NHL · resolved market
Spread: Blues (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b9bc72d150f847f23d0816e5edf98043d51de40ec9ea25b1f647aa5e371b4e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sharksof Blues, Sharks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,263
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,886
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,263 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Sharks | 67c | 2,474$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.37 | 243 | 49.8%121 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Blues | 33c | 1,366$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.75 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7963…78a1backed Blues | 33c | 454.55$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x745d…bcf3backed Blues | 35c | 406.67$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Blues | 32c | 334.91$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.75 | 125 | 36%45 W · 80 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Blues | 34c | 326.47$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 249 | 52.2%130 W · 119 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Blues | 33c | 307.26$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 210 | 36.2%76 W · 134 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Blues | 23c | 241.3$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.74 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc596…2a8bbacked Sharks | 65c | 229.58$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Sharks | 66c | 225.82$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.74 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Blues | 35c | 202$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.7 | 317 | 53.3%169 W · 148 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5808…3e81backed Sharks | 65c | 177.09$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Blues | 33c | 176.64$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.29 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Blues | 23c | 150$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Sharks | 67c | 119.4$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.4 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Sharks | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Blues | 33c | 86.12$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Sharks | 67c | 76.12$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.12 | 542 | 60.3%327 W · 215 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Blues | 33c | 72.95$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0674…d6c1backed Blues | 35c | 69.97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Blues | 34c | 67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.78 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Blues | 31c | 55.78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Sharks | 68c | 51.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 401 | 62.1%249 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Blues | 32c | 49.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Blues | 33c | 45.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 212 | 53.3%113 W · 99 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Blues | 34c | 43.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 381 | 47.2%180 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…f50dbacked Sharks | 64c | 40.07$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.27 | 266 | 57.9%154 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Sharks | 65c | 34.04$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.91 | 456 | 51.5%235 W · 221 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcff1…f8debacked Blues | 33c | 33.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -6.4wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb81e…8ab9backed Sharks | 66c | 33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 230 | 63%145 W · 85 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Sharks | 68c | 31.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 303 | 48.8%148 W · 155 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Blues | 32c | 31.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 244 | 42.6%104 W · 140 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Sharks | 68c | 30.88$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81da…421bbacked Blues | 36c | 29.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50f6…b8c6backed Sharks | 67c | 29.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.96 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50fd…ee77backed Sharks | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 227 | 63.4%144 W · 83 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc68d…1ad1backed Sharks | 68c | 27.31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.83 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Sharks | 67c | 23.88$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 336 | 60.7%204 W · 132 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07c9…9f5bbacked Sharks | 67c | 20.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 365 | 61.9%226 W · 139 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Blues (-1.5)this page
- Sharks vs. BluesBlues won
- Sharks vs. Blues: O/U 4.5Under won
- Sharks vs. Blues: O/U 5.5Under won
- Sharks vs. Blues: O/U 6.5Under won
- Sharks vs. Blues: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.