TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pelicans vs. Knicks: O/U 231.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$475,772

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $475,772 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 707 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa710…23c4backed Under51c37,111$18,771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,770.6632653.1%173 W · 153 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5688…6680backed Over49c17,763$8,704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,059.13875%6 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+57.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x24de…1c2abacked Over49c17,702$8,674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,028.02875%6 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+59.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe060…9f19backed Under51c17,441$8,895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,894.91580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+62.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8237…d351backed Under51c15,151$7,727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,727.01580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+48.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3c0…6f15backed Over49c15,143$7,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,722.93580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+57.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b7e…99b0backed Under51c15,039$7,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,669.89560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+15.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Under57c14,541$8,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,281.4220545.9%94 W · 111 L-12.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8349…6b7ebacked Over49c13,622$6,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,947.391275%9 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.24per pick52cpaid+48.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x40ac…9322backed Under51c13,598$6,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,934.98650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8ca…3870backed Under51c13,153$6,708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,708.03560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over48c12,793$6,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,622.024,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9517…9928backed Under51c10,890$5,554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,553.91050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1eb8…5703backed Over49c10,755$5,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,485.05875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+42.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa729…9326backed Over49c10,207$5,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,205.574949%24 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23d2…5f41backed Under51c10,147$5,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,174.97771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+39.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under52c10,099$5,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,299.961,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Over50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0001,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbedb…3b26backed Over47c10,000$4,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,299.9716346.6%76 W · 87 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Over51c9,986$5,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,893.177348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over44c9,533$4,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,308.414,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44da…eb1fbacked Under48c9,483$4,552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,551.84366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+28.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2f7…6b0cbacked Over52c9,441$4,909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,531.683100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4296…1ab4backed Under48c9,258$4,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,443.84366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+35.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc034…ea63backed Over52c9,245$4,807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,437.63100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+103.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5ec1…057cbacked Under57c8,760$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0003946.2%18 W · 21 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3da8…d21ebacked Under48c8,668$4,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,160.64366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e54…d772backed Over52c8,509$4,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,084.323100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcdbb…fa9dbacked Over52c8,494$4,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,077.123100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over48c8,370$4,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,352.41,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1929…a95ebacked Under48c8,285$3,977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,976.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ecf…4ed7backed Over49c8,282$4,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,223.82955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbcc…6625backed Under48c8,175$3,924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,924250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c4d…a79ebacked Over49c8,110$3,974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,136.1666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+32.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3880…4817backed Under48c8,043$3,861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,860.64366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+28.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Under51c7,979$4,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,069.4458449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7962…fcabbacked Over52c7,921$4,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,802.083100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x237a…9044backed Under48c7,829$3,758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,757.92366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd43…e4c1backed Under48c7,745$3,718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,717.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bb4…8366backed Over52c7,544$3,923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,621.123100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x54b2…551ebacked Under48c7,506$3,603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,602.88333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd9d…ec90backed Over52c7,459$3,879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,580.323100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+103.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe473…1057backed Under51c7,453$3,801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,801.03742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8681…6e7bbacked Over52c7,235$3,762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,472.83100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b84…5cf7backed Over52c7,189$3,738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,450.723100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf8ac…da7ebacked Over52c7,165$3,726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,439.23100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+91.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbc43…96d3backed Under50c7,000$3,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,4706654.5%36 W · 30 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c60…b238backed Over52c6,979$3,629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,349.923100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa412…bf8ebacked Under51c6,919$3,529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,528.69560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+23.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc10e…f40cbacked Over52c6,747$3,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,236.13100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9aef…0c13backed Under48c6,472$3,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,106.56333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c15…c697backed Over49c6,228$3,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,176.126100%6 W · 0 L+3.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+102.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xade2…a644backed Under48c6,043$2,901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,900.64333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae8f…fa74backed Over52c5,960$3,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,860.83100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e24…312abacked Under48c5,868$2,817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,816.64333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf0e…e749backed Over52c5,759$2,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,764.32366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+30.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd02…330bbacked Under48c5,631$2,703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,702.88333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc2b…bd1cbacked Under48c5,522$2,651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,650.56333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1830…c505backed Over52c5,502$2,861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,640.96366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf713…09f8backed Under51c5,323$2,715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,714.73742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Over49c5,306$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,706.1218349.2%90 W · 93 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xede6…d8efbacked Under51c5,306$2,706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,706.06771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+49.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe85b…7660backed Under48c5,190$2,491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,491.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb22d…698cbacked Over52c4,998$2,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,399.04366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over44c4,981$2,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,793.224,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e6f…6ae8backed Under48c4,965$2,383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,383.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4d4…8bf2backed Over52c4,943$2,574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,369.18366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85cc…4e8ebacked Under48c4,849$2,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,327.52333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over47c4,673$2,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,476.892,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9055…d066backed Over52c4,609$2,397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,212.32366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7029…4331backed Over49c4,082$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,081.632454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7af4…4faabacked Under48c3,834$1,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,840.32333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7095…2905backed Under48c3,753$1,801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,801.44366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+28.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f28…8a64backed Under48c3,643$1,753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,752.82333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd84…7dadbacked Over52c3,497$1,818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,678.56366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Over45c3,387$1,524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,862.6735749.6%177 W · 180 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd221…f3a4backed Over52c3,339$1,736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,602.72366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c21…2e72backed Under48c3,326$1,596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,596.48333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over43c3,247$1,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,850.791,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6b2…6836backed Over52c3,130$1,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,502.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+32.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef99…ef8dbacked Over49c2,902$1,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,480.189952.5%52 W · 47 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb1a…f14bbacked Under48c2,587$1,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,241.76333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8020…9141backed Under48c2,504$1,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,201.9220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe7c3…515bbacked Over49c2,423$1,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,235.73540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfeaa…ccddbacked Over49c2,409$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,228.59450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc145…cc41backed Under51c2,303$1,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,174.5320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf38c…e580backed Over49c2,259$1,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,152.09540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2e6…4d17backed Under51c2,256$1,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,150.56742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefa6…4da4backed Over49c2,216$1,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,130.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24cf…294fbacked Under51c2,166$1,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,104.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac4f…5ae5backed Over49c2,056$1,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,048.56520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-59.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f0f…0973backed Under51c2,016$1,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,028.1620%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9310…9779backed Under51c1,982$1,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,010.8220%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27bf…3eddbacked Over52c1,803$938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$865.44366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7527…8d1dbacked Over52c1,712$890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$821.76366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47b7…7c5bbacked Over49c1,638$803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$835.384100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over50c1,619$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.587453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92fc…2f25backed Over50c1,600$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8001258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bb2…0492backed Under48c1,568$753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752.64333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x549d…9e2cbacked Over49c1,546$758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$788.46450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.