NHL · resolved market
Sharks vs. Blues: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe3d7f2d7d2a9204bd0a155bb594a68b8fbdcb0ad2d0d8c332d3e03754cff7a49
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,357
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,428
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,357 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 54c | 6,483$3,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,982.2 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 46c | 5,777$2,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,657.42 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5318…1118backed Under | 58c | 2,333$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.84 | 43 | 72.1%31 W · 12 L | +7.7wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 44c | 2,199$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.09 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 42c | 1,122$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.06 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 45c | 1,015$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.75 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 42c | 983.61$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.12 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Under | 55c | 723.9$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.9 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 44c | 573.23$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.06 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Over | 43c | 491$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.16 | 339 | 41.3%140 W · 199 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…f15cbacked Over | 46c | 323.89$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.99 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 44c | 312.65$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.57 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8f…5259backed Under | 55c | 258.18$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.18 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…d2e2backed Under | 55c | 258$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.1 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef86…5afcbacked Under | 55c | 258$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.1 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Under | 56c | 253.57$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.57 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Under | 56c | 229$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.76 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 43c | 207.54$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.86 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb996…038cbacked Under | 55c | 207$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.15 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Over | 45c | 201.87$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.98 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5cc…bb40backed Under | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7019…8feebacked Under | 54c | 197$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…aaacbacked Over | 46c | 195.52$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe58e…86a5backed Over | 46c | 194.92$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb474…9638backed Over | 46c | 191.48$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe95b…9842backed Under | 54c | 190$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked Under | 58c | 189.66$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.66 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…4426backed Under | 54c | 179$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55ca…9bcfbacked Over | 46c | 177.75$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a17…bc15backed Over | 46c | 175.08$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.54 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4adf…868dbacked Over | 46c | 174.25$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x631a…77d5backed Under | 54c | 173$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…5478backed Over | 44c | 171$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb22e…d83bbacked Under | 54c | 170$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…e99bbacked Over | 44c | 169$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 44c | 159.09$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 43c | 155.13$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.19 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4129…751fbacked Over | 44c | 142$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7578…adbebacked Over | 44c | 141$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a0…f673backed Under | 55c | 131$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.95 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…ae0ebacked Under | 56c | 116.18$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.18 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf89f…32b0backed Under | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Under | 54c | 92.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 227 | 50.7%115 W · 112 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9917…6d66backed Under | 56c | 82$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Over | 45c | 81.65$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.74 | 135 | 49.6%67 W · 68 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e96…f2debacked Over | 44c | 71.09$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.28 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -5.3wins | -0.23per pick | 36cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xeadc…7575backed Under | 56c | 69$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe725…2b00backed Over | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe07e…271cbacked Under | 56c | 67$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 45c | 65.52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.39 | 456 | 51.5%235 W · 221 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…373ebacked Under | 57c | 62$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Over | 45c | 55.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 132 | 53%70 W · 62 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4a…4ce0backed Under | 55c | 55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Over | 43c | 49.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc47a…68e6backed Under | 55c | 44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…cc43backed Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 46c | 42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Under | 58c | 40.8$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe55d…063cbacked Under | 57c | 38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9c…8d6ebacked Under | 56c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd4c…394abacked Under | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…e4bcbacked Over | 43c | 33.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Over | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf0…e4ddbacked Under | 56c | 32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2a…d894backed Under | 56c | 31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.69 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +92.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Under | 56c | 30.05$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 152 | 48%73 W · 79 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…da99backed Over | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x787a…9199backed Under | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x499e…ed57backed Under | 56c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e45…e6d9backed Under | 56c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44e4…f624backed Under | 57c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 279 | 57.7%161 W · 118 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x073a…5bfcbacked Under | 56c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Under | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 189 | 49.2%93 W · 96 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59e3…43e4backed Under | 56c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x829a…f244backed Under | 56c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sharks vs. Blues: O/U 6.5this page
- Sharks vs. BluesBlues won
- Sharks vs. Blues: O/U 4.5Under won
- Sharks vs. Blues: O/U 5.5Under won
- Sharks vs. Blues: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Blues (-1.5)Sharks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.