TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe88a…1c9e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
43
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 52 out of 100; worst NHL at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.93
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$16.93
Hawks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Nuggets vs. Suns: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+100%+$15.87
Magic vs. Cavaliers: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$16.18
Magic vs. Cavaliers: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$11.09
Spread: Knicks (-9.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Spread: Knicks (-8.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.71
Kings vs. Hornets: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+86.5%+$13.16
Pelicans vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 118.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.68
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Open: Martin Landaluce vs Jiri Leheckabacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Miami Open: Elena Rybakina vs Jessica Pegulabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$5
Naples: Sumit Nagal vs Federico Bondiolibacked Sumit Nagal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.77
Bucaramanga: Franco Roncadelli vs Samuel Herediabacked Samuel Heredia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.13
Split: Oleksii Krutykh vs Kimmer Coppejansbacked Oleksii Krutykh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.87
Miami Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Taylor Fritzbacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$30.96
Split: Daniel Rincon vs Maxim Mrvabacked Daniel Rincon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.15
Naples: Andrea Guerrieri vs Stefano Travagliabacked Andrea Guerrieri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$47.84
Set Handicap: Korda (-1.5) vs Landaluce (+1.5)backed Korda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.55
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-2.3wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rangers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Blues (-1.5)backed Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Wild vs. Lightningbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.43
All 4 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+22.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa State Cyclones: O/U 138.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.39
Spread: New Mexico Lobos (-10.5)backed New Mexico Lobos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$13.93
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks vs. Youngstown State Penguins (W)backed Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.53
All 3 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: GAL (-1.5) vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix (+1.5)backed ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.68
Game Handicap: ME (-1.5) vs French Flair (+1.5)backed French Flair · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$3.53
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Yakult Brothers - Game 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$4.44
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.76
All 2 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX list on the NASDAQ?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CD Riestra win on 2026-03-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas Rangers vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Israel Adesanya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.