Ukraine · resolved market
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x300b12c0716c6904518674524a9106fe416c8c833f5366cf5378c31fb745cc58
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,428
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,462
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,428 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3910…7ba2backed Yes | 30c | 6,452$1,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,931.6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -37%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a3…883abacked No | 71c | 3,671$2,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.07 | 74 | 62.2%46 W · 28 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc93c…52f1backed Yes | 33c | 2,294$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.97 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc83f…b7a9backed No | 74c | 1,775$1,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb75…446dbacked Yes | 36c | 1,477$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.9 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2415…f255backed Yes | 5c | 1,370$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…8370backed No | 69c | 1,357$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.28 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f66…3a50backed No | 78c | 1,215$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.8 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x645a…fd84backed No | 70c | 1,191$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.12 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb26c…0eb0backed Yes | 26c | 1,118$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.86 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c3…8c6ebacked Yes | 5c | 1,047$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a28…6129backed Yes | 5c | 1,030$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 77c | 1,020$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.22 | 308 | 37.7%116 W · 192 L | -18.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe45…4b8fbacked Yes | 5c | 1,020$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2889…fc69backed No | 74c | 1,013$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.15 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7145…1d17backed Yes | 5c | 973$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d73…94e7backed Yes | 5c | 966$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8d…0443backed Yes | 5c | 953$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07b6…67b5backed Yes | 5c | 950$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9290…3452backed Yes | 24c | 899.21$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.74 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +35%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a0…a157backed Yes | 8c | 810$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e77…7bd2backed Yes | 5c | 807.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b1…016ebacked Yes | 5c | 807.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7be7…d97ebacked Yes | 8c | 775.42$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d0e…8f54backed Yes | 3c | 770$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eaf…6418backed Yes | 7c | 760$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5204…d25ebacked Yes | 3c | 726.46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked Yes | 16c | 724.12$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.96 | 353 | 41.9%148 W · 205 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb94a…a623backed No | 73c | 682.8$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.8 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40e4…1000backed Yes | 7c | 670$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe73f…d210backed Yes | 7c | 670$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81be…a08cbacked Yes | 3c | 660$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7b…9eb1backed Yes | 5c | 660$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dff…a3b5backed Yes | 3c | 651$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa02f…175bbacked Yes | 35c | 635.97$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 67c | 611.76$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -38.4wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd553…6af5backed Yes | 30c | 579.6$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.33 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked No | 70c | 577$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.1 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed No | 67c | 487.5$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.85 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90e4…b031backed Yes | 18c | 467.96$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 80c | 467.84$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.72 | 131 | 28.2%37 W · 94 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4b…38a0backed No | 77c | 431.12$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…3359backed No | 72c | 418.06$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…4228backed No | 56c | 357.3$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.3 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +7.0wins | +0.28per pick | 40cpaid | +219.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd987…20b6backed Yes | 6c | 337.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30cb…b901backed No | 68c | 333$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 18c | 316.42$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.22 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x703d…80f6backed No | 70c | 305.42$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.36 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -5.9wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x34b0…af3cbacked No | 70c | 284.38$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc92c…6f15backed No | 71c | 281.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 21c | 277.59$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.2 | 102 | 4.9%5 W · 97 L | -12.8wins | -0.13per pick | 17cpaid | -91.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b9…6048backed No | 64c | 270.04$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.94 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x759b…3695backed No | 77c | 258.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked No | 68c | 252$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.64 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b3…cfd0backed Yes | 32c | 245.02$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.75 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15b5…072ebacked Yes | 31c | 239.17$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +79.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 18c | 227.14$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.94 | 77 | 35.1%27 W · 50 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…91d5backed No | 66c | 204.44$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.78 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 18c | 204.23$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.09 | 172 | 32%55 W · 117 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7028…e0e9backed No | 70c | 191$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.86 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf155…76bdbacked No | 67c | 190.03$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.71 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8030…7b74backed No | 34c | 189.54$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.1 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Yes | 18c | 165.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.13 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 73c | 153.27$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.06 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe762…064bbacked Yes | 14c | 151.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.34 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ba…cf54backed Yes | 44c | 150$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0f…e413backed No | 70c | 143.7$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.7 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f48…05acbacked No | 74c | 141.25$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…0357backed No | 70c | 139.78$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.46 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc109…450bbacked Yes | 18c | 138.49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.29 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb225…d4a1backed No | 73c | 136.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5144…37c9backed No | 63c | 135.93$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.78 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +164.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked Yes | 20c | 135.74$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.72 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 64c | 133$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.88 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf01a…f231backed Yes | 26c | 129.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb896…ac39backed No | 70c | 129.57$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.15 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffef…dabfbacked No | 68c | 128$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 26c | 126.17$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.38 | 532 | 7%37 W · 495 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecc5…5fdebacked Yes | 39c | 120$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed Yes | 18c | 120$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x028c…bc32backed No | 70c | 114.29$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f28…13d6backed No | 67c | 112.89$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.89 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b58…9a40backed Yes | 27c | 112.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa0…72d6backed No | 61c | 112.7$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.95 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b22…3a92backed Yes | 19c | 112.41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x726c…6bfdbacked No | 69c | 110.99$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.31 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +242.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1583…bddebacked No | 71c | 103.34$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.34 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 67cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Yes | 30c | 101.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.15per pick | 36cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcd76…77bdbacked No | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x166a…d7edbacked No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1264…31e5backed No | 78c | 99.98$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9c…85b0backed Yes | 32c | 95.02$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6195…388abacked No | 68c | 94$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb07f…faadbacked Yes | 33c | 92.06$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x138d…5b75backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked Yes | 32c | 90.4$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x083f…a55fbacked No | 56c | 89.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.25 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1536…7f40backed No | 67c | 88$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.04 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed Yes | 44c | 84$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae19…5cb0backed Yes | 43c | 83.05$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?this page
- Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?No won
- Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by February 28?No won
- Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by March 31?No won
- Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by May 31?No won
- Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.