TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pelicans vs. Knicks: O/U 230.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$152,383

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $152,383 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc807…c12bbacked Under54c26,669$14,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,392.1120545.9%94 W · 111 L-12.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over48c15,501$7,371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,130.64,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over46c14,508$6,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,828.6234851.7%180 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over47c14,299$6,761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,538.543,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Under54c12,000$6,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,4801,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a9a…3976backed Under48c8,727$4,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,188.96366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under21c8,170$1,728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,728.34,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5956…9c66backed Over53c7,782$4,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,624.853100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9452…2cf7backed Under48c6,831$3,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,278.88366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a49…7919backed Over52c6,334$3,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,040.323100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x77d8…bcaebacked Under46c5,000$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,30010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9084…5965backed Under48c4,427$2,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,124.96333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bfc…4d60backed Under48c4,401$2,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,112.48333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Under2c4,301$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.4741449.3%204 W · 210 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under3c4,184$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.521,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72f8…a2f7backed Under48c4,070$1,954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,953.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under50c4,016$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000.111,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eb4…90f5backed Over52c3,960$2,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,900.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+32.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x069a…2e30backed Under48c3,845$1,846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,845.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1420…069fbacked Over52c3,845$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,845.81250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under17c3,750$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.082,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6567…4688backed Over52c3,618$1,881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,736.64366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+32.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4d1…a9acbacked Over52c3,343$1,738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,604.64366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+32.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x091c…9ec8backed Over52c2,986$1,553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,433.28366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+32.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Under1c2,505$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.665349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over73c2,451$1,779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.088,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3a5…80bcbacked Over54c2,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9201100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27b0…fc67backed Under17c1,770$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.96341.3%26 W · 37 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e4a…fcd8backed Under1c1,698$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9825049.6%124 W · 126 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdddc…c692backed Over54c1,500$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6901100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc7c…eafabacked Over54c1,500$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6901100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0caf…91adbacked Over67c1,493$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.546764.2%43 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7595…50ffbacked Over54c1,289$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.2211156.8%63 W · 48 L+8.9wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Over66c1,248$823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.5665872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked Over49c1,224$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.4913750.4%69 W · 68 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under54c1,092$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.686,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Under1c1,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13802.5%2 W · 78 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-88.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Under1c1,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13981%1 W · 97 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-49%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4a4…ebccbacked Under1c1,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13119.1%1 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick4cpaid-35.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23ec…759fbacked Under1c999.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13180%0 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under33c870.02$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.872,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under50c776.94$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.242,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under49c660.74$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.769,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Under47c638.3$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30027746.6%129 W · 148 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33e9…39b0backed Over69c600$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1867152.1%37 W · 34 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xea60…e977backed Over53c570$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.99159.3%54 W · 37 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Under53c553.98$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.2758450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over46c551.02$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.53,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over46c500$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2701,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b0b…94d1backed Under3c487.63$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.33823.7%9 W · 29 L-6.1wins-0.16per pick40cpaid-38.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under48c441.6$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.454,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over46c422.76$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.72,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Under48c416.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb628…fd2bbacked Over73c410.96$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.9611873.7%87 W · 31 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x006a…14edbacked Over73c400$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10816159.6%96 W · 65 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d67…a033backed Over78c384.62$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.621741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Over45c362.56$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.4157950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Over45c323.04$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.6747436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x52c0…9ac1backed Over55c294$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.53450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Over65c262.54$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.8365542.9%281 W · 374 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Under15c255.82$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.1628537.9%108 W · 177 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under44c254.5$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.985,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x917e…eed9backed Over46c223.25$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.5521049.5%104 W · 106 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under47c213$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.111,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87fa…12d0backed Under47c212.76$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015357.5%88 W · 65 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Over47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10668645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f79…f7f7backed Over52c199.99$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979442.6%40 W · 54 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under31c197.1$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.933,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over48c194.62$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.732,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x210a…4306backed Under48c190$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.2250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0639…4b84backed Under48c161$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb496…62d9backed Over52c158$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.843100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under54c150.1$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.051,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over75c149$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.252,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd72…be75backed Under47c148$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.941250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Under45c141.98$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.8965939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xffc8…e90cbacked Under47c141$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed Under30c136.4$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.0529848%143 W · 155 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x810d…6080backed Under29c125.92$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5216046.3%74 W · 86 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over54c121.31$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.84,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over46c121$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.3487453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Over49c114.86$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.0223651.3%121 W · 115 L+11.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Under46c112.54$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.771,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Over50c110.69$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.6991746.9%430 W · 487 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed Over53c99.96$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.9853339.6%211 W · 322 L-39.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8d27…676ebacked Over53c96.7$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.5113954%75 W · 64 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa009…a6efbacked Under53c94.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014742.2%62 W · 85 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Over79c92.41$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.821,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x199f…7e77backed Over69c86.96$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.966861.8%42 W · 26 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ca8…d137backed Over54c85.19$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.192951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over52c79.81$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.311,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under46c78.04$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.6478648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e9f…5403backed Over69c77.38$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.994953.1%26 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Over56c77.11$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.8377549.2%381 W · 394 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x061e…81e0backed Over55c73.08$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.0819849%97 W · 101 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7417…cdfebacked Over54c68$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.282100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Over72c63.67$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7552053.3%277 W · 243 L+29.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf1f7…f911backed Over52c63$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.24366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+6.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xef92…f133backed Over68c62.43$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.7912055.8%67 W · 53 L+9.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0209…ad12backed Over52c62$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.76450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.