NBA · resolved market
Pelicans vs. Knicks: O/U 232.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x733473559309618fcca4b08f2bf5c23efa4884a942c6ea680899dac2c22466c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,336
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,336 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 46c | 4,857$2,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,246.96 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 54c | 4,749$2,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,206.67 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x683f…6473backed Over | 47c | 2,326$1,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232.78 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 57c | 1,925$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.96 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 46c | 1,060$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.54 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 46c | 1,053$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.3 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 56c | 1,013$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.65 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x128f…db9dbacked Over | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 206 | 51.5%106 W · 100 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 47c | 997.59$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.76 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x026c…8d76backed Over | 43c | 763$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.91 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 67c | 698.54$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.53 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 41c | 674.85$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.52 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Under | 27c | 674.17$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.83 | 285 | 37.9%108 W · 177 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Under | 30c | 599.98$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.99 | 358 | 49.7%178 W · 180 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34ca…9de7backed Under | 61c | 569.16$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec1…bfa6backed Over | 59c | 499.98$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.99 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Over | 47c | 424.6$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.78 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 55c | 410.21$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.06 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Under | 45c | 385.85$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.38 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Under | 51c | 274.23$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | -11.2wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5f79…f7f7backed Over | 47c | 199.98$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.99 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 197.77$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 39c | 176.52$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.84 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under | 40c | 175.46$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.17 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 52c | 172.35$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.51 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Under | 61c | 164.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 319 | 54.5%174 W · 145 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Over | 52c | 157.15$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.35 | 414 | 49.3%204 W · 210 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Over | 60c | 153.13$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.68 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c06…bbeebacked Over | 40c | 149.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6276…7f2ebacked Over | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 191 | 66.5%127 W · 64 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c7…4459backed Under | 45c | 111.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 117 | 53.8%63 W · 54 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b9…70aebacked Over | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb941…b56bbacked Under | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…4e0dbacked Over | 53c | 92$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.24 | 342 | 47.7%163 W · 179 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked Under | 54c | 90.74$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e3…2e82backed Under | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…14edbacked Over | 55c | 80$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 161 | 59.6%96 W · 65 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b2…5f92backed Over | 50c | 72.8$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 53c | 71.67$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.69 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…9805backed Over | 46c | 70$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 229 | 42.8%98 W · 131 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 65c | 69.27$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.16 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88ff…78aebacked Under | 33c | 60.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Over | 53c | 58.69$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.74 | 298 | 48%143 W · 155 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 41c | 55.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.03 | 236 | 51.3%121 W · 115 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Under | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 69c | 55$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf2…0f0dbacked Under | 39c | 51.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 43c | 48.9$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 66c | 47.69$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.05 | 620 | 47.3%293 W · 327 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Over | 46c | 46.66$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.14 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x843e…e477backed Under | 33c | 45.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Over | 78c | 39.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 557 | 51.9%289 W · 268 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Over | 78c | 39.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 331 | 59.2%196 W · 135 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7492…6568backed Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 319 | 55.2%176 W · 143 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Under | 43c | 34.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 405 | 48.6%197 W · 208 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Under | 56c | 34.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 57c | 33.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 58c | 32.89$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.73 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x878c…23a2backed Over | 60c | 32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +57%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd0c…282cbacked Under | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e68…75bbbacked Under | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 55 | 69.1%38 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Over | 60c | 23.46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 143 | 59.4%85 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Under | 54c | 22.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 548 | 54.2%297 W · 251 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b6…4587backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6683…f5f4backed Over | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 146 | 49.3%72 W · 74 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x810d…6080backed Over | 53c | 19.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Over | 55c | 18.8$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 572 | 50%286 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79ee…dae9backed Over | 61c | 17.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pelicans vs. Knicks: O/U 232.5this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Knicks won
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-5.5)Knicks won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Josh Hart: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Mitchell Robinson: Points O/U 5.5Yes won
- Mitchell Robinson: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Pelicans vs. KnicksKnicks won
- Pelicans vs. Knicks: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
- Pelicans vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Knicks: O/U 228.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Knicks: O/U 229.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Knicks: O/U 230.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Knicks: O/U 231.5Over won
- Spread: Knicks (-8.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Knicks (-9.5)Pelicans won
- Zion Williamson: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.