Lol · resolved market
LoL: Movistar KOI Fénix vs Galions - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb0afa8cfcf8eb405cd0e3abf8868a10120478aece8d3d94bc35be5644a2e422b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Galionsof Movistar KOI Fénix, Galions
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,723
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,723 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Movistar KOI Fénix | 18c | 2,703$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.57 | 2,820 | 41.4%1,167 W · 1,653 L | -14.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Galions | 79c | 2,600$2,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546 | 273 | 53.1%145 W · 128 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebcd…5c0bbacked Galions | 79c | 1,750$1,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.5 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x490b…eec9backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 21c | 1,666$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357 | 91 | 31.9%29 W · 62 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58f8…dc70backed Galions | 80c | 1,595$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.16 | 397 | 70.3%279 W · 118 L | +30.9wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Galions | 79c | 1,300$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273 | 1,435 | 57.4%824 W · 611 L | +36.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 18c | 1,250$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.34 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 18c | 1,200$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.73 | 2,903 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,784 L | -117.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 26c | 1,132$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 436 | 42.4%185 W · 251 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c67…9896backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 23c | 1,000$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.53 | 506 | 46%233 W · 273 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Movistar KOI Fénix | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fef…8c79backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 21c | 967.73$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 262 | 46.9%123 W · 139 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Galions | 79c | 967.73$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 392 | 46.4%182 W · 210 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 26c | 740.55$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.79 | 180 | 41.7%75 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 7c | 700$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1,806 | 39.1%707 W · 1,099 L | -30.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 23c | 678.82$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.65 | 2,222 | 37.4%832 W · 1,390 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Galions | 79c | 665.36$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.04 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe74b…ee88backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 21c | 650.71$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.14 | 862 | 51.3%442 W · 420 L | +51.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Galions | 80c | 646.06$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.88 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…f681backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 23c | 600$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 370 | 39.5%146 W · 224 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 20c | 599.94$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.99 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 12c | 405$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 3,119 | 33.7%1,052 W · 2,067 L | -151.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked Movistar KOI Fénix | 14c | 400$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 563 | 41%231 W · 332 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Galions | 79c | 388.66$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.43 | 1,592 | 34%541 W · 1,051 L | -79.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 21c | 384.43$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.85 | 742 | 50.5%375 W · 367 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Movistar KOI Fénix | 17c | 317.16$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.8 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf859…a183backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,213 | 52.3%635 W · 578 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe52e…ac6dbacked Movistar KOI Fénix | 21c | 285.71$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 21c | 285.39$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.34 | 199 | 48.2%96 W · 103 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…526dbacked Movistar KOI Fénix | 21c | 233.33$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a09…daf2backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 23c | 224$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.04 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37a4…8260backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 23c | 217.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Movistar KOI Fénix | 19c | 211.58$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.8 | 599 | 52.8%316 W · 283 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked Movistar KOI Fénix | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7771…009fbacked Galions | 74c | 199.98$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.99 | 1,007 | 48.2%485 W · 522 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e21dbacked Movistar KOI Fénix | 16c | 121.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 991 | 47.1%467 W · 524 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 226 | 17.7%40 W · 186 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 19c | 77.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 744 | 49.7%370 W · 374 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 21c | 73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Movistar KOI Fénix | 21c | 73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 373 | 45%168 W · 205 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Movistar KOI Fénix | 21c | 63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 305 | 45.2%138 W · 167 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 21c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 21c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc161…bd88backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 738 | 51.5%380 W · 358 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 26c | 49.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 539 | 54.7%295 W · 244 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb98a…0550backed Galions | 80c | 45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…e183backed Galions | 77c | 39.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99c3…a377backed Galions | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Movistar KOI Fénix vs Galions - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: GAL (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI Fénix (+1.5)Galions won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Movistar KOI Fénix vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters PlayoffsGalions won
- LoL: Movistar KOI Fénix vs Galions - Game 1 WinnerGalions won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.