dbacked No | 70c | 714.02$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd67b…bd5cbacked Yes | 15c | 700$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | +312.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcff1…f8debacked Yes | 12c | 689.87$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.5 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Yes | 37c | 677.55$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce6…16a3backed Yes | 12c | 676.55$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.48 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc5…610ebacked Yes | 13c | 673.7$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.67 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Starmer out by March 31, 2026?this page
- Starmer out by April 30, 2026?No won
- Starmer out by August 31, 2026?Yes won
- Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes won
- Starmer out by February 28, 2026?No won
- Starmer out by July 31, 2026?Yes won
- Starmer out by June 15, 2026?No won
- Starmer out by June 21, 2026?No won
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?Yes won
- Starmer out by June 23, 2026?Yes won
- Starmer out by June 24, 2026?Yes won
- Starmer out by June 25, 2026?Yes won
- Starmer out by June 26, 2026?Yes won
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes won
- Starmer out by May 15, 2026?No won
- Starmer out by May 19, 2026?No won
- Starmer out by May 31, 2026?No won
- Starmer out by October 31, 2026?Yes won
- Starmer out in 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.