Ukraine · resolved market
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by March 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1fafc1440b4fa2cf3720786818cbd5325a28e643ab216af8d72f98e26bbc5b88
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $204,048
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $210,778
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $204,048 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 282 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed No | 54c | 18,473$9,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,541.63 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8631…9a73backed Yes | 61c | 11,066$6,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,699.43 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…13b5backed No | 61c | 10,315$6,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,972.38 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb26c…0eb0backed No | 78c | 8,940$6,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,970.12 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…be54backed Yes | 67c | 6,935$4,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,615.89 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ff…9a20backed No | 53c | 4,088$2,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,918.88 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +4.2wins | +0.22per pick | 57cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 19c | 4,000$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.65 | 253 | 11.5%29 W · 224 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…0734backed Yes | 19c | 3,435$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 29cpaid | -89.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9503…b863backed Yes | 53c | 3,363$1,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,792.03 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd116…be32backed No | 30c | 3,354$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,347.47 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9290…3452backed Yes | 19c | 3,300$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.99 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +35%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x12bf…ddafbacked No | 45c | 3,292$1,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,795.98 | 151 | 25.2%38 W · 113 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a3…883abacked Yes | 31c | 3,023$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.22 | 74 | 62.2%46 W · 28 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked No | 45c | 2,544$1,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,390.33 | 353 | 41.9%148 W · 205 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes | 47c | 2,372$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103.83 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2f2…3718backed Yes | 37c | 2,268$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 28c | 1,967$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.94 | 308 | 37.7%116 W · 192 L | -18.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…693fbacked Yes | 35c | 1,800$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x967e…2063backed Yes | 20c | 1,780$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 34cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b26…4ce5backed Yes | 23c | 1,741$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +110.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8931…3012backed Yes | 55c | 1,646$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f47…9387backed Yes | 48c | 1,412$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9da4…7403backed Yes | 35c | 1,408$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 28c | 1,351$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.6 | 39 | 12.8%5 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3d35…23c1backed Yes | 21c | 1,200$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 75c | 1,145$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.48 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -38.4wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7491…ada0backed No | 10c | 1,100$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c6…b50bbacked No | 10c | 1,086$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.58 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd553…6af5backed No | 78c | 1,016$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.4 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3c…5eeabacked Yes | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc41f…7145backed No | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…cf60backed Yes | 21c | 974.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.4 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3939…6ba2backed Yes | 37c | 914.04$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d62…27e0backed No | 47c | 899.99$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf3…57f7backed Yes | 49c | 892.04$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.8 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc5…db85backed Yes | 39c | 887.17$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.02 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ad…ff58backed No | 59c | 878.02$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.38 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…55dfbacked No | 53c | 853.28$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.2 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5709…22c3backed Yes | 20c | 844.97$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.29 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes | 12c | 799.96$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.99 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 79c | 776.05$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.25 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9359…6aacbacked No | 76c | 745.62$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.08 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d36…2a3bbacked Yes | 79c | 732.66$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +97%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ebc…8bdcbacked Yes | 63c | 727.79$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.92 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 20c | 723.5$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.28 | 122 | 25.4%31 W · 91 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd054…7e38backed No | 66c | 699.99$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee25…7cd3backed No | 78c | 677.94$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.04 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf1…09b7backed No | 15c | 677.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 25cpaid | +197.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b6…3961backed No | 50c | 667.56$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.08 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec0a…68b5backed Yes | 17c | 662.99$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.21 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaadc…d8efbacked Yes | 75c | 647.23$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.91 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x935a…6235backed No | 71c | 613.86$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.2 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb3…da0ebacked Yes | 12c | 583.81$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.06 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1cc…72d6backed Yes | 18c | 583.75$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.87 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc270…3503backed Yes | 23c | 578.67$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.2 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f6…1888backed No | 17c | 576.92$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 21cpaid | +311%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf130…88ddbacked Yes | 49c | 555.77$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.33 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe50…6eb6backed No | 59c | 550$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 54c | 546.43$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.96 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81ce…0026backed Yes | 30c | 532.84$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.3 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad3…faa6backed No | 72c | 527.3$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.22 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfffe…4e6cbacked No | 70c | 515.6$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.75 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4612…c279backed Yes | 41c | 512.56$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.18 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd72…6cc4backed No | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa92d…4e71backed No | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1b…efb5backed No | 18c | 500$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +386.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41df…4b70backed No | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -4.7wins | -0.23per pick | 58cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x05aa…22f4backed Yes | 39c | 485.43$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 25c | 474.7$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.46 | 172 | 32%55 W · 117 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b65…013ebacked No | 62c | 461.49$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.5 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed No | 14c | 450$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387 | 262 | 38.5%101 W · 161 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91e8…b571backed Yes | 47c | 446.5$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 9c | 431.02$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.6 | 143 | 2.1%3 W · 140 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x743d…f77ebacked No | 62c | 419.48$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.4 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 18c | 401.76$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.98 | 77 | 35.1%27 W · 50 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8737…2bffbacked Yes | 11c | 399$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.89 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…cd55backed Yes | 11c | 395$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed No | 26c | 385.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.62 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4518…1cacbacked Yes | 38c | 383.86$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.54 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cf…284fbacked No | 64c | 375$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa641…4af9backed Yes | 19c | 372.49$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +104%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf40b…7181backed Yes | 11c | 369$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe762…064bbacked No | 56c | 368.81$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.15 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x912b…9156backed Yes | 25c | 347.41$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x264c…bacabacked Yes | 45c | 344.93$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.22 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38b6…a5e9backed Yes | 62c | 340.32$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b9…6048backed No | 48c | 328.06$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.04 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d56…f8d4backed Yes | 65c | 323.69$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5cc…dea4backed Yes | 11c | 322.74$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x811f…16e3backed Yes | 66c | 322$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 11c | 319.47$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.24 | 87 | 11.5%10 W · 77 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c88…186bbacked Yes | 30c | 317.56$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa774…005fbacked No | 73c | 314.43$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.83 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75d2…1feebacked Yes | 31c | 313.37$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.14 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x382a…b590backed No | 39c | 303.79$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.17 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a3…8642backed No | 12c | 300$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a1…5645backed No | 64c | 296.48$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.21 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x714f…66d5backed No | 14c | 294.2$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.01 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Yes | 19c | 289.48$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.17 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x453e…dedabacked No | 58c | 286.25$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by March 31?this page
- Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?No won
- Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by February 28?No won
- Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?No won
- Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by May 31?No won
- Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.