Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: GAL (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI Fénix (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x080eea39e219209363f224ced382b8859978064bb916a34fe1606591021dd46d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Galionsof Galions, Movistar KOI Fénix
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,504
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,504 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Galions | 56c | 3,326$1,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,467.23 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.97 | 440 | 47.5%209 W · 231 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 39c | 2,859$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,128.96 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Galions | 60c | 2,391$1,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.26 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9f…787abacked Galions | 53c | 1,587$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.74 | 610 | 45.2%276 W · 334 L | +35.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb8…c665backed Galions | 65c | 1,071$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.31 | 331 | 43.8%145 W · 186 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Galions | 61c | 1,056$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.87 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bf…f357backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 47c | 853$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.79 | 113 | 40.7%46 W · 67 L | -12.4wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…3760backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 45c | 832.67$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.7 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Movistar KOI Fénix | 41c | 807.45$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.06 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Galions | 68c | 742.7$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.73 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Movistar KOI Fénix | 43c | 739.34$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.76 | 196 | 48%94 W · 102 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 32c | 718.22$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.62 | 742 | 50.5%375 W · 367 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Movistar KOI Fénix | 33c | 676.34$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.19 | 780 | 50%390 W · 390 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf592…b62dbacked Galions | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 685 | 57.5%394 W · 291 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Galions | 56c | 476.27$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.52 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb04…8b8abacked Movistar KOI Fénix | 44c | 474.13$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 106 | 16%17 W · 89 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Galions | 57c | 370.18$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.18 | 592 | 48.3%286 W · 306 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe450…a40abacked Galions | 55c | 366.89$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.1 | 122 | 63.1%77 W · 45 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x939f…7eabbacked Galions | 56c | 357.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.54 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 329 | 41%135 W · 194 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Galions | 57c | 207.02$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.02 | 242 | 35.5%86 W · 156 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 40c | 202.48$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.99 | 340 | 50%170 W · 170 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc006…3c94backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 44c | 202.27$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Movistar KOI Fénix | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 123 | 33.3%41 W · 82 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Galions | 55c | 150$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.1 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c06…bbeebacked Movistar KOI Fénix | 41c | 149.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.49 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed Galions | 56c | 133.91$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.79 | 549 | 44.4%244 W · 305 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Movistar KOI Fénix | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 326 | 50.3%164 W · 162 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked Movistar KOI Fénix | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,024 | 45%461 W · 563 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe092…d209backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd711…749cbacked Galions | 57c | 65.34$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.17 | 260 | 49.2%128 W · 132 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Movistar KOI Fénix | 46c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 166 | 54.2%90 W · 76 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x863f…7b79backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 42c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 576 | 55.9%322 W · 254 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Galions | 59c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe52e…ac6dbacked Movistar KOI Fénix | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 45c | 49.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 539 | 54.7%295 W · 244 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 43c | 46.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.23 | 441 | 28.1%124 W · 317 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Galions | 59c | 40.62$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 285 | 59.6%170 W · 115 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Galions | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…94e0backed Galions | 57c | 29.82$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe88a…1c9ebacked Movistar KOI Fénix | 45c | 25.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x987b…f2d3backed Galions | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 38cpaid | +87.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a3…0a97backed Galions | 56c | 25.54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.24 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3a…aaa2backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 47c | 25.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 118 | 47.5%56 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3021…5a50backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c77…6747backed Galions | 61c | 21.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -7.9wins | -0.25per pick | 48cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Galions | 71c | 19.02$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: GAL (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI Fénix (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Movistar KOI Fénix vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters PlayoffsGalions won
- LoL: Movistar KOI Fénix vs Galions - Game 1 WinnerGalions won
- LoL: Movistar KOI Fénix vs Galions - Game 2 WinnerGalions won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.