TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pelicans vs. Knicks: 1H Moneyline

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Knicksof Pelicans, Knicks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,431

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,431 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xff96…027cbacked Pelicans38c913.62$350 inLost-$350.361435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Pelicans27c689.81$187 inLost-$186.651,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Knicks62c421.99$260 inWon+$161.545,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6528…2dcebacked Knicks65c239.52$156 inWon+$83.987766.2%51 W · 26 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5ac…aa06backed Pelicans28c200$56 inLost-$562339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Knicks71c173$123 inWon+$50.1777549.2%381 W · 394 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7447…c413backed Knicks63c157.67$100 inWon+$57.672352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x692e…ee58backed Pelicans16c126.25$20 inLost-$2017428.2%49 W · 125 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Knicks67c84.29$56 inWon+$28.0426353.6%141 W · 122 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9dde…5e80backed Pelicans37c60$22 inLost-$2220%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb8…f7debacked Pelicans20c56.82$11 inLost-$11.286621.2%14 W · 52 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-25.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4248…50febacked Pelicans42c54.99$23 inLost-$23.33132.3%10 W · 21 L-5.1wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-41.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Knicks45c43.96$20 inWon+$24.1888057.5%506 W · 374 L+34.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x13c6…3520backed Knicks74c40.6$30 inWon+$10.56366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Knicks71c25$18 inWon+$7.2533030.9%102 W · 228 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f2f…552cbacked Knicks78c24$19 inWon+$5.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cd9…f506backed Knicks68c21.09$14 inWon+$6.752040%8 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Knicks63c20.85$13 inWon+$7.721,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Knicks71c20$14 inWon+$5.880440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a3a…f788backed Knicks65c20$13 inWon+$7944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Knicks71c20$14 inWon+$5.845544.8%204 W · 251 L+21.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbff7…554fbacked Knicks72c19.93$14 inWon+$5.5316369.9%114 W · 49 L+18.6wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+19.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xfd08…0635backed Knicks72c17$12 inWon+$4.7647359.2%280 W · 193 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xea34…8efcbacked Knicks80c14.7$12 inWon+$2.9716551.5%85 W · 80 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.