NHL · resolved market
Blackhawks vs. Penguins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x716db423ba122435818ad61ea9301fdad0af8fe66d459a4bac5efb6bd1ed7f6d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Penguinsof Blackhawks, Penguins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,005,061
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,048,422
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,005,061 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 396 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9976…67dabacked Blackhawks | 40c | 399,944$159,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159,438.24 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Penguins | 60c | 200,000$120,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80,000 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Blackhawks | 39c | 150,000$58,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,499.97 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Penguins | 61c | 115,385$70,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,000.28 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Penguins | 63c | 85,825$53,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,976.28 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Penguins | 60c | 80,269$48,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,804.73 | 268 | 49.6%133 W · 135 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Blackhawks | 39c | 55,000$21,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,449.99 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Blackhawks | 37c | 53,393$19,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,902.07 | 327 | 44%144 W · 183 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Penguins | 60c | 43,282$25,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,312.8 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Penguins | 61c | 40,984$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,983.61 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Penguins | 61c | 25,818$15,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,169.05 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Penguins | 61c | 21,311$13,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,311.48 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Blackhawks | 39c | 20,539$7,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,998.24 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…3246backed Blackhawks | 37c | 19,807$7,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,328.59 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Penguins | 60c | 14,604$8,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,841.51 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Penguins | 61c | 13,850$8,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,380.92 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Penguins | 61c | 12,885$7,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,025.18 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Penguins | 61c | 11,735$7,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,576.46 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Penguins | 61c | 11,071$6,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,276.82 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Blackhawks | 0c | 11,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba81…dc35backed Penguins | 61c | 10,577$6,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,124.87 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +6.4wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Penguins | 63c | 9,887$6,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,658.16 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Penguins | 61c | 9,432$5,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,678.44 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Penguins | 61c | 9,265$5,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,613.35 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Blackhawks | 39c | 9,000$3,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,510 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Blackhawks | 23c | 7,278$1,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,698.44 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Penguins | 61c | 6,622$4,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,572.33 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Blackhawks | 37c | 6,500$2,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,405 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Penguins | 61c | 6,500$3,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,535 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Blackhawks | 38c | 6,083$2,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,285.94 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Blackhawks | 39c | 5,000$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950 | 254 | 46.5%118 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Penguins | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf69…9076backed Blackhawks | 39c | 5,000$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,949.99 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6337…62c5backed Penguins | 60c | 5,000$3,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,974.99 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Penguins | 61c | 4,918$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,918.03 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Blackhawks | 39c | 4,805$1,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,873.94 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf35f…64c5backed Penguins | 61c | 4,685$2,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,827.07 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Blackhawks | 39c | 4,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559.98 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Penguins | 61c | 3,893$2,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,531.07 | 228 | 52.6%120 W · 108 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Blackhawks | 37c | 3,809$1,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,426.92 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Penguins | 60c | 3,554$2,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,421.6 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Penguins | 61c | 3,238$1,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,255.06 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29ae…4d2cbacked Penguins | 79c | 3,173$2,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.11 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Blackhawks | 0c | 3,133$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Penguins | 61c | 3,000$1,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,165 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b7…3c8bbacked Penguins | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Penguins | 61c | 2,808$1,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095.01 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc932…e6a5backed Penguins | 63c | 2,718$1,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.92 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 64cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Penguins | 60c | 2,666$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.4 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…d171backed Blackhawks | 38c | 2,657$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.22 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | -8.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Penguins | 60c | 2,507$1,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.7 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Blackhawks | 39c | 2,500$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Penguins | 61c | 2,500$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Blackhawks | 1c | 2,489$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 145 | 8.3%12 W · 133 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +135.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d98…4d2dbacked Penguins | 62c | 2,457$1,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.61 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +4.8wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Blackhawks | 37c | 2,432$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Penguins | 60c | 2,405$1,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.88 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Penguins | 61c | 2,400$1,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Blackhawks | 39c | 2,239$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.21 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Penguins | 71c | 2,207$1,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.83 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Penguins | 61c | 2,192$1,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.92 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Penguins | 61c | 2,000$1,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Penguins | 61c | 1,967$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.21 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x293f…3e52backed Blackhawks | 39c | 1,920$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.8 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Penguins | 63c | 1,827$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.24 | 480 | 50.6%243 W · 237 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ff…d0d0backed Blackhawks | 39c | 1,795$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Blackhawks | 31c | 1,755$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.18 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Penguins | 63c | 1,704$1,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.81 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Penguins | 57c | 1,684$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.76 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…b84fbacked Penguins | 61c | 1,666$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.64 | 182 | 58.2%106 W · 76 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Penguins | 61c | 1,605$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.76 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1622…19bcbacked Blackhawks | 41c | 1,596$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Penguins | 61c | 1,520$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.8 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Penguins | 60c | 1,492$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.73 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03d9…e693backed Blackhawks | 1c | 1,406$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 55 | 7.3%4 W · 51 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 3cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Penguins | 61c | 1,393$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.44 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Penguins | 61c | 1,320$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.8 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad15…ee7fbacked Blackhawks | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Blackhawks | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9764…c40cbacked Blackhawks | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Penguins | 60c | 1,250$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae7a…5657backed Penguins | 63c | 1,195$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.15 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -6.5wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Blackhawks | 38c | 1,159$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.45 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Penguins | 61c | 1,157$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d8…480bbacked Blackhawks | 39c | 1,125$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.77 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Penguins | 61c | 1,124$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.36 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Penguins | 61c | 1,016$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.39 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2f…936abacked Penguins | 61c | 1,016$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.14 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Blackhawks | 37c | 1,006$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.29 | 141 | 40.4%57 W · 84 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Penguins | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 170 | 57.1%97 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Penguins | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…f205backed Blackhawks | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 242 | 0.8%2 W · 240 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Penguins | 62c | 800$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304 | 384 | 45.8%176 W · 208 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Blackhawks | 41c | 750$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -7.8wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f8…652dbacked Blackhawks | 38c | 744.74$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c1…e2dcbacked Blackhawks | 40c | 700$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0944…6771backed Blackhawks | 39c | 700$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Penguins | 61c | 695.08$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.08 | 317 | 53.9%171 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Penguins | 61c | 655.74$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.74 | 417 | 57.3%239 W · 178 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Blackhawks | 35c | 651.5$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.88 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blackhawks vs. Penguinsthis page
- Blackhawks vs. Penguins: O/U 5.5Over won
- Blackhawks vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Penguins (-1.5)Penguins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.