TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pelicans vs. Knicks: O/U 229.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$631,928

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $631,928 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc807…c12bbacked Under52c209,566$109,895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109,894.5620545.9%94 W · 111 L-12.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Over47c95,041$44,669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,371.9629245.5%133 W · 159 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under51c51,557$26,462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,462.081,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Over47c34,205$16,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,128.6528643%123 W · 163 L-1.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked Over48c31,412$15,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,334.520948.8%102 W · 107 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Under50c30,000$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,0001,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Over50c28,998$14,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,49926648.5%129 W · 137 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Over49c16,920$8,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,629.237747.5%179 W · 198 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Over49c15,439$7,565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,873.7817550.9%89 W · 86 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over48c14,423$6,939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,484.664,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Over47c10,000$4,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,30049244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x287a…7976backed Over50c8,456$4,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,227.85754.4%31 W · 26 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f6e…84b4backed Over49c8,427$4,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,297.775349.1%26 W · 27 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6eb…5402backed Over50c8,000$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,00011159.5%66 W · 45 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf303…5847backed Over49c7,140$3,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,641.43237.5%12 W · 20 L-4.1wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-26.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under51c4,336$2,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,200.62,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Under51c4,142$2,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,125.661,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa1bf…f357backed Over50c3,898$1,951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,947.416953.3%90 W · 79 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Under52c3,500$1,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,819.9682442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb6f…2653backed Over49c3,060$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,560.2416249.4%80 W · 82 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc33a…3da3backed Under53c2,779$1,473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,472.759741.2%40 W · 57 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x975b…3760backed Over49c2,546$1,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,298.685547.3%26 W · 29 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Over51c2,540$1,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,244.8218749.2%92 W · 95 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Over49c2,210$1,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.0635749.6%177 W · 180 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under49c2,116$1,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,036.911,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed Under51c2,070$1,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,055.9122948.5%111 W · 118 L+0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over48c1,967$944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,022.846,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe56d…2b65backed Over50c1,920$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9607552%39 W · 36 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over48c1,875$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9752,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb307…be4abacked Over48c1,563$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812.518842.6%80 W · 108 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Under51c1,531$781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78150754.2%275 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed Over48c1,497$718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$778.3417850%89 W · 89 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8d…01debacked Over51c1,347$687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.064332.6%14 W · 29 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-32.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Under52c1,309$681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.851,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under51c1,196$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.9220647.6%98 W · 108 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over49c1,187$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.0738946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over48c1,050$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.493,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over48c1,023$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.987453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Over49c1,020$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.4115952.8%84 W · 75 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Over49c933.57$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.1268645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked Over50c920.08$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.0813750.4%69 W · 68 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked Over48c839.58$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.5823850%119 W · 119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over49c802.33$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.138,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc00…79f8backed Over49c744.16$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.5215240.8%62 W · 90 L-12.1wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-19.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over47c726.43$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.015,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18e…e87dbacked Over48c656.16$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x33e9…39b0backed Over64c600$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2167152.1%37 W · 34 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fb4…90f3backed Over51c588.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.249245.7%42 W · 50 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over47c581.76$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.332,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under50c522$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.061,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over49c506.58$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.874,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked Over47c479.99$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.3944252.3%231 W · 211 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36f2…dab4backed Over50c420$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2107951.9%41 W · 38 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Over48c414$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.2847436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over48c406.34$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.281,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Under52c406.34$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.292058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Over48c405.54$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.0444551.2%228 W · 217 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbcd7…eac9backed Over48c400$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2085440.7%22 W · 32 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Over48c399.83$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.9141449.3%204 W · 210 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Over70c392.86$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.8665872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over48c344.73$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.261,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e4b…1ff9backed Over50c337.56$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.7816347.2%77 W · 86 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Under51c328.39$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.4889048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Under50c296.81$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.9557950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfaa…3858backed Under51c284.31$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1453253.1%17 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Under51c231.25$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.9367248.8%328 W · 344 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…cd69backed Under53c205.85$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.422245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x743a…ddcdbacked Over49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1026043.3%26 W · 34 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8687…1db0backed Under53c198.96$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.458835.2%31 W · 57 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Over49c192.6$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.2387049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under49c191.53$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.8555347.9%265 W · 288 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e01…7ef0backed Under51c178.6$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.5620350.2%102 W · 101 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Over48c157.35$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.351,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Under53c156.88$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.1589853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04c…c640backed Over50c152$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$765246.2%24 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over50c150$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7560346.4%280 W · 323 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under27c142.89$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.161,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Over50c140$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7066046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x810d…6080backed Over48c136.55$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.9116046.3%74 W · 86 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5063353.1%336 W · 297 L-2.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under31c94.9$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.773,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x902f…fb2dbacked Under52c93.45$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5913857.2%79 W · 59 L+13.2wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+22.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed Under50c87.5$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.638853.4%207 W · 181 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over49c81.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6323657.2%135 W · 101 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Under50c77.1$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.881,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over69c75.18$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c80…efb9backed Over48c74.06$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.882860.7%17 W · 11 L+3.6wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+26.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xea21…b96cbacked Under53c74$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.22666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+28.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Over47c73$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.6923651.3%121 W · 115 L+11.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd5ee…712abacked Under21c72.79$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.161428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd35e…a1e8backed Under50c71.09$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.7915742.7%67 W · 90 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Under51c71$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.1577549.2%381 W · 394 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9a3…f319backed Over49c65.17$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.032128.6%6 W · 15 L-4.2wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-55.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under23c62.77$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.721,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Over66c60$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.461253.1%325 W · 287 L-20.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x288a…768abacked Over51c58.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.821450%7 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x46d3…2c20backed Under51c58.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3033251.2%170 W · 162 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Over47c58.18$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.8460945.8%279 W · 330 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd7d6…4336backed Over48c55.61$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.81616.7%1 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick17cpaid-65.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7583…0469backed Over48c52.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.086550.8%33 W · 32 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.