Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: FF (-1.5) vs G2 NORD (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d2750d9ae6351f8c1e32d55cec24c1074cc6670d54f7b01de424df737949f5c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- French Flairof French Flair, G2 NORD
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,561
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,561 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4c67…9896backed French Flair | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 509 | 45.8%233 W · 276 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed G2 NORD | 56c | 1,486$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.38 | 1,635 | 40.2%657 W · 978 L | +48.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked French Flair | 43c | 625.68$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.09 | 144 | 29.2%42 W · 102 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked G2 NORD | 58c | 556.76$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.92 | 1,611 | 48.4%780 W · 831 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7af0…509dbacked French Flair | 42c | 554.76$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.76 | 256 | 68.4%175 W · 81 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x882f…5967backed G2 NORD | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked French Flair | 43c | 390.93$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.05 | 1,502 | 50.3%756 W · 746 L | +71.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked G2 NORD | 72c | 342.4$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.53 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 59cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed French Flair | 28c | 342.4$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.53 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked G2 NORD | 57c | 298.25$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 271 | 42.4%115 W · 156 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4afb…ed2bbacked G2 NORD | 57c | 292.83$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.91 | 115 | 35.7%41 W · 74 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…8e43backed G2 NORD | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked G2 NORD | 57c | 80$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed G2 NORD | 56c | 49.96$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.98 | 539 | 54.7%295 W · 244 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…8c1bbacked G2 NORD | 57c | 39.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e8…ef2bbacked G2 NORD | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 655 | 56.2%368 W · 287 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed G2 NORD | 67c | 25.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 2,521 | 47.3%1,193 W · 1,328 L | -34.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f76…e24cbacked G2 NORD | 59c | 18.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfe…5b91backed G2 NORD | 57c | 18.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: FF (-1.5) vs G2 NORD (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: French Flair vs G2 NORD (BO3) - EMEA Masters PlayoffsFrench Flair won
- LoL: French Flair vs G2 NORD - Game 1 WinnerFrench Flair won
- LoL: French Flair vs G2 NORD - Game 2 WinnerFrench Flair won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.