Lol · resolved market
LoL: Movistar KOI Fénix vs Galions - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f59a13f023b2e4a42bf20b6d2bf468a90927cbc3709a095df48f4e93afdbb5f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Galionsof Movistar KOI Fénix, Galions
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,375
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,375 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4c67…9896backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 18c | 2,000$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.25 | 506 | 46%233 W · 273 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Galions | 76c | 1,242$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.6 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 440 | 47.5%209 W · 231 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…4605backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 25c | 548$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 260 | 42.3%110 W · 150 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,806 | 39.1%707 W · 1,099 L | -30.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490b…eec9backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 24c | 325.65$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 91 | 31.9%29 W · 62 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf859…a183backed Galions | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 1,213 | 52.3%635 W · 578 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Galions | 75c | 269.64$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.22 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…526dbacked Galions | 80c | 250.81$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.81 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbafa…02e0backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 25c | 241.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 801 | 50.7%406 W · 395 L | +48.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 19c | 208.87$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 24c | 179.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 11c | 177$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 19c | 107$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 226 | 17.7%40 W · 186 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed Galions | 77c | 104.79$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.79 | 1,241 | 52.7%654 W · 587 L | +5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Movistar KOI Fénix | 24c | 90$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Galions | 76c | 88.94$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.44 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 23c | 77.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.41 | 441 | 28.1%124 W · 317 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…527ebacked Galions | 79c | 63.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.67 | 625 | 58.7%367 W · 258 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Galions | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 993 | 38.6%383 W · 610 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 26c | 49.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 539 | 54.7%295 W · 244 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Galions | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 1,643 | 44.4%730 W · 913 L | -42.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…e183backed Galions | 76c | 39.44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.44 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa9f…7e5dbacked Galions | 73c | 34.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 204 | 63.2%129 W · 75 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Galions | 77c | 22.91$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.34 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Galions | 75c | 15.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 1,310 | 37.3%489 W · 821 L | -86.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07af…a585backed Galions | 76c | 15.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.62 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed4…f891backed Galions | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 512 | 47.3%242 W · 270 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Movistar KOI Fénix vs Galions - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: GAL (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI Fénix (+1.5)Galions won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Movistar KOI Fénix vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters PlayoffsGalions won
- LoL: Movistar KOI Fénix vs Galions - Game 2 WinnerGalions won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.