TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Split: Daniel Rincon vs Maxim Mrva

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Maxim Mrvaof Daniel Rincon, Maxim Mrva
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$49,007

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,007 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd267…c9febacked Daniel Rincon45c5,881$2,646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,646.4520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Maxim Mrva76c5,267$3,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,287.3811,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe867…fdbdbacked Maxim Mrva55c4,475$2,461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,013.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfab5…aa48backed Daniel Rincon26c4,333$1,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,139.45580%4 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.46per pick34cpaid+143.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed Daniel Rincon20c2,809$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55030225.8%78 W · 224 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Maxim Mrva74c2,396$1,784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.383,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3010…a27cbacked Daniel Rincon24c1,714$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41010729%31 W · 76 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Maxim Mrva46c1,528$696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832.1879855.9%446 W · 352 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x412e…4a0fbacked Maxim Mrva55c1,408$774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbcc…5ae5backed Maxim Mrva72c1,280$925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.761782.4%14 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick69cpaid+20.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Daniel Rincon26c1,170$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.577,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Daniel Rincon44c1,082$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.8858734.6%203 W · 384 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde5a…4db5backed Maxim Mrva56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4405736.8%21 W · 36 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7da3…5a49backed Daniel Rincon45c883.69$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4003461.8%21 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Daniel Rincon40c749.81$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.150731.2%158 W · 349 L-41.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-36.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8df8…59ddbacked Daniel Rincon41c683.85$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.7924438.9%95 W · 149 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5788…b08cbacked Daniel Rincon26c576.92$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick34cpaid+21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Maxim Mrva74c565.05$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.582,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x76a0…fb5bbacked Maxim Mrva56c460.66$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.691241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda22…6d2abacked Daniel Rincon24c423.46$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10035344.8%158 W · 195 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Daniel Rincon45c406.46$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.912,22945%1,002 W · 1,227 L+3.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Maxim Mrva55c400$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1801,56640%627 W · 939 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Maxim Mrva78c398.58$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.216,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd571…d24abacked Maxim Mrva56c358.99$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.9920643.2%89 W · 117 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Daniel Rincon20c300$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606443.8%28 W · 36 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+5.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Daniel Rincon44c277.3$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.012,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Maxim Mrva55c265.65$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.091,97346.3%914 W · 1,059 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Maxim Mrva76c264$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.2934744.4%154 W · 193 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22d2…82d7backed Maxim Mrva76c263.72$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.3827940.1%112 W · 167 L-11.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Daniel Rincon40c263$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.23,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Maxim Mrva77c236$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.4273745.2%333 W · 404 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd425…603ebacked Daniel Rincon25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504751.1%24 W · 23 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-14.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Daniel Rincon18c192.92$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.516,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Daniel Rincon21c189.34$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.061,37916.4%226 W · 1,153 L-108.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-49.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Maxim Mrva78c187.5$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.182,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x423c…25d5backed Daniel Rincon20c185$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3710317.5%18 W · 85 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Daniel Rincon44c183.21$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.5327231.3%85 W · 187 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86b3…7650backed Maxim Mrva56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5721560.5%130 W · 85 L+15.9wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Maxim Mrva60c167$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.838268.1%260 W · 122 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Daniel Rincon17c166.46$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.822,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5444…bbdabacked Maxim Mrva62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2933149.2%163 W · 168 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Maxim Mrva76c144.12$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.3795846.6%446 W · 512 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Maxim Mrva78c133.62$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.6150156.1%281 W · 220 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30c6…0ec7backed Daniel Rincon16c129.4$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.78250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Maxim Mrva53c125$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7596755.3%535 W · 432 L+3.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Daniel Rincon31c121.53$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.513,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Daniel Rincon44c116.49$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.731,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x622b…5a4abacked Daniel Rincon43c110.6$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.5635040.9%143 W · 207 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5af1…f988backed Daniel Rincon45c104.99$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.357945.6%36 W · 43 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed19…83babacked Daniel Rincon25c100.83$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5584736%305 W · 542 L-35.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4cf4…ed22backed Maxim Mrva55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4518447.3%87 W · 97 L+16.7wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+26.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x33c6…6daabacked Daniel Rincon11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11160%0 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c42…41d9backed Daniel Rincon21c97.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205650%28 W · 28 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2273…7e01backed Maxim Mrva80c94.5$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.315954.1%86 W · 73 L+8.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb5b9…948abacked Maxim Mrva55c84.6$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.0742358.6%248 W · 175 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1e0…b68abacked Maxim Mrva72c83.93$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.57758.4%45 W · 32 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x58f2…692ebacked Maxim Mrva60c83$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.253457.7%308 W · 226 L-0.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c56…0615backed Daniel Rincon29c82.68$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6959440.2%239 W · 355 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7be…908dbacked Daniel Rincon20c81.25$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.442832.1%9 W · 19 L-5.7wins-0.20per pick52cpaid-44.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Daniel Rincon44c79$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.897,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Daniel Rincon47c77.13$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.252,41851.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L+10.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc54c…6a13backed Daniel Rincon19c75.57$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.514355.9%80 W · 63 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Maxim Mrva69c73.49$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.814,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd866…55e0backed Maxim Mrva74c61.94$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2738460.4%232 W · 152 L+29.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Maxim Mrva79c60.43$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.612,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f65…c1d0backed Daniel Rincon46c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.630349.8%151 W · 152 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34cc…d703backed Maxim Mrva80c59.66$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.931952.6%10 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick65cpaid-4.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6617…dfb9backed Daniel Rincon46c54.13$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.924249.2%119 W · 123 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b0b…94d1backed Maxim Mrva76c54$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.227152.1%37 W · 34 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78a1…5551backed Daniel Rincon55c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.590335.8%323 W · 580 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c06…bbeebacked Maxim Mrva55c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.757146.5%33 W · 38 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd88a…1eefbacked Daniel Rincon45c48$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.654434.2%186 W · 358 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-2.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc798…a8e9backed Daniel Rincon47c46.42$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8253544.1%236 W · 299 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe761…4f54backed Maxim Mrva77c40.12$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.2226349.4%130 W · 133 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Maxim Mrva61c40$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.635559.4%211 W · 144 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked Daniel Rincon47c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.847453.2%252 W · 222 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd77…ef21backed Maxim Mrva49c39$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.7665264.1%418 W · 234 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ace…3afdbacked Maxim Mrva53c38.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.1212152.1%63 W · 58 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbebf…9baebacked Maxim Mrva56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7190854.5%495 W · 413 L+21.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe44c…f15cbacked Maxim Mrva71c34.01$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.713748.9%67 W · 70 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Maxim Mrva79c33.06$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.058,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c10…4e76backed Daniel Rincon46c32.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1533326.4%88 W · 245 L-14.1wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0154…30f7backed Daniel Rincon46c32.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1552457.4%301 W · 223 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x997b…641bbacked Maxim Mrva71c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.73265.6%21 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick66cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x563c…0dbfbacked Maxim Mrva56c29.98$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.195937.3%22 W · 37 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Maxim Mrva56c27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.881,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Maxim Mrva56c26.79$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7995742.1%403 W · 554 L-24.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Daniel Rincon45c25.37$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.57,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe88a…1c9ebacked Daniel Rincon58c24.39$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.15933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x46ea…d849backed Maxim Mrva72c20.83$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.8316370.6%115 W · 48 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick69cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Daniel Rincon55c19.73$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8936135.7%129 W · 232 L-35.1wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-24%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe7a5…f64abacked Maxim Mrva79c18.99$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.9984963.1%536 W · 313 L+0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d42…0b66backed Maxim Mrva80c16.55$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.3122262.6%139 W · 83 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick61cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb860…e71fbacked Maxim Mrva80c15.81$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.161656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-23.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…8d97backed Maxim Mrva80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.52254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.