TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Knicks (-8.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pelicansof Knicks, Pelicans
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$753,235

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $753,235 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 301 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8f03…64d6backed Pelicans50c262,062$131,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130,916.761,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Pelicans51c83,536$42,527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,009.0443148.7%210 W · 221 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Knicks49c74,015$36,303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,302.681,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Knicks50c61,251$30,628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,627.694,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24ba…d462backed Knicks0c51,430$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.432133.3%7 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-26.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Knicks50c24,000$12,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,00028649.7%142 W · 144 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0936…6c02backed Knicks50c22,972$11,486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,4865341.5%22 W · 31 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Knicks50c21,474$10,737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,736.922,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Knicks50c17,031$8,516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,515.617550.9%89 W · 86 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33c1…9d3cbacked Knicks50c16,000$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,00020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Knicks50c15,412$7,706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,706.0524744.1%109 W · 138 L-10.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x12af…ff78backed Pelicans51c15,000$7,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,3503447.1%16 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Knicks50c12,000$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,0001,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a91…1769backed Knicks50c10,421$5,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,210.432150.8%163 W · 158 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Pelicans50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,000.0149244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Knicks50c9,392$4,672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,671.614,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c16…bd83backed Pelicans49c9,377$4,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,782.273100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+102.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f6e…84b4backed Knicks50c8,511$4,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,255.55349.1%26 W · 27 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Knicks50c8,486$4,243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,242.8618749.2%92 W · 95 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc7e…5e04backed Pelicans49c8,221$4,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,192.713100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+102.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Knicks49c8,024$3,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,960.352,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0e4…84d3backed Knicks50c8,000$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,000922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.27per pick49cpaid-53%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Knicks50c7,827$3,908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,907.654,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcb4…832bbacked Pelicans49c7,442$3,647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,795.05887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.35per pick52cpaid+69.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdc89…4041backed Knicks51c7,256$3,701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,700.56366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+34.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Knicks49c7,000$3,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,43058449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Knicks51c6,575$3,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,344.4642348%203 W · 220 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd7a…d5f6backed Knicks51c6,293$3,209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,209.43366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+34.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b90…2194backed Pelicans50c6,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,00019747.7%94 W · 103 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43ea…57d4backed Knicks50c5,995$2,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,997.5757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+17.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Pelicans51c5,890$3,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,886.3948845.3%221 W · 267 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x410d…d831backed Pelicans50c5,714$2,857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,85711335.4%40 W · 73 L-8.0wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1096…1f08backed Knicks51c5,582$2,847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,846.82333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked Knicks50c5,363$2,682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,681.6313750.4%69 W · 68 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7daf…2f66backed Knicks50c5,343$2,671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,671.3250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x661f…098abacked Pelicans50c5,119$2,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,559.735655.4%31 W · 25 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed Knicks50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5006147.5%29 W · 32 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc3c9…ee91backed Knicks50c4,486$2,243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,242.8520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x845c…1636backed Knicks50c4,486$2,243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,242.8520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Pelicans50c4,363$2,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,181.51,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Knicks50c4,336$2,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1681,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Knicks49c4,300$2,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,124.257950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Knicks49c4,107$2,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,012.522,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Pelicans50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00014251.4%73 W · 69 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x975b…3760backed Knicks50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0005547.3%26 W · 29 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a80…7d65backed Knicks50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x90dc…dfc1backed Knicks50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pelicans53c3,546$1,872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,673.098,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2745…c89fbacked Pelicans49c3,509$1,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,789.19366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Pelicans50c3,444$1,722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7229,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Knicks49c3,423$1,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,689.843,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xde79…2a1bbacked Knicks50c3,344$1,672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,67217349.7%86 W · 87 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Pelicans50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50069149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Knicks49c2,959$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,449.9487750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36f2…dab4backed Knicks50c2,744$1,372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3727951.9%41 W · 38 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1bf…f357backed Knicks50c2,559$1,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,279.516953.3%90 W · 79 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc866…f301backed Knicks51c2,284$1,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,164.84333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57b1…4b99backed Knicks50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010847.2%51 W · 57 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbbca…8b0dbacked Knicks50c1,994$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacae…6798backed Knicks49c1,566$767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$767.2711241.1%46 W · 66 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe21e…f216backed Pelicans49c1,428$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728.2512058.3%70 W · 50 L+11.9wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+21.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Pelicans50c1,388$694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69420647.6%98 W · 108 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x25aa…aee2backed Pelicans50c1,266$629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.16366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+36.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x258f…4493backed Pelicans51c1,213$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.13922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.18per pick41cpaid-56%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Pelicans50c1,197$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601.361,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Knicks42c1,172$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.232,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbce5…02f1backed Pelicans47c1,070$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.118651.6%96 W · 90 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Knicks50c1,026$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51329040.3%117 W · 173 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Pelicans51c1,022$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.5750754.2%275 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fb4…90f3backed Knicks50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009245.7%42 W · 50 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa10e…4ea1backed Pelicans50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5003636.1%13 W · 23 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe57f…4d74backed Pelicans50c999$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.52871.4%20 W · 8 L+5.9wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+40.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5f5e…8b01backed Knicks51c973$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.23333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9916…bcb2backed Pelicans50c950$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47518743.3%81 W · 106 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-4.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9712…0c47backed Knicks49c900$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4416934.8%24 W · 45 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-31.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0359…fda7backed Pelicans50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Knicks51c784.31$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40067252.7%354 W · 318 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Knicks50c700$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35049345.2%223 W · 270 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Knicks50c700$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35031354.3%170 W · 143 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Knicks50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30035849.7%178 W · 180 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb87…0335backed Knicks47c576.17$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.9413346.6%62 W · 71 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Pelicans48c576$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.522,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61e0…4b62backed Knicks54c555.56$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30052760%316 W · 211 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Knicks51c501.96$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25647651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a2b…c97cbacked Pelicans50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2507252.8%38 W · 34 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe071…2d1abacked Pelicans51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24548957.5%281 W · 208 L+2.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x06d0…7ee5backed Knicks50c452.48$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.245040%20 W · 30 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-22.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x973b…a912backed Knicks51c441.18$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2255947.5%28 W · 31 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Pelicans51c419.93$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.771,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe548…a51abacked Knicks49c419.93$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.772138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Knicks50c404$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2021,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcea6…67adbacked Knicks50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20028448.2%137 W · 147 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbcd7…eac9backed Pelicans51c400$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1965440.7%22 W · 32 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Knicks50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0556…132abacked Pelicans51c400$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1969346.2%43 W · 50 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x972f…65bdbacked Knicks50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012152.9%64 W · 57 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Knicks50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,38954.9%762 W · 627 L+16.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Knicks50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20041742%175 W · 242 L-16.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-6.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x63b2…fb55backed Knicks50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005959.3%35 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Pelicans50c392.15$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.0876552.9%405 W · 360 L-2.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.