TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Knicks (-9.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pelicansof Knicks, Pelicans
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$286,230

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $286,230 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 265 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8f03…64d6backed Pelicans54c83,469$44,928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,541.141,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Knicks45c38,340$17,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,347.651,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed Pelicans55c34,743$19,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,634.3529351.5%151 W · 142 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Knicks45c31,683$14,352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,352.51,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Knicks46c26,082$12,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,055.825143.1%22 W · 29 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x33c1…9d3cbacked Knicks46c12,828$5,901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,90120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb275…c76fbacked Knicks46c11,813$5,454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,453.8315551.6%80 W · 75 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbedb…3b26backed Knicks47c10,000$4,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,70016346.6%76 W · 87 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Pelicans53c10,000$5,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,699.9977348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8411…f331backed Knicks47c9,882$4,645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,644.54333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3606…8f25backed Knicks47c9,854$4,631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,631.38366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c6c…59d0backed Pelicans53c8,835$4,683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,152.454100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Knicks47c8,549$4,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0181,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe461…a98fbacked Knicks47c8,480$3,989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,989.27366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c4a…3207backed Pelicans53c6,933$3,674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,258.513100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Knicks45c5,998$2,729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,729.0487750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5f3…9d4abacked Knicks47c5,886$2,766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,766.42333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Pelicans54c5,741$3,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,640.7418349.2%90 W · 93 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x545c…7816backed Knicks46c5,228$2,405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,405.1250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Knicks45c5,000$2,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,27057950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8953…ac5ebacked Pelicans53c4,902$2,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,303.94366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+28.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Knicks47c4,770$2,237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,237.192,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xef99…ef8dbacked Pelicans54c4,572$2,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,103.249952.5%52 W · 47 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228d…abb0backed Pelicans53c4,562$2,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,144.14366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+29.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22d0…6293backed Pelicans55c4,416$2,427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,988.7910451%53 W · 51 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Knicks45c4,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80079549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ad3…2a06backed Pelicans53c3,855$2,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,811.85366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+28.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf4f…a573backed Pelicans53c3,785$2,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,778.95366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+29.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Pelicans54c3,687$1,991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,696.049,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4484…3af5backed Knicks47c3,612$1,698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,697.64333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Knicks46c3,388$1,559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,559.154,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c0c…cae3backed Pelicans53c3,322$1,761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,561.34366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+29.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0e4…84d3backed Knicks46c3,261$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.27per pick49cpaid-53%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xeaf5…6e5abacked Pelicans53c3,155$1,672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,482.85366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+29.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Knicks42c2,611$1,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,084.628,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Pelicans55c2,500$1,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,12595641.7%399 W · 557 L+1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30fb…4856backed Pelicans54c2,251$1,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,035.424151%123 W · 118 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Knicks46c2,189$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,005.474,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb651…10a2backed Knicks47c1,826$858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$858.39333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Knicks47c1,800$846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84665939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68d8…4cc6backed Pelicans54c1,568$848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.0814455.6%80 W · 64 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Pelicans54c1,564$844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.3395651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2579…9d48backed Pelicans54c1,563$844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$718.9619359.6%115 W · 78 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Knicks47c1,500$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70543438.5%167 W · 267 L-1.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Knicks47c1,500$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70586641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Knicks46c1,198$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.952,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Pelicans53c1,078$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.8717637.5%66 W · 110 L-16.3wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Knicks46c1,060$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.6913128.2%37 W · 94 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Knicks48c1,042$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50029040.3%117 W · 173 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Pelicans54c1,024$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.2274748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Pelicans53c1,001$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.3650954.8%279 W · 230 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe57f…4d74backed Pelicans54c962.96$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.962871.4%20 W · 8 L+5.9wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+40.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xdc25…4fa8backed Knicks54c925.93$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010849.1%53 W · 55 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781d…201bbacked Knicks54c925.93$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003464.7%22 W · 12 L+5.5wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+38.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd710…cf6fbacked Pelicans75c905.08$678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.873933.3%13 W · 26 L-6.3wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-37.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa31c…bdf7backed Knicks47c851.06$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Knicks46c844.7$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.754,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Pelicans54c843.35$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.31,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Knicks43c842.41$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.631,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Knicks46c768$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.2858951.3%302 W · 287 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Knicks46c700.48$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.2214251.4%73 W · 69 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Pelicans53c691.02$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.642,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Pelicans49c665.05$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.294,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9385…2484backed Knicks46c661.74$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.49352.7%49 W · 44 L+6.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ff9…a78bbacked Knicks46c655.04$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.325048%24 W · 26 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6292…d254backed Pelicans54c650$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29920846.6%97 W · 111 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Pelicans55c636.69$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.5190957.6%524 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Pelicans64c612.89$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.372,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Pelicans54c602.24$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.033,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0fd5…9801backed Knicks50c600.9$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005034%17 W · 33 L-5.4wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-24.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Knicks47c600$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28268944%303 W · 386 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c9b…a556backed Pelicans52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24022953.7%123 W · 106 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Pelicans53c465.73$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.5928537.9%108 W · 177 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x33ae…f94abacked Knicks46c434.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe11c…c7f7backed Pelicans55c434.26$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.279260.9%56 W · 36 L+10.3wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+22.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7c67…a0e0backed Knicks48c416.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20029646.6%138 W · 158 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Knicks46c416.28$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.622,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Pelicans51c413.33$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.4964651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x891f…f851backed Knicks49c408.63$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.233732.4%12 W · 25 L-6.5wins-0.18per pick50cpaid-35.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5302…0a6fbacked Pelicans53c400$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18811957.1%68 W · 51 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Knicks46c395.26$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.613,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x268e…bb7fbacked Knicks47c379.88$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.541338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Knicks45c370$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.51,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6eaa…9baebacked Pelicans54c368.7$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.613554.1%73 W · 62 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Pelicans54c366$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.361,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x198c…6a94backed Pelicans55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.6411946.2%55 W · 64 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-7.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xceed…ea2ebacked Pelicans55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.641566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+20.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5a7a…aff2backed Pelicans56c357.84$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.841973.7%14 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick62cpaid+21.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Pelicans55c357.14$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.7176552.9%405 W · 360 L-2.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd53…b68abacked Pelicans54c349.34$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a3a…8a29backed Knicks47c338.71$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f52…c525backed Knicks48c313.93$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15014152.5%74 W · 67 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Knicks46c303.47$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.781,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x917e…eed9backed Knicks47c300$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.521049.5%104 W · 106 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef92…f133backed Knicks42c244$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.112055.8%67 W · 53 L+9.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2cb5…6e63backed Pelicans69c242.69$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.654658.7%27 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Pelicans64c234.62$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.441,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Knicks46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10052146.6%243 W · 278 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Knicks46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10043447.5%206 W · 228 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87fa…12d0backed Knicks47c212.76$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015357.5%88 W · 65 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.