Ukraine · resolved market
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by May 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe43234c3b1057bd3ab009403013c3dc85577550fc1cd3b6dcc4187c63174a91d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,829
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,107
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,829 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 165 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd5cc…dea4backed No | 40c | 2,466$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,488.08 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes | 22c | 1,697$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.77 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb75…446dbacked Yes | 9c | 1,529$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.7 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…9dc7backed Yes | 56c | 1,513$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.36 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…7567backed No | 76c | 1,312$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.91 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 60cpaid | +59%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0efe…76e3backed Yes | 8c | 1,100$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b7…c1efbacked Yes | 9c | 1,049$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44fc…058cbacked Yes | 8c | 1,017$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4c…6e8ebacked Yes | 8c | 1,000$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf027…3f04backed Yes | 22c | 999.98$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.89 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3910…7ba2backed Yes | 60c | 900$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -37%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e42…49edbacked Yes | 19c | 707.41$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.41 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0218…52c0backed Yes | 2c | 696.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a3…883abacked Yes | 29c | 636.77$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.51 | 74 | 62.2%46 W · 28 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes | 60c | 584$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.4 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1b…e75cbacked No | 80c | 526.7$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.24 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +6.7wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf155…76bdbacked No | 77c | 485$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.55 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…dd8fbacked Yes | 11c | 477.52$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.27 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc90f…a598backed No | 66c | 428.69$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.86 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked Yes | 33c | 418.08$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.74 | 353 | 41.9%148 W · 205 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…71b6backed No | 61c | 412.25$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.25 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 27c | 408.1$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.45 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff1…7234backed Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9994…d87bbacked No | 55c | 384.32$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b4…0d68backed No | 60c | 376.7$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 8c | 376.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 107 | 4.7%5 W · 102 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 8c | 366.04$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.96 | 130 | 2.3%3 W · 127 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x645a…fd84backed No | 52c | 347.1$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.1 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 29c | 329.4$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.21 | 75 | 18.7%14 W · 61 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe958…66b7backed No | 64c | 306$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a63…b4efbacked Yes | 23c | 294.16$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.32 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 30cpaid | +178.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed No | 51c | 292.87$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.51 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed No | 58c | 270$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.96 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.15per pick | 36cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 41c | 268.73$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.32 | 122 | 25.4%31 W · 91 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe57a…e196backed No | 53c | 267$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +87.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb57a…7d26backed No | 79c | 253.11$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60eb…4a56backed No | 79c | 252$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.65 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b4e…93a3backed Yes | 42c | 244.7$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.77 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x714f…66d5backed No | 35c | 239.99$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5943…2ef2backed No | 52c | 237.17$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.99 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3032…99e7backed No | 69c | 218.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.12 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf56a…e0e7backed No | 63c | 214.7$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62e8…c7f6backed Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…70e2backed No | 72c | 207.99$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 24c | 207$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…993cbacked No | 50c | 200.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x669d…19b0backed No | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1547…d066backed No | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.26per pick | 45cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9f…0df3backed Yes | 39c | 199.97$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.99 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab4…e073backed Yes | 44c | 199.7$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.15 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +7.1wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Yes | 44c | 199.55$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.77 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 23cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 78c | 197.37$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.98 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb87…3636backed No | 52c | 191.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf54…d6d9backed No | 53c | 187.15$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b9…6048backed No | 77c | 180$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.8 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x905b…c9d1backed No | 60c | 179.63$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.85 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed No | 60c | 178.99$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.86 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a72…a2abbacked Yes | 14c | 172.05$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 40cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb59…cb87backed Yes | 59c | 169.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e2…06fbbacked No | 60c | 167.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.17 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa64…7e3dbacked No | 69c | 164.44$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.44 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead3…b125backed Yes | 12c | 162.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb96…d3fcbacked No | 62c | 161.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x585b…753fbacked No | 53c | 159.66$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.55 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f7b…a114backed No | 79c | 155.71$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.14 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a0…9d96backed Yes | 12c | 143.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 40c | 142.73$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.39 | 394 | 29.4%116 W · 278 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbba…d60fbacked No | 75c | 132.09$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed Yes | 9c | 131.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -83.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb534…f7e7backed No | 59c | 125.51$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b6…3961backed No | 42c | 123.83$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.06 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad12…b115backed Yes | 24c | 121.92$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 33c | 121.41$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.01 | 39 | 12.8%5 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0747…95d3backed Yes | 25c | 119$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 44cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9efa…d6e1backed No | 77c | 116.88$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2e…0873backed No | 77c | 116.06$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.18 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e33…3afdbacked Yes | 23c | 115$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb4…89b0backed No | 50c | 114.54$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe762…064bbacked Yes | 16c | 110.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9253…344cbacked No | 75c | 109.05$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.78 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067e…baafbacked Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa0…72d6backed No | 57c | 104.41$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.5 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 71c | 102.27$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.56 | 102 | 4.9%5 W · 97 L | -12.8wins | -0.13per pick | 17cpaid | -91.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd553…6af5backed Yes | 57c | 101.96$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 17c | 100.79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.06 | 532 | 7%37 W · 495 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee1f…652cbacked Yes | 44c | 100.68$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 77 | 35.1%27 W · 50 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed No | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3333…6d86backed No | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb26c…0eb0backed Yes | 48c | 99.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e1…e46fbacked No | 56c | 98.64$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.91 | 74 | 62.2%46 W · 28 L | +8.7wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +69%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x166a…d7edbacked No | 66c | 95$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6606…fa0ebacked No | 58c | 88.11$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c72…3efdbacked No | 55c | 83.44$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9783…ac60backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Yes | 23c | 80.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2c…5dc1backed No | 71c | 77.21$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a31…1164backed No | 79c | 77$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…8b86backed Yes | 19c | 74.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16a8…4aacbacked Yes | 24c | 71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +89.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by May 31?this page
- Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?No won
- Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by February 28?No won
- Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?No won
- Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by March 31?No won
- Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.