TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: G2N (-1.5) vs Verdant (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Verdantof G2 NORD, Verdant
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$41,379

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,379 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1341…0853backed Verdant36c10,000$3,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,399.981,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe61e…f5f7backed G2 NORD64c8,697$5,566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,565.98333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-53.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Verdant37c6,896$2,568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,327.521,22448.3%591 W · 633 L+26.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebc7…4003backed G2 NORD62c4,845$3,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000.5128361.5%174 W · 109 L+18.0wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb9b4…75a0backed G2 NORD63c4,511$2,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,849.779245.7%42 W · 50 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Verdant38c4,000$1,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,479.999853.1%52 W · 46 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Verdant37c4,000$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,519.9849940.7%203 W · 296 L+18.1wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d9f…787abacked G2 NORD63c3,200$2,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,01661045.2%276 W · 334 L+35.4wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+16%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed Verdant37c2,500$925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,574.9548440.5%196 W · 288 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f12…3e35backed G2 NORD62c2,238$1,387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,386.8337641.8%157 W · 219 L-18.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked G2 NORD62c1,503$938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$938.4934250.6%173 W · 169 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Verdant37c1,364$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$855.611,79451.1%917 W · 877 L+50.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Verdant37c1,300$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.99933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1064…f153backed Verdant38c1,000$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62049549.1%243 W · 252 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Verdant36c977.76$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.7652848.9%258 W · 270 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30d9…41c7backed G2 NORD63c929.83$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.792360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+16.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bdd…1b11backed G2 NORD64c781.25$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.316935.5%60 W · 109 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked G2 NORD61c777$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.971,60948.4%779 W · 830 L+24.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Verdant39c771.74$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.7619648%94 W · 102 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea0c…434bbacked G2 NORD63c713.98$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Verdant38c700$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43421150.7%107 W · 104 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Verdant39c694.38$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.8513137.4%49 W · 82 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed G2 NORD64c660.73$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.9310356.3%58 W · 45 L+0.3wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd63…a39abacked Verdant38c500$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31022545.8%103 W · 122 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e7c…164dbacked G2 NORD61c462.45$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.9344743.6%195 W · 252 L+1.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbcd7…eac9backed Verdant40c399.98$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.99771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick46cpaid+48.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x15a2…3715backed G2 NORD62c395$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.071747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-23.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Verdant34c362.43$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.832,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x058e…a2acbacked G2 NORD60c332.14$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-30.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x47c6…2fe4backed G2 NORD62c322.58$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20056650%283 W · 283 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x37f8…b5e5backed G2 NORD63c317.68$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.6254944.4%244 W · 305 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd4…a579backed G2 NORD63c317.46$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ba1…8eeebacked G2 NORD63c317.46$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed G2 NORD64c313.46$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.0141749.2%205 W · 212 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x87f0…361dbacked G2 NORD68c300$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2041136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-37.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3de6…405cbacked G2 NORD64c295.31$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18911245.5%51 W · 61 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa2f0…3206backed G2 NORD61c288.52$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.1112647.6%60 W · 66 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fdd…2fb9backed G2 NORD64c285.45$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.69250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccec…1dfcbacked G2 NORD64c281.25$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1805937.3%22 W · 37 L-5.5wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-16.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked G2 NORD62c275.89$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17059248.3%286 W · 306 L+15.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa979…abc6backed G2 NORD61c261.66$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.15450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdad…9eaebacked G2 NORD60c250.14$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.5812333.3%41 W · 82 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ca0…38babacked G2 NORD62c242.06$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501,44343.4%626 W · 817 L+105.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+20.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x872f…af53backed G2 NORD63c238.1$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-30.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x12bd…8f48backed G2 NORD63c238$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.944531.1%14 W · 31 L-6.9wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-38.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4467…a40bbacked G2 NORD64c234.38$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x893a…37debacked G2 NORD63c209.25$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa446…d9c6backed G2 NORD63c208.97$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.651540%6 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x939f…7eabbacked Verdant47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1064742.6%20 W · 27 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38d0…5ea8backed G2 NORD53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10616048.1%77 W · 83 L+14.6wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+18.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Verdant39c197.84$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.8332941%135 W · 194 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Verdant38c187.18$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.3123348.1%112 W · 121 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Verdant39c184$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.6513357.1%76 W · 57 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeac9…4092backed G2 NORD63c166.79$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1053857.9%22 W · 16 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3244…39b3backed G2 NORD63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60b0…d341backed G2 NORD63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+28.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x25d4…3e1fbacked G2 NORD63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+40.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0603…2274backed Verdant37c147$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.61366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+49.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa19…40cebacked Verdant39c145$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5583…1fbbbacked G2 NORD60c139$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.42334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-31.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x437b…0ba4backed Verdant46c137.34$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.7915255.3%84 W · 68 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1de6…7b51backed G2 NORD63c102.12$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.272254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Verdant40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.228559.6%170 W · 115 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Verdant36c89.87$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.5234945.6%159 W · 190 L-0.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f4e…b690backed G2 NORD54c89.81$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.582554.8%452 W · 373 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b95…b23ebacked G2 NORD62c80.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,02445%461 W · 563 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x622b…5a4abacked G2 NORD63c79.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503237.5%12 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x495d…05e2backed G2 NORD63c79.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.28per pick65cpaid-43.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd507…a6ddbacked G2 NORD55c73.45$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.430035%105 W · 195 L-21.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-19.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Verdant37c72.06$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.051,83117.1%313 W · 1,518 L-236.0wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-46%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x7e0b…d6c6backed Verdant40c63.84$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.312055%11 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Verdant38c63.38$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.51,60617.5%281 W · 1,325 L-245.0wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x0d1a…39a6backed G2 NORD64c62.5$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+41.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3fde…9ab1backed G2 NORD64c62.5$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc95…c60fbacked G2 NORD63c60.16$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.91050%5 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+277.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9203…8c7ebacked G2 NORD63c57$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e4a…7045backed G2 NORD57c52.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.092740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5976…d78ebacked G2 NORD62c52$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1930%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfa3d…07c1backed G2 NORD64c52$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c06…bbeebacked Verdant35c50$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.52231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-32.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d12…cc43backed Verdant41c49.11$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.111435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa143…586cbacked G2 NORD62c48.39$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3026937.5%101 W · 168 L+16.0wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+11.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5349…a09dbacked G2 NORD63c48.28$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3813161.1%80 W · 51 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x32ef…77e7backed G2 NORD62c48.16$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64c5…a9e4backed G2 NORD63c47.29$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd145…8bccbacked G2 NORD63c43$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6bb…288cbacked G2 NORD63c42.61$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed G2 NORD62c42.56$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.3924235.5%86 W · 156 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff7f…bb30backed Verdant35c40.85$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.55560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+50.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbed4…f891backed G2 NORD63c39.68$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2551247.3%242 W · 270 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9d3…a865backed G2 NORD64c38$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb223…3772backed Verdant43c35.91$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.5139445.2%178 W · 216 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbeaa…e2d0backed Verdant45c35.56$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.5612752.8%67 W · 60 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe964…6519backed Verdant37c32.43$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.432857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc5a3…0a97backed G2 NORD63c32.15$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.161650%8 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed G2 NORD63c31.83$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2059647.7%284 W · 312 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb052…7adabacked G2 NORD63c31.7$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202437.5%9 W · 15 L-3.5wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfa9f…7e5dbacked G2 NORD64c31.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020463.2%129 W · 75 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4167…f99abacked G2 NORD58c26.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.371020%2 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-59.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x30c5…8511backed G2 NORD63c23.24$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.641353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.