TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Sharks vs. Blues

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bluesof Sharks, Blues
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$609,755
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$628,740

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $609,755 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 477 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5bec…b215backed Sharks45c177,847$80,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80,241.8216442.7%70 W · 94 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Blues54c78,740$42,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,220.4248549.7%241 W · 244 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Sharks46c76,582$35,228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,227.9424349.8%121 W · 122 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Blues54c50,000$27,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,00022443.8%98 W · 126 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Sharks45c47,364$21,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,313.6267051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Blues55c47,198$25,767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,431.1461950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Sharks46c43,994$20,237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,237.448545.4%220 W · 265 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebbb…4214backed Sharks40c43,822$17,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,55512835.9%46 W · 82 L-7.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1925…4654backed Sharks46c42,578$19,586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,585.9111644.8%52 W · 64 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Blues54c34,593$18,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,912.5951550.7%261 W · 254 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Blues54c31,567$17,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,420.8212047.5%57 W · 63 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Blues55c24,020$13,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,706.5327448.9%134 W · 140 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Blues72c19,799$14,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,616.471,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Blues54c13,000$7,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,98016656.6%94 W · 72 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Blues54c12,839$6,934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,904.9645751.6%236 W · 221 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Blues56c12,730$7,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,545.661,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked Blues56c10,000$5,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,4003351.5%17 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Blues54c9,441$5,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,314.332,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Blues55c9,000$4,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,049.991,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a75…4347backed Blues48c8,932$4,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,635.932657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb68…a240backed Blues56c8,000$4,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,519.9650049.6%248 W · 252 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Blues54c7,511$4,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,438.3860337.5%226 W · 377 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Sharks47c7,390$3,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,483.1795049.1%466 W · 484 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Blues60c7,016$4,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,779.1789636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Blues54c7,000$3,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,22061748.5%299 W · 318 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Blues57c6,573$3,719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,853.911,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Blues55c6,311$3,471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,839.9185250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Blues54c5,556$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,555.7652050%260 W · 260 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Blues54c5,325$2,876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,449.518641.9%78 W · 108 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a22…c593backed Blues56c5,016$2,809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,207.14666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+21.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Blues50c4,833$2,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,395.632,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Blues54c4,825$2,605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,219.461,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bd3…41f8backed Sharks52c4,597$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4003240.6%13 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed Blues54c4,250$2,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9551850%9 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Blues55c4,200$2,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,87243548.5%211 W · 224 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Blues47c4,145$1,948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,196.621,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Blues56c4,000$2,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,76027850.4%140 W · 138 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Blues56c4,000$2,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,76060249.5%298 W · 304 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Blues55c4,000$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,80020450%102 W · 102 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Blues56c4,000$2,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,759.9530552.5%160 W · 145 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Blues54c3,501$1,891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,610.31,09250.4%550 W · 542 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x528f…2101backed Sharks52c3,458$1,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,810.117353.8%93 W · 80 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Sharks46c3,000$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,38027243.4%118 W · 154 L-16.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Blues54c3,000$1,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3801,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Blues54c3,000$1,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,38022747.6%108 W · 119 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Blues55c2,788$1,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,247.3326750.2%134 W · 133 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Sharks46c2,457$1,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,130.1933450.9%170 W · 164 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Sharks43c2,400$1,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,03283652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Blues57c2,339$1,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,005.8186649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Sharks44c2,180$965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$964.713,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Blues53c2,134$1,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$996.212,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5919…95acbacked Sharks44c2,097$926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$926.212152.1%63 W · 58 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Sharks25c2,003$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50043743%188 W · 249 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Sharks46c2,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9201,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56c2…17bfbacked Blues54c2,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.9925447.2%120 W · 134 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Blues54c1,944$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$894.2483149.5%411 W · 420 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Blues54c1,914$1,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$880.6341354.5%225 W · 188 L+17.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Blues54c1,884$1,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86345955.1%253 W · 206 L+1.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Blues54c1,867$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$858.8159450.8%302 W · 292 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Blues55c1,820$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81944551.2%228 W · 217 L+16.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Sharks44c1,787$786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$786.4833950.1%170 W · 169 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Sharks52c1,604$827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$827.2975251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Blues51c1,533$787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$746.831,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed Sharks44c1,510$664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664.414954.4%81 W · 68 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x765c…0779backed Blues55c1,400$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63240049.3%197 W · 203 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Blues68c1,307$885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.5352172.6%378 W · 143 L+36.7wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8c8c…c7b4backed Sharks46c1,304$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6002857.1%16 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Blues54c1,288$696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.4712355.3%68 W · 55 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd34c…b282backed Sharks25c1,218$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Blues58c1,193$687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.6437754.4%205 W · 172 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa52f…8897backed Blues51c1,177$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.92839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Blues55c1,146$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.3986549.1%425 W · 440 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43c3…4d4abacked Blues57c1,123$636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.251258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x069c…3d49backed Sharks39c1,022$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-27%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Blues54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46058352.1%304 W · 279 L+1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Blues54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46012947.3%61 W · 68 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a2c…dfe7backed Blues56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4401353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Blues54c999.96$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.6776950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc070…203abacked Blues55c909.09$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.0915252%79 W · 73 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe622…ea5ebacked Sharks46c900$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41422352.9%118 W · 105 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Sharks48c865.62$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.1457157.8%330 W · 241 L+12.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb4e…c3c3backed Sharks53c856.49$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45021534.4%74 W · 141 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66a7…3845backed Sharks44c849.39$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.73944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Blues58c822.82$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.051,14051.5%587 W · 553 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Blues56c800$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35245749.2%225 W · 232 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked Blues77c749.84$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.462548%12 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Blues55c725$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.2538445.8%176 W · 208 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e09…1088backed Sharks50c695$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.51442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Blues54c689.11$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.9932648.2%157 W · 169 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa535…9e5ebacked Blues55c590.91$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.915957.6%34 W · 25 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Sharks44c582$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.9586852.4%455 W · 413 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf89f…32b0backed Blues55c581.82$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.821154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x607d…53a1backed Blues56c550.89$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.3913446.3%62 W · 72 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Blues60c549.98$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.411,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Sharks46c549$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.5431848.7%155 W · 163 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa917…4e8dbacked Blues55c545.45$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.453135.5%11 W · 20 L-5.3wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-35.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6aaa…ddfdbacked Blues71c527$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.786657.6%38 W · 28 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Blues57c524.58$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.575757.9%33 W · 24 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa43d…00f4backed Blues55c523.64$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.6410543.8%46 W · 59 L-6.7wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Blues56c510$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.59659.4%57 W · 39 L+7.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.